GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - FEBRUARY 2001 [Revised] !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 NOTE: The track for the subtropical Kona storm was sent to me by David Roth, a meteorologist employed at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC). A special thanks to David for sending me the track. Systems Tracked --------------- Subtropical Cyclone (Kona LOW) 04 - 08 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NEP (System was a typical Hawaiian region subtropical Kona LOW.) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 04 1200 30.7 N 149.1 W 1008 30 Extratropical LOW 01 FEB 04 1800 30.0 N 148.5 W 1007 35 01 FEB 05 0000 29.5 N 149.0 W 1006 30 01 FEB 05 0600 28.9 N 149.6 W 1006 35 01 FEB 05 1200 28.0 N 150.5 W 1005 30 Subtropical LOW 01 FEB 05 1800 26.8 N 151.0 W 1005 30 01 FEB 06 0000 25.6 N 151.6 W 1006 30 01 FEB 06 0600 24.8 N 151.9 W 1006 25 01 FEB 06 1200 24.0 N 152.0 W 1006 30 01 FEB 06 1800 24.6 N 152.5 W 1005 35 01 FEB 07 0000 24.9 N 153.1 W 1005 35 01 FEB 07 0600 25.4 N 153.9 W 1005 45 01 FEB 07 1200 25.7 N 154.6 W 1006 35 01 FEB 07 1800 25.9 N 155.3 W 1007 35 01 FEB 08 0000 25.9 N 156.4 W 1008 35 01 FEB 08 0600 26.0 N 157.7 W 1009 45 01 FEB 08 1200 26.2 N 159.5 W 1012 35 01 FEB 08 1800 26.0 N 161.0 W 1013 40 Note: By 09/0000 UTC the LOW had degenerated into an open wave. The above track of this system was provided to me by David Roth of HPC. David writes: "This is a smooth track compiled from MPC maps. Winds, as usual, are assigned by ships in the neighborhood, not the ST (Hebert- Poteat) classification scheme. The system began as an occluded cyclone, eventually shedding its fronts and gathering convection on its eastern side, like most subtropical cyclones. The highest wind reports seen from ship observations were 45 kts, with the lowest pressure estimated at 1005 mb from the 5th into the 7th. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW were obtained from PAGASA's advisories. Apparently JMA did not issue any bulletins on the following system; hence, there are no central pressure estimates. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2001 webpage, sent me the PAGASA track for this system--a special thanks to Michael for his assistance. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (01W / AURING) 17 - 20 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: AURING JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 17 1800 12.0 N 127.0 E 30 PAGASA Warning 01 FEB 18 0000 10.0 N 125.8 E 25 30 PAGASA: 11.3 N, 125.8 E 01 FEB 18 0600 11.3 N 124.4 E 25 30 PAGASA: 11.3 N, 125.0 E 01 FEB 18 1200 11.3 N 123.6 E 25 30 PAGASA: 11.3 N, 124.1 E 01 FEB 18 1800 12.1 N 122.8 E 25 30 PAGASA: 11.7 N, 123.2 E 01 FEB 19 0000 12.4 N 122.2 E 25 25 PAGASA: 11.6 N, 122.7 E 01 FEB 19 0600 11.5 N 121.8 E 25 25 01 FEB 19 1200 11.7 N 121.0 E 25 25 01 FEB 19 1800 11.8 N 120.8 E 25 25 PAGASA: 12.4 N, 120.0 E 01 FEB 20 0000 11.0 N 121.4 E 20 01 FEB 20 0600 11.0 N 121.1 E 20 Note: In the Philippines the depression tracked from near the Leyte Gulf region west-northwestward across the central Philippines, including the island of Panay, into the northern Sulu Sea south of Mindoro. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's warnings. A very special thanks to Patrick Hoareau of Rennes, France, for sending me the track for this system already typed in the correct format with only minimal editing needed by myself. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (07) 31 Jan - 03 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 07 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 JAN 31 2130 15.0 S 69.4 E 1002 25 JTWC Formation Alert 01 FEB 01 0600 15.9 S 69.3 E 999 25 See Note #1 01 FEB 01 1200 16.9 S 69.5 E 998 30 01 FEB 01 1800 18.1 S 69.0 E 998 30 01 FEB 02 0000 19.5 S 68.9 E 998 30 30 01 FEB 02 0600 21.3 S 68.2 E 996 30 01 FEB 02 1200 22.6 S 67.5 E 996 30 See Note #2 01 FBB 02 1800 23.8 S 67.3 E 996 25 30 01 FEB 03 0000 24.7 S 67.7 E 996 30 01 FEB 03 0600 27.0 S 67.8 E 996 30 01 FEB 03 1200 28.7 S 69.8 E 996 30 Relocated/Becoming XTRP Note #1: Some winds to 30 kts were possible in the eastern quadrant. The system displayed a large circulation. Note #2: The 30-kt winds extended out to 250-300 nm in the southeastern quadrant. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at Perth, Western Australia. Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from Perth's warnings while the 1-min avg MSW was taken from JTWC warnings. A special thanks to Patrick Hoareau for sending me the track for Tropical Cyclone Vincent already typed. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone VINCENT (09S) 05 - 15 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VINCENT Cyclone Number: 09S Basin: AUW Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 05 0400 11.0 S 115.0 E 1005 20 See Note #1 01 FEB 06 0400 13.0 S 116.0 E 1005 20 01 FEB 07 0400 14.0 S 117.0 E 1001 25 01 FEB 08 0400 14.9 S 115.3 E 999 25 01 FEB 09 0400 15.0 S 114.4 E 1000 25 01 FEB 10 0400 15.2 S 113.3 E 997 25 01 FEB 11 0400 16.0 S 113.0 E 996 25 See Note #2 01 FEB 11 1000 16.0 S 113.0 E 995 25 01 FEB 11 1600 16.0 S 112.7 E 993 30 01 FEB 11 2200 16.0 S 112.2 E 990 30 30 01 FEB 12 0400 15.0 S 111.0 E 990 30 01 FEB 12 1000 14.6 S 110.8 E 986 45 Upgraded to TC Vincent 01 FEB 12 1600 14.5 S 111.0 E 985 35 45 JTWC-18Z: 14.9S, 112.5E 01 FEB 12 2200 14.5 S 112.0 E 984 45 01 FEB 13 0000 14.6 S 114.1 E 984 45 Relocated 01 FEB 13 0400 15.0 S 115.1 E 986 35 45 01 FEB 13 1000 15.3 S 115.6 E 986 45 01 FEB 13 1600 15.7 S 116.4 E 986 35 45 01 FEB 13 2200 15.8 S 117.5 E 986 45 01 FEB 14 0400 16.2 S 118.5 E 986 35 45 01 FEB 14 1000 16.5 S 119.0 E 986 45 01 FEB 14 1600 16.7 S 119.6 E 986 35 45 01 FEB 14 2200 16.9 S 120.2 E 980 55 01 FEB 15 0400 17.3 S 119.9 E 980 35 55 01 FEB 15 1000 18.1 S 119.6 E 985 50 01 FEB 15 1200 18.3 S 119.6 E 990 40 01 FEB 15 1800 19.5 S 122.2 E 30 JTWC-relocated/inland Note #1: The 10-min avg MSW given here prior to the first warning from Perth at 11/0400 UTC were not explicitly given in the Tropical Weather Outlooks. They are just reasonable estimates based on the trends in the estimated central pressure. Note #2: Perth initiated High Seas gale warnings at 11/0400 UTC. Winds near the center were estimated to be below gale force, but gales of 40 to 45 kts were forecast for the northern quadrants up to 240 nm from the center due to the strong monsoonal flow. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Brisbane, Queensland, and Darwin, Northern Territory. Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from the Australian centres' warnings while the 1-min avg MSW was taken from JTWC warnings. Information on Tropical Depression 07F/10P after it had moved east of 160E was obtained from the warnings issued by Nadi, Fiji. A special thanks to Patrick Hoareau for sending me the tracks for Tropical Cyclone Winsome and Tropical Depression 07F already typed. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone WINSOME (08P) 08 - 11 Feb Tropical Cyclone WYLVA 15 - 16 Feb Tropical Depression (07F / 10P) 16 - 18 Feb Tropical Cyclone ABIGAIL (12P) 22 - 27 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WINSOME Cyclone Number: 08P Basin: AUE Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 08 0400 11.0 S 137.5 E 1000 25 01 FEB 09 0130 10.5 S 137.5 E 998 30 01 FEB 09 0730 10.5 S 137.0 E 996 30 01 FEB 09 1330 11.0 S 137.0 E 996 30 01 FEB 09 1800 11.0 S 137.0 E 993 30 01 FEB 10 0000 11.3 S 137.3 E 993 30 01 FEB 10 0600 12.3 S 137.6 E 989 30 30 01 FEB 10 1200 13.5 S 136.6 E 980 40 01 FEB 10 1800 14.0 S 136.0 E 980 35 40 JTWC: 14.3 S, 136.5 S 01 FEB 11 0000 14.5 S 135.2 E 984 40 Inland 01 FEB 11 0600 15.0 S 135.0 E 990 45 30 01 FEB 11 1800 16.0 S 133.5 E 30 Final JTWC Warning ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WYLVA Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 15 0600 15.5 S 140.0 E 996 30 01 FEB 15 1200 15.0 S 140.0 E 996 25 30 01 FEB 15 1800 15.3 S 138.7 E 994 30 01 FEB 16 0000 15.4 S 138.4 E 990 30 40 01 FEB 16 0600 16.0 S 138.0 E 990 40 01 FEB 16 1200 16.5 S 137.0 E 995 35 Inland and weakening Note: JTWC did not issue any warnings on this system, although a Formation Alert was issued at 16/0030 UT. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 10P Basin: AUE/SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 16 0100 17.4 S 158.2 E 1000 30 Brisbane Warning 01 FEB 16 0600 17.5 S 159.0 E 1000 30 01 FEB 16 1200 17.8 S 160.5 E 999 30 Fiji Warning 01 FEB 16 1800 18.3 S 161.1 E 999 30 01 FEB 17 0000 19.3 S 162.9 E 997 35 30 01 FEB 17 0600 19.1 S 164.1 E 996 30 01 FEB 17 1200 19.5 S 165.8 E 996 35 30 01 FEB 17 1800 20.5 S 166.0 E 995 30 01 FEB 18 0000 21.0 S 167.0 E 35 Final JTWC Warning ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ABIGAIL Cyclone Number: 12P Basin: AUE Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 22 0800 12.0 S 157.0 E 1001 30 See Note 01 FEB 22 1300 12.0 S 155.5 E 1001 30 01 FEB 22 1800 14.0 S 154.0 E 999 30 01 FEB 23 0000 15.5 S 154.5 E 998 30 01 FEB 23 0600 16.5 S 151.5 E 996 30 01 FEB 23 1200 17.5 S 150.0 E 996 30 01 FEB 23 1800 17.6 S 148.4 E 993 30 01 FEB 24 0000 16.7 S 146.2 E 992 40 01 FEB 24 0300 16.5 S 145.3 E 995 30 Inland 01 FEB 24 1300 16.7 S 143.5 E 997 25 01 FEB 24 1900 16.3 S 143.2 E 997 25 01 FEB 25 0000 16.5 S 141.3 E 997 30 01 FEB 25 0600 16.5 S 140.7 E 994 30 Over water 01 FEB 25 1200 15.9 S 140.2 E 994 30 01 FEB 25 1800 15.8 S 140.0 E 992 35 35 01 FEB 26 0000 15.9 S 139.8 E 985 50 01 FEB 26 0600 16.3 S 139.5 E 975 55 60 01 FEB 26 1200 16.7 S 138.6 E 970 65 01 FEB 26 1800 16.6 S 137.5 E 985 55 45 01 FEB 27 0000 16.9 S 137.0 E 990 40 Inland 01 FEB 27 0430 17.0 S 136.7 E 992 30 Final Darwin advice 01 FEB 27 0600 17.1 S 136.2 E 45 Final JTWC Warning Note: The High Seas warning from Brisbane at 22/0800 UTC indicated that a complex area of low pressure lay over the northern Coral Sea with two centers of about 1001 mb: one near 12.0S, 157.0E and the other near 17.5S, 154.0E. Over the next 24 hours the two LOW centers were forecast to interact with a 999-mb center that was expected to develop near 15.0S, 152.0E by 23/0600 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for South Pacific Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of 25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC were utilized for the purpose of making comparisons and for supplying information for times when the Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The 10-min avg MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand warnings while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the JTWC warnings. A special thanks to Alipate Waqaicelua, Chief Forecaster at the Nadi TCWC, for sending me the tracks for Tropical Cyclones Oma and Paula; and also to Steve Ready at the Wellington office of the New Zealand Meteorological Service for sending me some missing warnings on Tropical Cyclones Oma and Rita. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone OMA (08F / 11P) 20 - 22 Feb Tropical Cyclone PAULA (09F / 13P) 25 Feb - 05 Mar Tropical Cyclone RITA (10F / 14P) 28 Feb - 05 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OMA Cyclone Number: 11P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 08F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 20 0600 20.8 S 164.7 W 1002 25 01 FEB 20 1200 21.5 S 164.0 W 1000 25 01 FEB 20 1800 22.5 S 162.5 W 995 35 35 01 FEB 20 2000 23.0 S 162.0 W 990 45 01 FEB 21 0000 23.5 S 161.5 W 985 50 01 FEB 21 0600 24.2 S 160.0 W 980 50 55 01 FEB 21 1200 25.5 S 158.0 W 985 50 01 FEB 21 1700 27.5 S 155.5 W 982 45 55 01 FEB 22 0000 29.0 S 153.0 W 984 50 01 FEB 22 0600 32.5 S 152.0 W 986 45 50 JTWC: 32.6 S, 150.2 W 01 FEB 22 1200 36.0 S 150.0 W 984 50 Extratropical ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PAULA Cyclone Number: 13P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 09F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 25 2000 11.0 S 163.0 E 1000 30 01 FEB 26 0000 11.5 S 164.5 E 999 30 01 FEB 26 0600 12.2 S 164.9 E 998 30 01 FEB 26 1200 13.0 S 165.0 E 996 35 35 01 FEB 26 1800 13.1 S 164.6 E 990 40 01 FEB 27 0000 13.5 S 164.2 E 985 45 50 01 FEB 27 0600 13.7 S 165.0 E 980 55 01 FEB 27 1200 14.2 S 165.3 E 970 55 65 01 FEB 27 1800 15.0 S 166.3 E 965 70 01 FEB 28 0000 16.1 S 166.5 E 955 85 80 01 FEB 28 0600 16.9 S 167.7 E 950 80 01 FEB 28 1200 17.4 S 168.8 E 945 85 85 01 FEB 28 1800 18.1 S 170.2 E 945 85 01 MAR 01 0000 18.6 S 171.4 E 945 90 85 01 MAR 01 0600 19.2 S 173.3 E 945 85 01 MAR 01 1200 19.8 S 175.3 E 945 90 85 01 MAR 01 1800 20.4 S 177.1 E 935 90 01 MAR 02 0000 21.2 S 178.9 E 935 90 90 01 MAR 02 0600 22.9 S 179.3 W 940 90 01 MAR 02 1200 23.0 S 177.7 W 950 90 90 01 MAR 02 1800 24.0 S 176.5 W 960 85 01 MAR 03 0000 24.8 S 175.7 W 970 80 75 JTWC: 24.3 S, 175.7 W 01 MAR 03 0600 25.6 S 175.0 W 970 65 Wellington Warnings 01 MAR 03 1200 26.5 S 173.5 W 972 65 65 JTWC: 26.2 S, 174.2 W 01 MAR 03 1800 26.5 S 173.1 W 980 60 01 MAR 04 0000 27.5 S 172.5 W 980 55 60 01 MAR 04 0600 29.0 S 172.0 W 988 50 Extratropical 01 MAR 04 1100 29.0 S 171.0 W 988 45 50 JTWC: 30.1 S, 170.6 W 01 MAR 04 1700 31.0 S 169.0 W 992 40 01 MAR 04 2300 33.0 S 168.0 W 991 40 01 MAR 05 0500 35.0 S 166.0 W 991 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: RITA Cyclone Number: 14P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 10F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 FEB 28 2000 19.3 S 136.3 W 998 35 01 MAR 01 0000 19.7 S 136.3 W 996 35 01 MAR 01 0600 19.7 S 136.0 W 995 35 01 MAR 01 1200 19.7 S 135.8 W 995 35 01 MAR 01 1800 19.8 S 135.0 W 995 35 35 01 MAR 02 0000 20.2 S 134.8 W 987 45 01 MAR 02 0600 20.6 S 134.6 W 985 35 50 01 MAR 02 1200 20.9 S 134.2 W 995 35 01 MAR 02 1800 21.7 S 135.0 W 995 35 35 01 MAR 03 0000 23.1 S 135.2 W 990 45 01 MAR 03 0600 23.4 S 135.4 W 990 40 40 01 MAR 03 1200 23.5 S 135.5 W 990 40 01 MAR 03 1800 24.3 S 136.0 W 990 40 40 JTWC: 24.8 S, 136.3 W 01 MAR 04 0000 26.0 S 137.0 W 990 40 01 MAR 04 0600 26.0 S 136.0 W 985 40 45 JTWC: 26.5 S, 136.7 W 01 MAR 04 1200 27.5 S 137.5 W 986 45 01 MAR 04 1800 29.5 S 136.5 W 990 35 40 01 MAR 05 0000 30.5 S 135.5 W 990 40 01 MAR 05 0500 32.0 S 134.0 W 996 30 35 JTWC: 31.7 S, 135.6 W 01 MAR 05 1100 33.0 S 136.0 W 999 35 XTRP at 0500 UTC ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Revised 05.17.01 / Typhoon2000.com