GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - AUGUST 2001 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Atlantic Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, located in Miami, Florida, USA. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. The last four positions in the track of Tropical Storm Barry were taken from the storm summaries issued by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center in Maryland. David Roth, a meteorologist at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, sent me some track positions and intensities for Tropical Storm Dean during the inter-advisory period from 23-27 August and also for the post-tropical cyclone stage of the system on 28 and 29 August. A special thanks to David for his assistance. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm BARRY (03) 02 - 07 Aug Tropical Storm CHANTAL (04) 15 - 22 Aug Tropical Storm DEAN (05) 22 - 29 Aug ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BARRY Cyclone Number: 03 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 02 1800 26.2 N 84.8 W 1010 35 01 AUG 03 0000 26.6 N 85.3 W 1007 40 01 AUG 03 0600 26.7 N 86.3 W 1008 35 01 AUG 03 1200 26.9 N 87.1 W 1007 35 01 AUG 03 1800 26.9 N 87.2 W 1007 35 01 AUG 04 0000 26.8 N 87.5 W 1006 35 01 AUG 04 0600 26.6 N 87.8 W 1005 35 01 AUG 04 1200 26.9 N 87.7 W 1006 35 01 AUG 04 1800 27.1 N 87.5 W 1005 35 01 AUG 05 0000 27.3 N 87.3 W 1003 35 01 AUG 05 0600 27.5 N 86.7 W 1003 40 01 AUG 05 1200 28.2 N 86.4 W 990 50 01 AUG 05 1800 28.6 N 86.5 W 991 60 01 AUG 06 0000 29.5 N 86.3 W 992 60 01 AUG 06 0600 30.6 N 86.3 W 990 55 Making landfall 01 AUG 06 1200 31.7 N 87.1 W 1008 35 Inland 01 AUG 06 1500 32.1 N 87.3 W 1008 25 Last NHC advisory 01 AUG 06 2100 33.0 N 88.2 W 1009 15 HPC Storm Summary 01 AUG 07 0200 33.2 N 88.9 W 1015 8 01 AUG 07 0800 34.1 N 89.0 W 1015 12 01 AUG 07 1500 35.1 N 90.0 W 1017 8 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHANTAL Cyclone Number: 04 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 15 1200 12.3 N 44.0 W 1009 30 01 AUG 15 1800 12.5 N 46.2 W 1009 30 01 AUG 16 0000 12.5 N 48.7 W 1007 30 01 AUG 16 0600 12.6 N 51.4 W 1007 30 01 AUG 16 1200 13.1 N 54.1 W 1005 35 01 AUG 16 1800 12.8 N 57.0 W 1011 35 01 AUG 17 0000 13.0 N 61.0 W 1011 35 Weakening into wave 01 AUG 17 0600 13.5 N 62.0 W 1011 Tropical wave/weak LOW 01 AUG 17 1200 13.2 N 64.5 W 1010 30 Re-upgraded to Trop Dep 01 AUG 17 1800 14.2 N 66.4 W 1006 35 01 AUG 18 0000 14.4 N 68.2 W 1004 45 01 AUG 18 0600 14.7 N 70.4 W 1003 50 01 AUG 18 1200 14.8 N 72.9 W 1006 50 01 AUG 18 1800 15.4 N 75.1 W 1003 50 01 AUG 19 0000 15.6 N 77.3 W 1000 50 01 AUG 19 0600 15.4 N 78.1 W 994 55 01 AUG 19 1200 15.5 N 79.6 W 1004 60 01 AUG 19 1800 16.2 N 81.2 W 1005 60 01 AUG 20 0000 16.8 N 82.8 W 1007 55 01 AUG 20 0600 17.1 N 84.1 W 1008 55 01 AUG 20 1200 17.4 N 85.6 W 1007 55 01 AUG 20 1800 17.9 N 86.7 W 1005 55 01 AUG 21 0000 18.2 N 87.8 W 1001 60 01 AUG 21 0600 18.2 N 88.2 W 1003 55 Inland 01 AUG 21 1200 18.4 N 88.8 W 1004 45 01 AUG 21 1800 18.6 N 89.4 W 1005 30 01 AUG 22 0000 18.7 N 90.1 W 1007 25 01 AUG 22 0600 18.9 N 90.7 W 1007 25 01 AUG 22 1200 17.9 N 92.2 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DEAN Cyclone Number: 05 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 22 1200 17.9 N 64.3 W 1010 50 01 AUG 22 1800 19.1 N 65.9 W 1009 50 01 AUG 23 0000 19.8 N 67.4 W 1010 50 01 AUG 23 0600 20.7 N 68.9 W 1010 50 01 AUG 23 1200 21.6 N 69.8 W 1012 30 01 AUG 23 1500 22.4 N 70.2 W 1012 30 Center dissipating 01 AUG 24 1800 31.0 N 70.0 W 1013 25 High Seas Forecast 01 AUG 25 0000 32.0 N 70.0 W 1012 25 Track from David Roth 01 AUG 25 0600 32.9 N 68.1 W 1010 25 Weak Tropical LOW 01 AUG 25 1200 34.2 N 66.7 W 1010 25 Merged w/ET LOW-Hybrid 01 AUG 25 1800 34.9 N 66.3 W 1010 30 01 AUG 26 0000 35.4 N 65.8 W 1010 30 01 AUG 26 0600 35.6 N 65.2 W 1010 30 01 AUG 26 1200 35.8 N 64.5 W 1010 30 01 AUG 26 1800 36.1 N 63.9 W 1008 35 01 AUG 27 0000 36.6 N 63.0 W 1004 40 01 AUG 27 0600 37.7 N 62.0 W 1000 50 NHC resumed advisories 01 AUG 27 1200 38.9 N 60.7 W 997 55 01 AUG 27 1800 40.6 N 59.4 W 992 60 01 AUG 28 0000 42.4 N 58.2 W 994 60 01 AUG 28 0600 43.2 N 56.0 W 995 55 01 AUG 28 1200 43.8 N 53.4 W 997 50 Final NHC advisory 01 AUG 28 1800 45.4 N 51.1 W 1000 45 Track from David Roth 01 AUG 29 0000 47.3 N 50.0 W 1002 40 Some hybrid features 01 AUG 29 0600 49.2 N 48.0 W 1003 35 01 AUG 29 1200 50.8 N 45.4 W 1002 35 01 AUG 29 1800 52.0 N 42.0 W 1000 35 Fully extratropical ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Northeast Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for systems east of Longitude 140W; and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, for systems west of Longitude 140W. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (06E) 22 - 24 Aug Hurricane FLOSSIE (07E) 26 Aug - 02 Sep ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 06E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 22 1800 18.3 N 136.0 W 1008 30 01 AUG 23 0000 19.0 N 136.4 W 1008 30 01 AUG 23 0600 20.4 N 136.6 W 1008 30 01 AUG 23 1200 20.0 N 138.5 W 1008 25 01 AUG 23 1800 20.7 N 138.5 W 1009 25 01 AUG 24 0000 21.1 N 137.8 W 1010 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FLOSSIE Cyclone Number: 07E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 26 0600 18.9 N 108.4 W 1004 30 01 AUG 26 1200 19.7 N 109.7 W 1004 30 01 AUG 26 1800 20.1 N 110.7 W 1002 35 01 AUG 27 0000 20.1 N 111.7 W 1002 35 01 AUG 27 0600 20.0 N 112.6 W 1000 45 01 AUG 27 1200 20.2 N 113.3 W 997 50 01 AUG 27 1800 19.9 N 113.8 W 989 65 01 AUG 28 0000 19.5 N 114.1 W 989 65 01 AUG 28 0600 19.2 N 114.3 W 989 65 01 AUG 28 1200 19.1 N 114.3 W 985 70 01 AUG 28 1800 19.4 N 114.7 W 985 70 01 AUG 29 0000 19.8 N 115.1 W 985 70 01 AUG 29 0600 20.1 N 115.4 W 985 70 01 AUG 29 1200 20.6 N 116.2 W 977 85 01 AUG 29 1800 20.9 N 116.6 W 972 90 01 AUG 30 0000 21.5 N 117.1 W 975 80 01 AUG 30 0600 21.9 N 117.7 W 979 75 01 AUG 30 1200 22.4 N 118.0 W 983 70 01 AUG 30 1800 22.9 N 118.1 W 987 65 01 AUG 31 0000 23.4 N 118.4 W 989 60 01 AUG 31 0600 23.5 N 118.6 W 994 55 01 AUG 31 1200 23.9 N 118.9 W 998 50 01 AUG 31 1800 24.3 N 119.2 W 999 45 01 SEP 01 0000 24.8 N 119.3 W 1002 40 01 SEP 01 0600 25.5 N 119.0 W 1005 35 01 SEP 01 1200 25.5 N 119.0 W 1005 30 01 SEP 01 1800 26.0 N 118.6 W 1006 30 01 SEP 02 0000 26.6 N 118.4 W 1007 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the PAGASA track for Tropical Depression Jolina and the JMA tracks for all the named cyclones. Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). Roger Edson, of the University of Guam, sent me his versions of tracks for Tropical Depression 15W and Tropical Depression Jolina. A special thanks to these gentlemen for their assistance. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers follow the main track in a separate table. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon MAN-YI (12W / 0109) 01 - 11 Aug Tropical Depression 02 - 08 Aug Tropical Storm USAGI (13W / 0110) 08 - 11 Aug Typhoon PABUK (14W / 0111) 14 - 24 Aug Tropical Depression JOLINA 16 - 24 Aug Tropical Depression (15W) 23 - 29 Aug Super Typhoon WUTIP (16W / 0112) 26 Aug - 04 Sep Tropical Storm SEPAT (17W / 0113) 27 Aug - 01 Sep Tropical Storm FITOW (18W / 0114) 28 - 31 Aug ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MAN-YI Cyclone Number: 12W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0109 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 01 1800 10.5 N 152.8 E 25 01 AUG 02 0000 11.2 N 152.0 E 35 01 AUG 02 0600 11.7 N 150.9 E 1002 45 30 JMA: 11.8 N, 151.8 E 01 AUG 02 1200 12.2 N 150.2 E 996 45 35 01 AUG 02 1800 13.4 N 149.4 E 994 50 40 01 AUG 03 0000 14.8 N 148.7 E 990 55 45 01 AUG 03 0600 16.1 N 147.6 E 985 65 50 01 AUG 03 1200 17.4 N 146.7 E 980 75 55 01 AUG 03 1800 18.4 N 145.9 E 980 80 55 01 AUG 04 0000 19.7 N 145.2 E 970 95 65 01 AUG 04 0600 21.1 N 144.5 E 960 110 75 01 AUG 04 1200 22.4 N 144.1 E 950 115 80 01 AUG 04 1800 23.5 N 143.7 E 950 115 80 01 AUG 05 0000 24.7 N 143.5 E 945 110 80 01 AUG 05 0600 25.3 N 143.6 E 945 115 80 01 AUG 05 1200 25.6 N 143.9 E 950 110 80 01 AUG 05 1800 26.0 N 144.2 E 950 105 80 01 AUG 06 0000 26.1 N 144.6 E 955 95 75 01 AUG 06 0600 26.5 N 145.0 E 955 95 75 01 AUG 06 1200 26.8 N 145.3 E 955 115 75 01 AUG 06 1800 27.2 N 145.8 E 955 115 75 01 AUG 07 0000 27.9 N 146.5 E 955 110 75 01 AUG 07 0600 28.9 N 147.4 E 955 100 75 01 AUG 07 1200 30.0 N 148.2 E 960 100 70 01 AUG 07 1800 31.2 N 149.3 E 965 95 65 01 AUG 08 0000 32.6 N 150.0 E 970 85 60 01 AUG 08 0600 34.3 N 150.7 E 975 75 55 01 AUG 08 1200 36.0 N 151.1 E 980 65 55 01 AUG 08 1800 37.5 N 151.0 E 985 55 50 01 AUG 09 0000 38.8 N 151.4 E 985 45 JMA Warnings 01 AUG 09 0600 40.4 N 151.6 E 990 45 " 01 AUG 09 1200 42.0 N 153.0 E 994 40 " 01 AUG 09 1800 43.7 N 154.3 E 1000 35 JMA - Extratropical LOW 01 AUG 10 0000 45.0 N 156.0 E 1004 30 01 AUG 10 0600 46.0 N 158.0 E 1008 25 01 AUG 10 1200 48.0 N 159.0 E 1010 25 01 AUG 10 1800 49.0 N 161.0 E 1010 25 01 AUG 11 0000 50.0 N 163.0 E 1010 20 Note: Position coordinates were in excellent agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Man-yi. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC -------------------------------------- 01 AUG 02 0600 35 01 AUG 02 1200 40 01 AUG 02 1800 50 01 AUG 03 0000 50 01 AUG 03 0600 60 01 AUG 03 1200 60 01 AUG 03 1800 65 01 AUG 04 0000 80 01 AUG 04 0600 90 01 AUG 04 1200 100 01 AUG 04 1800 100 01 AUG 05 0000 100 01 AUG 05 0600 100 01 AUG 05 1200 90 01 AUG 05 1800 90 01 AUG 06 0000 80 01 AUG 06 0600 80 01 AUG 06 1200 80 01 AUG 06 1800 80 01 AUG 07 0000 80 01 AUG 07 0600 80 01 AUG 07 1200 70 01 AUG 07 1800 70 01 AUG 08 0000 65 01 AUG 08 0600 60 01 AUG 08 1200 50 01 AUG 08 1800 50 01 AUG 09 0000 40 01 AUG 09 0600 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 02 0000 19.0 N 133.0 E 1004 25 01 AUG 02 0600 22.0 N 131.0 E 1004 25 01 AUG 02 1200 21.6 N 129.6 E 1002 30 01 AUG 02 1800 22.3 N 127.9 E 1002 30 01 AUG 03 0000 22.5 N 125.5 E 1004 30 01 AUG 03 0600 23.0 N 123.0 E 1008 25 01 AUG 03 1500 26.0 N 120.0 E From JTWC STWO 01 AUG 06 0000 33.0 N 122.0 E 1002 25 See Note 01 AUG 06 0600 33.0 N 122.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 06 1200 33.0 N 124.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 06 1800 33.0 N 123.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 07 0000 35.0 N 124.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 07 0600 35.0 N 125.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 07 1200 36.0 N 127.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 07 1800 37.0 N 128.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 08 0000 39.0 N 130.0 E 1000 25 Note: There is no conclusive evidence that the system of 6-8 August was a redevelopment of the depression of 2-3 August, but it seems likely that the second was related to the first. While JTWC classified neither as a tropical depression nor issued any TCFA's, JMA, NMCC, and Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau all classified the system of 2-3 August as a tropical depression. The system made landfall in eastern China near the border between Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces and later turned northward toward the Shanghai area where unexpectedly heavy rains fell on 5 August. JMA treated the Yellow Sea system of 6-8 August as a tropical depression in the Summary portion of their High Seas Bulletins while JTWC gave the system a fair potential for development on 6 and 7 August. By the 8th the LOW was embedded in a baroclinic zone in the Sea of Japan in a region of high vertical shear. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: USAGI Cyclone Number: 13W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0110 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 08 0600 16.8 N 117.5 E 25 From JTWC's JMV File 01 AUG 08 1200 16.8 N 116.2 E 25 01 AUG 08 1800 16.7 N 115.0 E 25 01 AUG 09 0000 16.9 N 114.0 E 25 01 AUG 09 0600 16.3 N 113.5 E 1000 25 25 HKO: 16.7 N, 112.1 E 01 AUG 09 1200 16.8 N 113.0 E 998 25 30 01 AUG 09 1800 17.2 N 112.0 E 997 30 30 01 AUG 10 0000 17.8 N 110.6 E 996 30 30 JMA: 17.7 N, 109.6 E 01 AUG 10 0600 17.8 N 108.7 E 992 35 35 01 AUG 10 1200 18.0 N 107.6 E 990 40 35 01 AUG 10 1800 18.5 N 105.6 E 990 35 35 Inland in Vietnam 01 AUG 11 0000 18.0 N 104.0 E 998 30 JMA Warning Note: Position coordinates were in basically good agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Usagi despite the fact that the system remained weak. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC and HKO: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC HKO -------------------------------------- 01 AUG 09 0600 25 01 AUG 09 1200 30 01 AUG 09 1800 30 01 AUG 10 0000 30 30 01 AUG 10 0600 35 30 01 AUG 10 1200 45 40 01 AUG 10 1800 35 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PABUK Cyclone Number: 14W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0111 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 14 0000 18.1 N 145.7 E 1000 30 30 01 AUG 14 0600 18.7 N 145.7 E 998 35 30 01 AUG 14 1200 18.8 N 145.4 E 996 35 35 01 AUG 14 1800 19.0 N 144.9 E 992 40 40 01 AUG 15 0000 19.3 N 143.0 E 990 45 45 NMCC: 20.2 N, 143.0 E 01 AUG 15 0600 19.6 N 142.3 E 985 50 50 NMCC: 20.4 N, 142.2 E 01 AUG 15 1200 20.0 N 141.4 E 985 60 50 NMCC: 20.7 N, 141.3 E 01 AUG 15 1800 20.4 N 140.7 E 980 65 55 01 AUG 16 0000 20.8 N 140.2 E 975 65 60 01 AUG 16 0600 21.1 N 139.5 E 975 70 60 01 AUG 16 1200 21.3 N 139.1 E 970 75 60 01 AUG 16 1800 21.3 N 138.6 E 965 75 65 01 AUG 17 0000 21.5 N 138.1 E 960 85 70 01 AUG 17 0600 21.8 N 137.7 E 955 85 75 01 AUG 17 1200 21.9 N 137.5 E 960 75 70 01 AUG 17 1800 22.1 N 137.0 E 960 70 70 01 AUG 18 0000 22.6 N 136.6 E 960 70 70 01 AUG 18 0600 23.4 N 136.3 E 960 70 70 01 AUG 18 1200 24.2 N 135.8 E 960 75 75 01 AUG 18 1800 24.7 N 135.1 E 960 80 70 01 AUG 19 0000 25.4 N 134.4 E 960 90 70 01 AUG 19 0600 26.2 N 133.7 E 960 95 70 01 AUG 19 1200 26.9 N 133.2 E 960 95 70 01 AUG 19 1800 27.7 N 132.9 E 960 95 70 01 AUG 20 0000 28.5 N 132.8 E 960 95 70 01 AUG 20 0600 29.4 N 133.0 E 960 85 70 01 AUG 20 1200 30.1 N 133.4 E 965 80 65 01 AUG 20 1800 30.8 N 134.3 E 965 70 65 01 AUG 21 0000 31.7 N 135.0 E 970 70 60 01 AUG 21 0600 33.1 N 134.9 E 965 60 60 01 AUG 21 1200 33.5 N 135.7 E 970 55 60 NMCC: 33.1 N, 135.0 E 01 AUG 21 1800 34.8 N 136.9 E 975 45 55 JMA: 34.1 N, 136.5 E 01 AUG 22 0000 34.9 N 137.8 E 980 45 55 Inland over Honshu 01 AUG 22 0600 35.5 N 139.8 E 980 40 45 Near Tokyo 01 AUG 22 1200 36.9 N 141.4 E 985 35 45 JMA: 37.7 N, 141.1 E 01 AUG 22 1800 39.5 N 142.5 E 988 30 40 JMA: 40.1 N, 142.2 E 01 AUG 23 0000 43.0 N 144.0 E 988 40 JMA - Extratropical LOW 01 AUG 23 0600 47.0 N 144.0 E 988 35 01 AUG 23 1200 49.0 N 147.0 E 992 35 01 AUG 23 1800 52.0 N 148.0 E 994 35 01 AUG 24 0000 54.0 N 150.0 E 996 30 01 AUG 24 0600 56.0 N 155.0 E 1000 25 01 AUG 24 1200 58.0 N 163.0 E 1000 25 Note: Position coordinates were in fairly good agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Pabuk. The center of Pabuk was near the coast of Japan at 21/1200 and 1800 UTC. By 1200 UTC on 22 August the center was back over water east of Honshu. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC -------------------------------------- 01 AUG 14 1200 35 01 AUG 14 1800 40 01 AUG 15 0000 40 01 AUG 15 0600 40 01 AUG 15 1200 50 01 AUG 15 1800 60 01 AUG 16 0000 60 01 AUG 16 0600 70 01 AUG 16 1200 70 01 AUG 16 1800 70 01 AUG 17 0000 80 01 AUG 17 0600 80 01 AUG 17 1200 80 01 AUG 17 1800 80 01 AUG 18 0000 80 01 AUG 18 0600 80 01 AUG 18 1200 80 01 AUG 18 1800 80 01 AUG 19 0000 80 01 AUG 19 0600 80 01 AUG 19 1200 80 01 AUG 19 1800 80 01 AUG 20 0000 80 01 AUG 20 0600 80 01 AUG 20 1200 70 01 AUG 20 1800 65 01 AUG 21 0000 60 01 AUG 21 0600 60 01 AUG 21 1200 60 01 AUG 21 1800 55 01 AUG 22 0000 50 01 AUG 22 0600 50 01 AUG 22 1200 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: JOLINA JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 16 0000 16.0 N 118.4 E 30 01 AUG 16 0600 16.1 N 118.5 E 30 01 AUG 16 1200 16.0 N 118.5 E 30 (RE = Roger Edson) 01 AUG 16 1800 14.6 N 119.1 E 30 01 AUG 17 0000 14.7 N 119.2 E 15 30 RE: 16.0 N, 119.5 E 01 AUG 17 0600 17.5 N 117.2 E 30 01 AUG 17 1200 17.8 N 117.2 E 30 01 AUG 17 1800 17.5 N 118.5 E 30 01 AUG 18 0000 17.3 N 118.4 E 15 30 RE: 16.0 N, 118.5 E 01 AUG 18 0600 16.3 N 116.3 E 30 01 AUG 18 1200 15.5 N 116.3 E 30 01 AUG 18 1800 15.5 N 116.2 E 30 01 AUG 19 0000 15.1 N 117.1 E 20 30 RE: 16.0 N, 117.5 E 01 AUG 19 0600 15.2 N 117.2 E 30 01 AUG 19 1200 15.0 N 117.0 E Downgraded to Trop Dist 01 AUG 20 0000 16.5 N 117.0 E 20 From Roger Edson track 01 AUG 21 0000 17.0 N 116.5 E 25 | 01 AUG 21 1200 18.5 N 116.0 E 20 | 01 AUG 22 0000 19.5 N 116.5 E 20 | 01 AUG 22 1200 20.0 N 117.5 E 25 | 01 AUG 23 0000 20.5 N 119.0 E 25 | 01 AUG 23 1200 21.0 N 120.0 E 25 | 01 AUG 24 0000 21.0 N 121.5 E 20 V Note: PAGASA was the only meteorological agency issuing warnings on this system that I am aware of. Disturbed weather persisted in the South China Sea in the days following the dissipation of Jolina, and there may possibly be some connection with the development of Tropical Storm Fitow a few days later. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 15W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 24 1200 23.0 N 162.0 E 1004 25 JMA Warning & Summary 01 AUG 24 1800 22.6 N 163.3 E 1002 30 25 JMA: 23.0 N, 162.0 E 01 AUG 25 0000 24.2 N 162.6 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 24.5 N, 162.0 E 01 AUG 25 0600 24.4 N 161.6 E 1002 20 30 JMA: 25.5 N, 161.5 E 01 AUG 25 1200 27.5 N 160.2 E 1002 30 JMA Warning & Summary 01 AUG 25 1800 28.0 N 157.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 26 0000 30.0 N 155.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 26 0600 31.0 N 153.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 26 1200 32.0 N 151.0 E 1004 25 SAB-1402Z: 1.5/2.5 01 AUG 26 1800 33.0 N 149.0 E 1002 25 SAB-2032Z: 1.5/2.5 01 AUG 27 0000 34.0 N 149.0 E 1004 25 SAB-0232Z: 2.0/2.5 01 AUG 27 0600 36.0 N 149.0 E 1000 25 SAB-0832Z: 1.5/2.0 01 AUG 27 1200 37.0 N 148.0 E 1004 25 01 AUG 27 1800 39.0 N 149.0 E 1002 25 01 AUG 28 0000 42.0 N 149.0 E 1006 25 Extratropical 01 AUG 28 0600 44.0 N 151.0 E 1008 25 Note: Roger Edson, at my request, sent me a track for this depression. Since there were significant enough differences with the JMA and JTWC tracks--and especially intensities--which made it difficult to dovetail into one coherent track, I am including Roger's track along with his comments below (positions rounded to nearest 1/2 degree): Date Time Lat Lon MSW Comments (GMT) 1-min (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 23 1800 20.5 N 158.0 E 25 Scat and MI imagery/circ N of Cb 01 AUG 24 0000 20.5 N 160.0 E 30 01 AUG 24 0600 21.5 N 161.5 E 30 Cb forming near circ (offset) 01 AUG 24 1200 22.5 N 163.0 E 35 01 AUG 24 1800 24.5 N 162.5 E 35 JTWC 1st warning 01 AUG 25 0000 25.5 N 162.0 E 40 Accelerates north 01 AUG 25 0600 27.0 N 161.0 E 45 01 AUG 25 1200 27.5 N 159.0 E 45 01 AUG 25 1800 28.0 N 157.0 E 40 Some loss of convection 01 AUG 26 0000 29.5 N 155.0 E 45 Getting better 01 AUG 26 0600 31.0 N 152.5 E 50 Best view - T3.0 01 AUG 26 1200 32.0 N 151.0 E 45 01 AUG 26 1800 33.5 N 149.5 E 40 Shearing begins 01 AUG 27 0000 35.0 N 149.0 E 40 01 AUG 27 0600 37.0 N 148.0 E 40 01 AUG 27 1200 39.0 N 148.0 E 45 Forward acceleration 01 AUG 27 1800 40.5 N 148.5 E 45 01 AUG 28 0000 43.0 N 149.5 E 45 01 AUG 28 0600 44.5 N 150.5 E 40 Extratropical 01 AUG 28 1200 46.5 N 154.5 E 40 Positions to nearest whole degree 01 AUG 28 1800 47.5 N 157.5 E 35 01 AUG 29 0000 48.5 N 162.0 E 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WUTIP Cyclone Number: 16W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0112 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 26 1800 16.5 N 140.2 E 25 01 AUG 27 0000 16.7 N 140.2 E 1000 30 30 01 AUG 27 0600 17.5 N 140.8 E 1000 35 30 01 AUG 27 1200 18.0 N 141.4 E 994 45 40 01 AUG 27 1800 18.8 N 142.1 E 990 50 45 01 AUG 28 0000 19.6 N 143.1 E 985 65 55 01 AUG 28 0600 20.5 N 143.6 E 975 75 60 01 AUG 28 1200 21.2 N 144.4 E 965 90 70 01 AUG 28 1800 22.1 N 144.8 E 960 115 75 01 AUG 29 0000 22.8 N 145.3 E 945 125 80 01 AUG 29 0600 23.3 N 145.8 E 940 130 85 01 AUG 29 1200 24.0 N 146.4 E 930 125 90 01 AUG 29 1800 24.7 N 146.8 E 930 125 90 01 AUG 30 0000 25.0 N 147.1 E 930 125 90 01 AUG 30 0600 25.5 N 147.4 E 935 120 85 01 AUG 30 1200 26.1 N 147.8 E 940 115 80 01 AUG 30 1800 26.9 N 147.9 E 945 90 75 JMA Position 01 AUG 31 0000 27.7 N 147.7 E 950 80 75 01 AUG 31 0600 28.5 N 148.0 E 950 80 75 01 AUG 31 1200 29.4 N 148.5 E 960 80 65 01 AUG 31 1800 30.1 N 149.2 E 965 75 65 01 SEP 01 0000 31.2 N 150.1 E 970 70 60 01 SEP 01 0600 32.1 N 151.0 E 970 70 60 01 SEP 01 1200 32.7 N 152.3 E 975 70 60 NMCC: 32.2 N, 151.0 E 01 SEP 01 1800 33.2 N 153.1 E 980 60 55 01 SEP 02 0000 33.8 N 154.2 E 985 55 50 01 SEP 02 0600 34.5 N 155.7 E 990 50 45 01 SEP 02 1200 35.4 N 157.7 E 990 45 45 JMA: 35.3 N, 156.8 E 01 SEP 02 1800 36.0 N 157.7 E 994 35 40 01 SEP 03 0000 37.8 N 160.3 E 996 40 JMA - Extratropical LOW 01 SEP 03 0600 38.0 N 163.0 E 1000 35 01 SEP 03 1200 41.0 N 166.0 E 1002 35 01 SEP 03 1800 43.0 N 171.0 E 998 35 01 SEP 04 0000 44.0 N 175.0 E 1000 35 01 SEP 04 0600 46.0 N 179.0 W 996 35 Note: Position coordinates were in very good agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Wutip. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC -------------------------------------- 01 AUG 27 1200 35 01 AUG 27 1800 35 01 AUG 28 0000 50 01 AUG 28 0600 60 01 AUG 28 1200 65 01 AUG 28 1800 65 01 AUG 29 0000 80 01 AUG 29 0600 90 01 AUG 29 1200 90 01 AUG 29 1800 90 01 AUG 30 0000 90 01 AUG 30 0600 90 01 AUG 30 1200 80 01 AUG 30 1800 70 01 AUG 31 0000 70 01 AUG 31 0600 70 01 AUG 31 1200 70 01 AUG 31 1800 65 01 SEP 01 0000 65 01 SEP 01 0600 60 01 SEP 01 1200 60 01 SEP 01 1800 60 01 SEP 02 0000 50 01 SEP 02 0600 50 01 SEP 02 1200 45 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: SEPAT Cyclone Number: 17W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0113 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 27 0000 21.7 N 162.9 E 1000 30 30 01 AUG 27 0600 22.5 N 162.1 E 1000 30 30 01 AUG 27 1200 23.3 N 161.4 E 1000 30 30 01 AUG 27 1800 24.0 N 161.5 E 1000 35 30 01 AUG 28 0000 24.4 N 161.2 E 996 45 35 01 AUG 28 0600 25.3 N 161.3 E 994 45 40 01 AUG 28 1200 26.3 N 161.2 E 994 45 40 01 AUG 28 1800 27.7 N 161.0 E 994 45 40 01 AUG 29 0000 29.0 N 160.8 E 994 35 40 01 AUG 29 0600 30.7 N 160.6 E 994 35 40 01 AUG 29 1200 32.0 N 160.2 E 994 35 40 01 AUG 29 1800 34.8 N 159.4 E 992 35 40 JMA: 34.1 N, 160.0 E 01 AUG 30 0000 36.3 N 159.2 E 992 30 40 NMCC: 36.4 N, 159.8 E 01 AUG 30 0600 38.5 N 160.2 E 992 40 JMA Warnings 01 AUG 30 1200 40.5 N 161.4 E 992 40 01 AUG 30 1800 41.8 N 163.5 E 994 40 01 AUG 31 0000 42.8 N 166.2 E 996 40 Note: 0600Z missing 01 AUG 31 1200 45.0 N 174.0 E 1000 35 Extratropical 01 AUG 31 1800 47.0 N 177.0 E 1000 35 01 SEP 01 0000 45.0 N 180.0 E 1004 35 Note: Position coordinates were in good agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Sepat. At 29/1800 UTC the coordinates from NMCC were 33.5 N, 161.0 E. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC -------------------------------------- 01 AUG 28 0600 35 01 AUG 28 1200 35 01 AUG 28 1800 35 01 AUG 29 0000 35 01 AUG 29 0600 35 01 AUG 29 1200 35 01 AUG 29 1800 35 01 AUG 30 0000 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FITOW Cyclone Number: 18W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0114 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 AUG 28 1200 19.4 N 113.4 E 996 25 HKO Warning 01 AUG 28 1800 19.4 N 113.1 E 996 25 " 01 AUG 29 0000 19.6 N 112.1 E 995 25 30 01 AUG 29 0600 19.8 N 111.4 E 994 25 30 01 AUG 29 1200 19.6 N 110.5 E 992 25 30 Over Hainan Dao 01 AUG 29 1800 19.7 N 109.7 E 992 25 30 " 01 AUG 30 0000 19.6 N 109.0 E 990 30 30 JMA: 19.7 N, 109.8 E 01 AUG 30 0600 19.7 N 109.4 E 992 25 30 Still over Hainan 01 AUG 30 1200 20.4 N 108.6 E 992 35 30 JMA Position/Over Water 01 AUG 30 1800 20.7 N 108.7 E 996 35 30 JMA: 21.1 N, 109.3 E 01 AUG 31 0000 21.2 N 108.7 E 990 40 35 JMA: 21.2 N, 109.4 E 01 AUG 31 0600 21.8 N 108.4 E 992 40 30 On coast of China 01 AUG 31 1200 22.2 N 107.6 E 996 30 30 NMCC: 21.8 N, 108.5 E 01 AUG 31 1800 21.7 N 108.7 E 996 30 NMCC Warning Note: Position coordinates were in fairly good agreement between the various warning agencies throughout the life of Fitow. The 10-min mean sustained winds given above were taken from JMA's bulletins with the exception of the first two entries and the last one, as noted above. Following is a tabular summary of the maximum 10-min average wind estimates from NMCC and HKO: Date Time MSW (10-min) in Kts (GMT) NMCC HKO ---------------------------------------- 01 AUG 28 1200 25 01 AUG 28 1800 25 01 AUG 29 0000 30 28 01 AUG 29 0600 30 01 AUG 29 1200 30 30 01 AUG 29 1800 30 01 AUG 30 0000 30 30 01 AUG 30 0600 35 30 01 AUG 30 1200 35 35 01 AUG 30 1800 35 35 01 AUG 31 0000 40 35 01 AUG 31 0600 35 35 01 AUG 31 1200 30 30 01 AUG 31 1800 30 30 ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports (ATCR) which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: For the actual Best Tracks files, click on the link for Best Tracks (in the menu on the left side of the screen) and follow instructions. In the ATCR for 2000, the Chapter 5 tab contains verification statistics of JTWC warnings for all the 2000 tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere. There are gaps in the Best Tracks presented here for certain cyclones during periods in which no warnings were being issued. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Revised 11.24.01 / Typhoon2000.com