GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm ELITA (MFR-06 / 09S) 26 Jan - 12 Feb Tropical Cyclone FRANK (MFR-07 / 10S) 27 Jan - 07 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ELITA Cyclone Number: 09S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 06 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JAN 26 0600 18.1 S 43.1 E 999 25 Locally 30-35 kts to N 04 JAN 26 1200 18.2 S 43.1 E 997 30 04 JAN 26 1800 18.2 S 43.2 E 997 35 30 04 JAN 27 0000 18.4 S 43.3 E 995 35 04 JAN 27 0600 17.8 S 43.4 E 994 35 35 JTWC: 18.9 S, 43.6 E 04 JAN 27 1200 16.7 S 43.5 E 994 35 35 04 JAN 27 1800 16.5 S 43.7 E 997 30 04 JAN 28 0000 15.8 S 44.3 E 992 55 40 04 JAN 28 0600 15.2 S 44.9 E 988 45 04 JAN 28 1200 15.4 S 45.5 E 974 60 60 04 JAN 28 1800 16.2 S 46.3 E 980 50 Inland 04 JAN 29 0000 17.1 S 47.2 E 987 35 40 04 JAN 29 0600 18.1 S 48.2 E 992 40 04 JAN 29 1200 19.0 S 48.1 E 995 35 04 JAN 29 1800 19.4 S 48.6 E 997 30 04 JAN 30 0000 19.9 S 49.2 E 998 25 Locally 30 kts 04 JAN 30 0600 21.1 S 49.1 E 998 25 " 04 JAN 30 1200 21.3 S 49.2 E 997 30 04 JAN 30 1800 21.6 S 49.2 E 997 30 04 JAN 31 0000 21.5 S 48.2 E 991 40 04 JAN 31 0600 20.7 S 46.7 E 998 40 Overland 04 JAN 31 1200 20.8 S 45.6 E 25 04 JAN 31 1800 20.8 S 44.6 E 35 25 04 FEB 01 0000 20.0 S 43.8 E 998 30 04 FEB 01 0600 18.8 S 43.0 E 996 45 30 04 FEB 01 1200 18.6 S 42.4 E 992 40 04 FEB 01 1800 19.0 S 42.5 E 988 55 45 04 FEB 02 0000 19.1 S 42.6 E 987 45 04 FEB 02 0600 19.2 S 42.5 E 985 55 50 04 FEB 02 1200 19.2 S 42.7 E 980 55 04 FEB 02 1800 19.4 S 43.4 E 976 65 55 04 FEB 03 0000 20.3 S 44.2 E 976 60 04 FEB 03 0600 20.9 S 45.2 E 982 55 40 Inland 04 FEB 03 1200 21.5 S 46.0 E 986 40 04 FEB 03 1800 21.5 S 47.4 E 45 30 04 FEB 04 0000 22.8 S 48.9 E 995 30 Over water 04 FEB 04 0600 24.8 S 50.3 E 988 35 35 04 FEB 04 1200 24.0 S 49.2 E 988 35 Relocated 04 FEB 04 1800 25.3 S 49.3 E 988 35 40 Gales away from center 04 FEB 05 0000 24.7 S 50.6 E 988 40 Extratropical 04 FEB 05 0600 25.5 S 50.6 E 989 35 04 FEB 05 1200 26.6 S 50.3 E 992 35 04 FEB 05 1800 26.0 S 50.7 E 992 40 04 FEB 06 0000 26.7 S 51.3 E 992 40 04 FEB 06 0600 26.9 S 52.3 E 992 40 04 FEB 06 1200 26.3 S 51.5 E 992 40 04 FEB 06 1800 26.2 S 51.9 E 992 40 04 FEB 07 0000 25.4 S 52.2 E 992 40 04 FEB 07 0600 25.1 S 51.8 E 992 45 04 FEB 07 1200 25.8 S 52.7 E 992 45 04 FEB 07 1800 26.3 S 53.2 E 994 40 04 FEB 08 0000 26.2 S 53.6 E 995 40 04 FEB 08 0600 26.1 S 52.8 E 995 40 04 FEB 08 1200 26.1 S 52.9 E 995 40 04 FEB 08 1800 25.9 S 54.3 E 995 40 04 FEB 09 0000 26.2 S 55.2 E 995 40 04 FEB 09 0600 25.7 S 54.2 E 996 35 04 FEB 09 1200 24.8 S 55.2 E 997 35 04 FEB 09 1800 24.4 S 56.4 E 999 35 04 FEB 10 0000 24.3 S 57.0 E 1000 30 04 FEB 10 0600 27.5 S 57.5 E 998 30 Relocated 04 FEB 10 1200 27.0 S 58.0 E 998 30 04 FEB 10 1800 26.5 S 57.5 E 1000 30 04 FEB 11 0000 27.0 S 57.0 E 1000 30 04 FEB 11 0600 27.0 S 55.6 E 1000 40 Relocated 04 FEB 11 1200 27.8 S 54.4 E 1000 40 04 FEB 11 1800 27.9 S 53.6 E 1000 40 04 FEB 12 0000 28.9 S 52.5 E 1004 30 04 FEB 12 0600 30.8 S 50.0 E 1004 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FRANK Cyclone Number: 10S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 07 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JAN 27 1200 11.5 S 64.5 E 1003 30 25 04 JAN 27 1800 11.8 S 65.0 E 997 30 04 JAN 28 0000 12.3 S 65.0 E 997 30 04 JAN 28 0600 13.0 S 64.5 E 987 50 45 04 JAN 28 1200 14.2 S 64.4 E 982 50 04 JAN 28 1800 15.0 S 64.1 E 975 65 60 04 JAN 29 0000 15.3 S 63.8 E 970 65 04 JAN 29 0600 15.7 S 63.6 E 967 90 65 04 JAN 29 1200 16.2 S 63.2 E 967 65 04 JAN 29 1800 16.5 S 63.1 E 967 90 65 04 JAN 30 0000 16.4 S 62.5 E 960 70 04 JAN 30 0600 16.0 S 62.1 E 945 90 90 04 JAN 30 1200 15.7 S 61.8 E 945 90 04 JAN 30 1800 15.5 S 61.6 E 925 105 105 04 JAN 31 0000 15.4 S 61.5 E 925 105 04 JAN 31 0600 15.3 S 61.7 E 935 110 95 04 JAN 31 1200 15.5 S 61.9 E 940 90 04 JAN 31 1800 15.8 S 62.0 E 945 115 85 04 FEB 01 0000 16.0 S 62.3 E 945 85 04 FEB 01 0600 16.0 S 62.9 E 945 115 85 04 FEB 01 1200 16.2 S 64.2 E 950 80 04 FEB 01 1800 16.9 S 65.0 E 940 115 95 04 FEB 02 0000 17.0 S 66.1 E 925 105 04 FEB 02 0600 17.2 S 67.1 E 925 125 95 04 FEB 02 1200 17.3 S 67.9 E 925 100 04 FEB 02 1800 17.3 S 69.1 E 927 125 100 04 FEB 03 0000 17.6 S 70.0 E 935 95 04 FEB 03 0600 17.5 S 70.6 E 945 100 85 04 FEB 03 1200 17.8 S 70.8 E 945 85 04 FEB 03 1800 17.8 S 70.8 E 945 100 85 04 FEB 04 0000 18.3 S 70.5 E 940 90 04 FEB 04 0600 18.5 S 70.4 E 942 115 90 04 FEB 04 1200 18.7 S 70.2 E 942 90 04 FEB 04 1800 19.1 S 69.9 E 942 110 90 04 FEB 05 0000 19.5 S 70.0 E 942 90 04 FEB 05 0600 19.9 S 69.9 E 945 95 85 04 FEB 05 1200 20.5 S 70.7 E 955 80 04 FEB 05 1800 21.1 S 71.1 E 965 75 70 04 FEB 06 0000 21.5 S 72.0 E 978 60 04 FEB 06 0600 22.3 S 73.2 E 985 55 50 04 FEB 06 1200 23.0 S 74.5 E 990 40 04 FEB 06 1800 24.0 S 76.1 E 992 45 40 Extratropical 04 FEB 07 0000 25.3 S 77.6 E 992 40 04 FEB 07 0600 26.1 S 78.9 E 994 35 04 FEB 07 1200 27.8 S 80.4 E 994 35 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone KEN (08S) 01 - 06 Jan Tropical Cyclone LINDA (11S / MFR-08) 28 Jan - 01 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KEN Cyclone Number: 08S Basin: AUW (Storm named by the Perth, Western Australia, TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JAN 01 0700 16.5 S 125.0 E 998 25 Over land 04 JAN 01 1000 16.6 S 124.5 E 998 25 04 JAN 01 1600 16.4 S 122.7 E 998 25 25 Over water 04 JAN 01 2200 16.4 S 121.8 E 995 30 04 JAN 02 0400 16.5 S 119.6 E 995 30 30 JTWC-06Z: 16.6S, 120.5E 04 JAN 02 1000 16.5 S 118.5 E 995 35 30 Monsoonal gales N quads 04 JAN 02 1600 16.3 S 117.9 E 995 35 30 JTWC-18Z: 16.4S, 118.7E 04 JAN 02 2200 16.3 S 117.7 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 03 0400 16.7 S 117.4 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 03 1000 16.8 S 116.7 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 03 1600 17.4 S 116.7 E 995 35 30 Relocated 04 JAN 03 2200 17.9 S 116.4 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 04 0400 18.2 S 115.4 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 04 1000 18.5 S 115.2 E 995 35 30 JTWC-12Z: 18.8S, 114.6E 04 JAN 04 1600 18.5 S 114.6 E 995 35 30 JTWC-18Z: 18.5S, 115.2E 04 JAN 04 1900 18.7 S 114.4 E 992 40 Upgraded to TC Ken 04 JAN 04 2200 18.9 S 114.6 E 992 35 40 JTWC-00Z: 18.8S, 115.1E 04 JAN 05 0400 19.4 S 115.0 E 992 35 40 04 JAN 05 0700 20.1 S 114.9 E 992 40 Relocated 04 JAN 05 1000 20.6 S 114.6 E 992 35 40 04 JAN 05 1600 21.0 S 114.4 E 995 25 35 04 JAN 05 1900 21.2 S 114.3 E 998 30 Final Perth Warning 04 JAN 06 0000 21.3 S 113.9 E 25 JTWC Warning 04 JAN 06 1200 21.7 S 113.3 E 20 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LINDA Cyclone Number: 11S Basin: SWI/AUW MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08 / (Named by Perth TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JAN 28 0600 6.2 S 89.5 E 1002 25 Locally 30 kts 04 JAN 28 1200 6.8 S 89.9 E 1002 25 " 04 JAN 28 1800 7.0 S 90.2 E 1004 30 JTWC Trop WX Outlook 04 JAN 29 0000 7.7 S 92.2 E 35 JTWC Warning 04 JAN 29 0100 8.5 S 92.5 E 1000 30 Perth Warning 04 JAN 29 0400 8.4 S 93.4 E 998 30 Relocated 04 JAN 29 1000 9.8 S 93.5 E 998 35 30 04 JAN 29 1600 10.1 S 94.0 E 995 30 04 JAN 29 2200 10.8 S 94.1 E 995 35 30 04 JAN 30 0300 11.2 S 95.2 E 995 30 04 JAN 30 0400 11.5 S 95.2 E 990 45 Named TC Linda 04 JAN 30 1000 12.6 S 95.6 E 990 35 45 04 JAN 30 1600 13.5 S 95.9 E 990 45 04 JAN 30 2200 14.3 S 96.0 E 985 45 55 04 JAN 31 0400 15.1 S 95.8 E 982 55 04 JAN 31 1000 16.0 S 95.9 E 980 45 50 04 JAN 31 1600 16.8 S 95.9 E 978 55 04 JAN 31 2200 17.6 S 96.1 E 985 45 50 04 FEB 01 0400 18.2 S 95.8 E 990 40 04 FEB 01 1000 18.9 S 95.3 E 990 35 40 04 FEB 01 1600 19.4 S 95.2 E 998 33 Final Perth Warning 04 FEB 01 1800 19.3 S 94.9 E 30 Final JTWC Warning ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone HETA (03F / 07P) 28 Dec - 11 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HETA Cyclone Number: 07P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 03F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 DEC 28 2100 14.0 S 180.0 W 1004 15 03 DEC 29 0600 14.0 S 180.0 W 1003 15 03 DEC 29 1800 15.0 S 179.0 W 1002 15 03 DEC 31 0900 13.0 S 176.0 W 997 20 03 DEC 31 2100 11.5 S 175.0 W 997 25 04 JAN 01 0000 10.5 S 175.6 W 997 35 30 04 JAN 01 0600 9.0 S 174.8 W 997 35 30 JTWC: 9.5 S, 175.4 W 04 JAN 01 1200 8.7 S 175.9 W 996 35 30 JTWC: 8.7 S, 175.0 W 04 JAN 01 1800 8.5 S 175.5 W 996 35 30 JTWC: 8.5 S, 174.8 W 04 JAN 02 0000 8.0 S 174.3 W 996 40 30 04 JAN 02 0300 8.1 S 174.2 W 995 35 Upgraded to TC Heta 04 JAN 02 0600 8.3 S 174.0 W 987 55 45 04 JAN 02 1200 8.0 S 174.1 W 985 55 50 04 JAN 02 1800 8.4 S 173.9 W 980 55 55 04 JAN 03 0000 9.3 S 174.0 W 975 60 60 04 JAN 03 0600 9.7 S 173.7 W 975 65 65 04 JAN 03 1200 10.5 S 174.2 W 975 65 70 04 JAN 03 1800 10.6 S 174.6 W 965 75 70 04 JAN 04 0000 10.8 S 174.8 W 965 75 70 04 JAN 04 0600 11.5 S 174.4 W 955 80 80 04 JAN 04 1200 12.3 S 174.3 W 940 100 90 04 JAN 04 1800 13.2 S 174.1 W 925 125 100 04 JAN 05 0000 13.9 S 174.1 W 915 140 115 04 JAN 05 0600 14.7 S 173.5 W 915 140 115 04 JAN 05 1200 15.6 S 173.0 W 915 140 115 04 JAN 05 1800 16.7 S 172.2 W 915 130 115 04 JAN 06 0000 18.1 S 171.1 W 915 130 115 04 JAN 06 0600 19.8 S 169.9 W 920 125 110 04 JAN 06 1200 21.5 S 168.5 W 925 100 04 JAN 06 1800 22.8 S 167.1 W 935 115 90 JTWC: 22.3 S, 167.0 W 04 JAN 07 0000 24.4 S 165.6 W 940 90 04 JAN 07 0600 25.5 S 164.6 W 965 80 70 JTWC: 26.2 S, 163.7 W 04 JAN 07 1200 28.5 S 162.0 W 950 80 04 JAN 07 1800 28.5 S 161.5 W 970 65 65 JTWC: 28.8 S, 160.6 W 04 JAN 07 2300 30.0 S 160.0 W 975 60 Extratropical 04 JAN 08 0500 32.0 S 159.0 W 980 35 55 04 JAN 08 1100 33.0 S 158.0 W 984 50 04 JAN 08 2300 33.0 S 159.0 W 991 50 1700Z data missing 04 JAN 09 0500 34.0 S 157.0 W 980 50 04 JAN 09 1100 34.0 S 158.0 W 990 50 04 JAN 09 1700 34.0 S 159.0 W 989 45 04 JAN 09 2300 33.0 S 160.0 W 993 45 04 JAN 10 0500 33.0 S 162.0 W 992 40 04 JAN 10 1700 32.0 S 165.0 W 999 40 1100Z data missing 04 JAN 10 2300 32.0 S 165.0 W 999 40 04 JAN 11 0500 30.0 S 167.0 W 995 35 04 JAN 11 1700 30.0 S 168.0 W 999 40 1100Z data missing 04 JAN 11 2300 30.0 S 168.0 W 999 35 Note: Warnings from 07/0600 UTC onward were issued by the Wellington, New Zealand, weather service. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 03.09.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com