GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - DECEMBER 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm TALAS (31W / 0428 / ZOSIMO) 10 - 21 Dec Tropical Storm NORU (32W / 0429) 17 - 23 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: TALAS Cyclone Number: 31W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: ZOSIMO JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0428 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 10 0000 7.6 N 171.5 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 7.1N/170.5E 04 DEC 10 0600 8.4 N 169.7 E 1004 30 30 04 DEC 10 1200 8.5 N 168.2 E 1002 35 30 04 DEC 10 1800 8.3 N 166.1 E 1002 35 30 04 DEC 11 0000 8.3 N 164.4 E 1000 45 30 04 DEC 11 0600 9.1 N 162.1 E 996 45 35 04 DEC 11 1200 9.4 N 159.7 E 996 45 35 JMA: 9.5N/158.6E 04 DEC 11 1800 9.8 N 157.0 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 12 0000 10.0 N 155.5 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 12 0600 10.0 N 153.2 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 12 1200 9.9 N 151.2 E 992 45 40 JMA: 10.1N/150.5E 04 DEC 12 1800 9.9 N 149.5 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 13 0000 10.1 N 147.4 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 13 0600 10.3 N 145.6 E 992 45 40 04 DEC 13 1200 10.5 N 144.0 E 994 40 40 04 DEC 13 1800 11.2 N 142.4 E 994 35 40 04 DEC 14 0000 11.2 N 141.2 E 992 40 40 04 DEC 14 0600 11.7 N 139.2 E 992 40 40 04 DEC 14 1200 12.1 N 137.4 E 992 40 40 04 DEC 14 1800 12.2 N 137.1 E 992 40 40 04 DEC 15 0000 12.0 N 136.3 E 992 35 40 04 DEC 15 0600 11.8 N 135.3 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 15 1200 11.9 N 134.7 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 15 1800 12.0 N 134.1 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 16 0000 12.1 N 133.1 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 16 0600 12.1 N 132.4 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 16 1200 12.6 N 131.9 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 16 1800 13.0 N 131.6 E 996 30 35 04 DEC 17 0000 13.2 N 131.4 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 17 0600 13.6 N 131.5 E 996 45 35 04 DEC 17 1200 14.6 N 131.4 E 996 45 35 04 DEC 17 1800 14.4 N 131.5 E 996 40 35 JMA: 15.6N/130.8E 04 DEC 18 0000 14.5 N 131.5 E 996 40 35 JMA: 15.4N/131.9E 04 DEC 18 0600 15.2 N 130.9 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 18 1200 16.2 N 131.1 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 18 1800 16.6 N 131.1 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 19 0000 17.9 N 131.3 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 19 0600 18.3 N 130.8 E 1000 30 30 04 DEC 19 1200 18.8 N 130.6 E 1004 25 25 04 DEC 19 1800 20.0 N 131.0 E 1006 25 04 DEC 20 0000 20.0 N 131.0 E 1008 25 04 DEC 20 0600 20.0 N 133.0 E 1004 25 04 DEC 20 1200 20.0 N 135.0 E 1006 25 04 DEC 20 1800 20.0 N 137.0 E 1004 25 04 DEC 21 0000 20.0 N 137.0 E 1006 25 Note: The MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang follows: ================================================================ == Tropical Storm 31W/TALAS/0428/0429/ZOSIMO (Dec 9-21, 2004) == ================================================================ TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 31W (TALAS) 45 JMA Typhoon 0428 (TALAS) 40 PAGASA Tropical Storm ZOSIMO 35* NMCC Typhoon 0429 (TALAS) 40 HKO Tropical Storm TALAS (0428) --# CWB Weak Typhoon 0428 (TALAS) 40 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NORU Cyclone Number: 32W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0429 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 17 1800 13.4 N 152.0 E 1004 25 25 JMA: 13.0N/153.0E 04 DEC 18 0000 13.7 N 151.0 E 1000 30 30 04 DEC 18 0600 13.6 N 149.8 E 1000 35 30 04 DEC 18 1200 13.6 N 149.1 E 998 35 30 04 DEC 18 1800 13.5 N 148.3 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 19 0000 13.4 N 147.9 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 19 0600 13.8 N 147.3 E 996 35 35 04 DEC 19 1200 15.0 N 146.7 E 990 40 40 04 DEC 19 1800 16.4 N 146.3 E 990 50 40 04 DEC 20 0000 17.6 N 146.3 E 990 55 40 04 DEC 20 0600 18.7 N 146.3 E 990 55 40 04 DEC 20 1200 19.8 N 147.0 E 990 55 40 04 DEC 20 1800 21.1 N 147.9 E 990 55 40 04 DEC 21 0000 23.0 N 150.0 E 990 50 40 04 DEC 21 0600 24.5 N 153.0 E 990 45 45 04 DEC 21 1200 25.6 N 154.7 E 992 40 JMA warnings 04 DEC 21 1800 26.9 N 158.3 E 992 40 04 DEC 22 0000 27.0 N 161.0 E 990 45 Extratropical 04 DEC 22 0600 27.0 N 164.0 E 996 45 04 DEC 22 1200 27.0 N 167.0 E 998 45 04 DEC 22 1800 27.0 N 170.0 E 998 45 04 DEC 23 0000 25.0 N 172.0 E 1000 40 04 DEC 23 0600 26.0 N 179.0 E 1002 35 04 DEC 23 1200 27.0 N 179.0 W 1002 35 04 DEC 23 1800 27.0 N 175.0 W 1000 40 Note: The MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang follows: ================================================================ == Severe Tropical Storm 32W/NORU/0429/0430 (Dec 17-21, 2004) == ================================================================ TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 32W (NORU) 55 JMA Typhoon 0429 (NORU) 45 NMCC Severe Tropical Storm 0430 (NORU) 50 HKO Tropical Storm NORU (0429) --# CWB Weak Typhoon 0429 (NORU) 40 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. Note 2 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Disturbance (MFR-05) 11 Dec Tropical Cyclone CHAMBO (MFR-06 / 06S) 23 Dec - 02 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 05 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 11 0600 25.8 S 40.1 E 1000 25 04 DEC 11 1200 26.0 S 41.7 E 1002 25 Note: System was a short-lived subtropical disturbance. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHAMBO Cyclone Number: 06S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 06 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 23 0000 7.5 S 87.4 E 1001 25 Locally 30 kts S quads 04 DEC 23 0600 8.0 S 87.1 E 999 30 04 DEC 23 1200 8.9 S 86.7 E 999 30 04 DEC 23 1800 9.5 S 85.6 E 997 35 30 JTWC: 9.5S/86.3E 04 DEC 24 0000 10.0 S 84.7 E 996 30 04 DEC 24 0600 10.8 S 84.6 E 991 45 40 04 DEC 24 1200 11.4 S 83.8 E 980 50 04 DEC 24 1800 11.6 S 82.8 E 975 55 55 04 DEC 25 0000 12.3 S 82.4 E 975 60 04 DEC 25 0600 12.9 S 81.8 E 965 75 70 04 DEC 25 1200 13.7 S 81.3 E 950 80 04 DEC 25 1800 14.3 S 80.6 E 950 90 80 04 DEC 26 0000 15.1 S 80.2 E 950 80 04 DEC 26 0600 15.6 S 79.9 E 955 90 80 04 DEC 26 1200 16.6 S 79.6 E 955 80 04 DEC 26 1800 16.9 S 79.1 E 955 95 80 04 DEC 27 0000 17.6 S 78.9 E 945 85 04 DEC 27 0600 18.0 S 78.2 E 950 95 80 04 DEC 27 1200 18.2 S 77.7 E 955 80 04 DEC 27 1800 18.3 S 76.8 E 965 80 70 JTWC: 19.1S/77.7E 04 DEC 28 0000 18.9 S 76.2 E 985 50 04 DEC 28 0600 19.2 S 75.3 E 985 35 50 04 DEC 28 1200 19.7 S 74.5 E 988 45 04 DEC 28 1800 19.9 S 73.6 E 988 45 04 DEC 29 0000 20.5 S 72.9 E 991 40 04 DEC 29 0600 21.4 S 72.0 E 995 35 04 DEC 29 1200 22.0 S 71.5 E 995 35 04 DEC 29 1800 22.5 S 71.3 E 995 35 04 DEC 30 0000 23.7 S 71.1 E 995 35 04 DEC 30 0600 24.1 S 70.6 E 1000 40 Extratropical 04 DEC 30 1200 25.0 S 70.0 E 1000 40 04 DEC 30 1800 24.4 S 70.2 E 995 45 04 DEC 31 0000 24.7 S 70.0 E 995 45 04 DEC 31 0600 25.1 S 69.9 E 995 45 04 DEC 31 1200 25.3 S 69.5 E 995 45 04 DEC 31 1800 25.7 S 68.9 E 995 45 04 JAN 01 0000 26.6 S 68.5 E 995 45 04 JAN 01 0600 27.2 S 67.8 E 996 40 04 JAN 01 1200 28.0 S 67.8 E 1000 40 04 JAN 01 1800 28.9 S 67.8 E 1000 40 04 JAN 02 0000 29.9 S 67.8 E 1000 40 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical LOW (05S) 02 - 07 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 05S Basin: AUW Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 02 0400 6.0 S 111.0 E 1007 20 04 DEC 03 0400 8.8 S 112.8 E 1005 25 1st Perth gale wrng 04 DEC 03 1000 9.3 S 112.0 E 1004 25 04 DEC 03 1600 9.6 S 111.2 E 1002 25 04 DEC 03 2200 9.7 S 110.5 E 1000 30 04 DEC 04 0400 10.6 S 110.8 E 998 35 30 JTWC-06Z: 10.9S/109.3E 04 DEC 04 1000 11.0 S 110.0 E 998 30 04 DEC 04 1600 11.4 S 109.4 E 998 40 30 JTWC-18Z: 12.6S/107.7E 04 DEC 04 2200 12.4 S 108.9 E 998 30 04 DEC 05 0400 12.5 S 107.9 E 998 35 30 04 DEC 05 1000 13.1 S 107.7 E 998 30 04 DEC 05 1600 13.3 S 107.1 E 998 25 30 04 DEC 05 2100 13.5 S 106.3 E 1002 25 Perth gale wrng canx 04 DEC 06 0400 14.0 S 105.0 E 1002 25 04 DEC 07 0200 16.0 S 101.0 E 1004 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (02F) 03 - 14 Dec Tropical Depression (03F) 05 - 10 Dec Tropical Cyclone JUDY (04F) 22 - 27 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 02F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 03 2100 15.0 S 169.0 E 1002 20 04 DEC 04 0900 13.0 S 170.0 E 1002 25 04 DEC 04 2100 14.0 S 169.5 E 1002 20 04 DEC 05 0900 14.0 S 172.0 E 1002 20 04 DEC 05 2100 13.0 S 171.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 06 0600 13.0 S 168.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 06 2100 11.0 S 169.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 07 0600 11.0 S 169.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 07 2100 12.0 S 173.0 E 1004 15 04 DEC 08 0600 11.5 S 171.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 09 0600 11.5 S 171.0 E 1003 15 04 DEC 09 2300 11.0 S 174.0 E 1003 30 04 DEC 10 0900 13.0 S 180.0 E 1003 30 Relocation 04 DEC 10 2100 13.0 S 176.0 E 1003 30 Relocation 04 DEC 11 0900 12.5 S 176.0 E 1002 30 04 DEC 11 2100 12.5 S 175.5 E 1002 30 04 DEC 12 0900 14.0 S 174.0 E 1002 30 04 DEC 12 1800 14.5 S 172.5 E 1000 30 04 DEC 13 0000 14.0 S 172.0 E 1000 30 04 DEC 13 0600 14.4 S 172.0 E 1000 30 04 DEC 13 1200 14.8 S 171.6 E 1000 30 04 DEC 13 1800 14.4 S 171.6 E 1000 30 04 DEC 14 0000 16.5 S 171.1 E 1002 25 Some peripheral gales 04 DEC 14 0600 18.0 S 171.5 E 1002 30 " 04 DEC 14 1200 18.9 S 171.8 E 1002 30 " 04 DEC 14 1800 20.0 S 172.2 E 1002 30 " ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 03F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 05 2100 11.0 S 180.0 E 1005 20 04 DEC 06 0600 11.0 S 180.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 06 2100 13.0 S 180.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 07 0600 13.0 S 180.0 E 1003 20 04 DEC 07 2100 17.0 S 179.0 W 1004 20 Relocation O4 DEC 08 0600 17.0 S 178.5 W 1003 20 04 DEC 09 0600 17.5 S 177.5 W 1003 20 04 DEC 09 2300 22.0 S 168.0 W 1003 20 04 DEC 10 0900 22.0 S 167.0 W 1006 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JUDY Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 04F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 DEC 22 0000 16.0 S 146.0 W 1003 25 04 DEC 22 0600 16.0 S 146.0 W 1003 25 Some peripheral gales 04 DEC 22 1200 16.0 S 147.0 W 1003 25 " 04 DEC 22 2100 17.2 S 146.5 W 1004 25 " 04 DEC 23 0000 17.5 S 146.8 W 1004 25 " 04 DEC 23 0600 17.8 S 146.8 W 1002 25 " 04 DEC 23 1200 18.0 S 145.8 W 1002 25 " 04 DEC 23 1800 17.8 S 145.4 W 1000 25 " 04 DEC 24 0000 18.1 S 145.0 W 999 30 " 04 DEC 24 0600 18.5 S 145.0 W 998 30 " 04 DEC 24 1200 19.0 S 145.2 W 998 30 " 04 DEC 24 1900 19.5 S 145.2 W 993 40 Named TC Judy 04 DEC 25 0000 20.3 S 145.6 W 993 40 04 DEC 25 0600 20.9 S 145.7 W 989 40 04 DEC 25 1200 21.7 S 146.3 W 989 40 04 DEC 25 1800 22.5 S 146.7 W 989 40 04 DEC 26 0000 23.7 S 147.2 W 989 40 04 DEC 26 0600 24.4 S 147.1 W 990 40 04 DEC 26 1200 25.0 S 147.0 W 990 40 Wellington warnings 04 DEC 26 1800 27.0 S 147.5 W 993 40 04 DEC 27 0000 28.5 S 146.5 W 996 35 04 DEC 27 0600 29.5 S 145.5 W 998 35 Extratropical ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 01.18.05 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com