GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2010 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ********** SPECIAL NOTE ********** I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing- ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones during the most active part of the NWP season from July through December. Kevin has already typed up some of the tracks from the latter part of 2009. Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific cyclones during the active months of the Southern Hemisphere season. Also, Steve Young has now for a year or more been sending me tracks with data for the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical cyclones in all basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data. A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their assistance. ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). A special thanks to Michael for his efforts. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 Pacific Typhoon Season: Following is a link to Michael Padua's storm logs for the January tropical cyclone: 01w - Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (01W) 18 - 20 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 18 0600 8.0 N 113.0 E 1008 25 JMA bulletins 10 JAN 18 1200 7.0 N 112.0 E 1008 25 10 JAN 18 1800 8.2 N 110.6 E 1008 30 25 JMA: 7.0N/111.0E 10 JAN 19 0000 8.4 N 110.1 E 1008 30 25 JMA: 8.0N/112.0E 10 JAN 19 0600 8.2 N 109.9 E 1006 30 25 10 JAN 19 1200 8.8 N 109.3 E 1008 25 25 10 JAN 19 1800 9.4 N 108.3 E 1008 25 25 10 JAN 20 0000 10.0 N 107.0 E 1010 20 JMA bulletins 10 JAN 20 0600 11.0 N 106.0 E 1010 20 Note: JTWC did assign a Dvorak rating of T2.5/2.5 at 12/2330 UTC only, but that agency did not upgrade the depression to tropical storm status. SAB's highest Dvorak rating was T2.0/2.0. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Note: A tropical LOW from the Australian Region tracked westward into the SWI basin and became the Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Edzani. Since the system began in Perth's AOR, I have included the track in the next section covering the Northwest Australia/Southeast Indian Ocean region. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010 Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Disturbance (MFR-09) 15 Jan Subtropical Depression (MFR-10 / 11S) 26 - 30 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 15 0600 22.3 S 51.0 E 1005 25 Locally 30 kts S semi. 10 JAN 15 1200 22.7 S 51.3 E 1006 25 " Note: MFR assigned a Dvorak rating of T2.0/2.0 at 15/0600 UTC, but this had come down by the time of the next and final bulletin on the system. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 11S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 26 1800 15.6 S 59.8 E 1006 20 10 JAN 27 0000 17.6 S 58.5 E 1006 20 10 JAN 27 0600 18.3 S 58.0 E 1005 20 10 JAN 27 1200 19.7 S 59.5 E 1004 25 Locally 30 kts E semi. 10 JAN 27 1800 20.5 S 59.9 E 1003 35 25 JTWC: 19.7S/61.0E 10 JAN 28 0000 20.9 S 59.8 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts E semi. 10 JAN 28 0600 21.3 S 59.1 E 1000 35 25 " 10 JAN 28 1200 21.8 S 59.3 E 1001 25 " 10 JAN 28 1800 22.7 S 59.3 E 1000 30 25 " 10 JAN 29 0000 23.8 S 59.4 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts E & SW 10 JAN 29 0600 25.1 S 59.8 E 997 30 30 Subtropical depression 10 JAN 29 1200 26.5 S 59.9 E 995 35 Locally 40 kts E semi. 10 JAN 29 1800 27.3 S 60.4 E 997 35 30 10 JAN 30 0000 28.2 S 60.7 E 998 25 Locally 30 kts E semi. 10 JAN 30 0600 29.0 S 61.8 E 999 30 25 " 10 JAN 30 1200 30.1 S 62.2 E 1000 20 Locally 30 kts NE quad. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. For the portion of Tropical Cyclone Edzani's track lying west of longitude 90E, the following applies: The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. (The Wikipedia report on TC Edzani may be found in the appropriate link for the SWI basin--see above section.) Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010 Australian Region Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical LOW (02U) 02 - 04 Jan Tropical Cyclone EDZANI (03U / 07S / MFR-08) 02 - 17 Jan Tropical Cyclone MAGDA (06U / 08S) 19 - 22 Jan Note: Within the SWI basin, TC Edzani reached MFR's superlative "Very Intense Tropical Cyclone" status, with winds reaching or exceeding 120 kts. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW (Australian Tropical LOW 02U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 02 1800 13.1 S 129.9 E 1003 25 10 JAN 03 0000 13.1 S 129.9 E 1003 25 1st high seas warning 10 JAN 03 0600 13.0 S 129.7 E 997 20 10 JAN 03 1200 13.0 S 130.0 E 999 20 10 JAN 03 1800 12.9 S 129.9 E 999 20 10 JAN 04 0000 13.4 S 129.6 E 998 25 10 JAN 04 0600 13.4 S 129.6 E 998 25 Tech bulletin 10 JAN 04 1200 13.9 S 129.3 E 995 25 Tech bulletin 10 JAN 04 1800 14.2 S 129.6 E 991 25 Final high seas warning ************************************************************************* Storm Name: EDZANI Cyclone Number: 07S Basin: AUW/SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08 (Initially Australian LOW 03U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 02 0000 9.6 S 94.4 E 1002 25 Perth warnings 10 JAN 02 0600 10.0 S 94.5 E 1002 25 10 JAN 02 1200 10.2 S 94.4 E 1000 25 10 JAN 02 1800 10.5 S 94.0 E 1000 30 10 JAN 03 0000 10.6 S 93.6 E 1000 30 10 JAN 03 0600 10.2 S 92.7 E 1000 30 10 JAN 03 1200 10.4 S 92.3 E 1000 30 10 JAN 03 1800 10.8 S 91.5 E 1000 30 10 JAN 04 0000 10.8 S 90.7 E 1002 30 10 JAN 04 0300 10.7 S 89.9 E 1002 30 10 JAN 04 1200 10.2 S 87.8 E 1000 25 MFR warnings 10 JAN 04 1800 10.8 S 87.3 E 999 25 10 JAN 05 0000 11.1 S 86.9 E 998 30 10 JAN 05 0600 10.9 S 85.8 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts W quad. 10 JAN 05 1200 12.2 S 85.7 E 998 25 10 JAN 05 1800 12.2 S 84.5 E 997 30 10 JAN 06 0000 12.8 S 83.5 E 997 35 30 JTWC: 12.5S/84.3E 10 JAN 06 0600 12.7 S 82.6 E 994 40 10 JAN 06 1200 13.1 S 81.9 E 991 35 40 10 JAN 06 1800 13.8 S 80.9 E 991 40 10 JAN 07 0000 13.8 S 80.4 E 980 55 55 10 JAN 07 0600 14.1 S 80.1 E 970 65 10 JAN 07 1200 14.5 S 79.6 E 947 100 85 10 JAN 07 1800 14.9 S 78.9 E 927 100 10 JAN 08 0000 15.2 S 78.3 E 923 125 105 10 JAN 08 0600 15.6 S 77.7 E 915 110 10 JAN 08 1200 16.1 S 77.1 E 905 135 120 10 JAN 08 1800 16.4 S 76.2 E 905 120 10 JAN 09 0000 16.9 S 75.5 E 910 125 115 10 JAN 09 0600 17.6 S 74.7 E 925 105 10 JAN 09 1200 18.3 S 73.6 E 925 115 105 10 JAN 09 1800 19.0 S 73.1 E 935 95 10 JAN 10 0000 20.1 S 72.2 E 940 95 90 10 JAN 10 0600 21.1 S 71.7 E 947 85 10 JAN 10 1200 22.1 S 71.4 E 960 90 75 10 JAN 10 1800 23.5 S 71.0 E 970 65 10 JAN 11 0000 24.3 S 71.3 E 975 75 60 10 JAN 11 0600 25.0 S 71.8 E 985 50 10 JAN 11 1200 25.8 S 72.0 E 987 45 45 10 JAN 11 1800 25.9 S 73.2 E 988 40 10 JAN 12 0000 26.0 S 72.4 E 980 40 45 Extratropical per MFR 10 JAN 12 0600 25.9 S 71.6 E 980 50 10 JAN 12 1200 26.4 S 70.9 E 980 45 10 JAN 12 1800 26.7 S 70.0 E 982 45 45 10 JAN 13 0000 27.3 S 69.0 E 984 45 10 JAN 13 0600 28.3 S 67.9 E 984 35 45 10 JAN 13 1200 29.4 S 67.4 E 990 40 Final MFR warning 10 JAN 13 1800 30.3 S 67.3 E 40 JTWC warnings 10 JAN 14 0600 33.2 S 68.1 E 40 10 JAN 14 1800 36.4 S 72.2 E 35 Final JTWC warning 10 JAN 15 0000 39.9 S 75.5 E 995 NCEP re-analysis data 10 JAN 15 0600 42.5 S 82.5 E 990 10 JAN 15 1200 46.0 S 87.5 E 979 10 JAN 15 1800 49.8 S 91.5 E 974 10 JAN 16 0000 52.4 S 94.5 E 970 10 JAN 16 0600 52.4 S 94.2 E 970 10 JAN 16 1200 52.2 S 95.3 E 967 10 JAN 16 1800 52.4 S 97.7 E 970 10 JAN 17 0000 52.4 S 102.5 E 974 10 JAN 17 0600 54.8 S 107.5 E 974 10 JAN 17 1200 55.3 S 112.4 E 972 Note: JTWC initially issued their final warning on Edzani at 12/0000 UTC when the cyclone appeared to have begun extratropical transition. However, warnings were re-initiated at 12/1800 UTC after the system had taken on a more tropical appearance. Following is a portion of the remarks from the 12/1800 UTC warning: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND HAS WRAPPED INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THIS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IS ALSO REFLECTED IN THE AMSU CROSS-SECTIONS, WHICH SHOW A SLIGHTLY STRENGTHENED MID-LEVEL WARM TEMPERATURE ANOMALY. BOTH THE 12/0454Z AND 12/1717Z ASCAT IMAGES AND 850MB VORTICITY PRODUCTS INDICATE A SYMMETRIC, 40-45 KNOT TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCTS ALSO SHOW A STRENGTHENING, SYMMETRIC DEEP MOISTURE ENVELOPE. THE LATEST DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW ALSO SUPPORT THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS........RE-ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM BEGAN THE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) PROCESS BUT DID NOT COMPLETE ETT AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED DUE TO A TRANSITORY LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE, WHICH IS PRODUCING A WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TC-07S HAS MAINTAINED TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DESPITE THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE CENTER AND HAS SLOWLY RE- CONSOLIDATED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FRONT HAVE SEPARATED AND TRACKED AWAY FROM THE SYSTEM. EARLIER INDICATIONS OF COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS HAVE SUBSEQUENTLY WEAKENED ALONG THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. OVERALL, THE PREPONDERANCE OF EVIDENCE SUPPORTS THE TROPICAL (WARM CORE) ASSESSMENT AND RE-ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MAGDA Cyclone Number: 08S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC - Australian Tropical LOW 06U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 19 0600 11.6 S 123.0 E 1002 25 10 JAN 19 1200 11.8 S 122.9 E 1002 25 10 JAN 19 1800 12.0 S 122.8 E 1002 25 10 JAN 20 0000 11.9 S 121.8 E 998 30 10 JAN 20 0600 12.2 S 122.0 E 998 30 10 JAN 20 1200 12.5 S 122.2 E 998 30 10 JAN 20 1800 13.0 S 122.5 E 992 45 45 Named TC Magda 10 JAN 21 0000 13.8 S 123.1 E 988 55 10 JAN 21 0600 14.3 S 123.5 E 980 60 60 10 JAN 21 1200 14.6 S 124.1 E 987 50 10 JAN 21 1800 15.2 S 124.6 E 988 60 50 10 JAN 22 0000 15.9 S 124.5 E 988 50 10 JAN 22 0600 16.7 S 124.4 E 988 50 50 Inland 10 JAN 22 1200 17.4 S 124.4 E 999 30 Ex-TC 10 JAN 22 1800 18.4 S 124.3 E 35 JTWC warning ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010 Australian Region Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone NEVILLE (05U) 15 - 22 Jan Tropical Cyclone OLGA (07U / 09P) 22 - 30 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NEVILLE Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC - Australian Tropical LOW 05U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 15 2100 11.1 S 138.4 E 1003 25 Darwin bulletins 10 JAN 16 0600 11.5 S 138.0 E 999 25 10 JAN 16 1200 11.6 S 137.7 E 1000 25 10 JAN 16 1800 11.5 S 137.3 E 1000 25 10 JAN 17 0000 11.4 S 137.0 E 1002 25 10 JAN 17 0600 11.4 S 137.5 E 1002 25 10 JAN 17 1200 11.4 S 138.6 E 1002 25 10 JAN 17 1800 12.0 S 139.2 E 1002 25 10 JAN 18 0000 12.4 S 139.8 E 1003 25 Final bulletin 10 JAN 20 1200 14.5 S 147.0 E 998 30 1st high seas warning 10 JAN 20 1800 14.7 S 147.3 E 994 35 Named TC Neville 10 JAN 21 0000 14.7 S 147.1 E 997 30 Ex-TC final HS wrng 10 JAN 21 0600 14.8 S 146.9 E 997 30 10 JAN 21 1200 14.3 S 146.7 E 998 30 10 JAN 21 1800 14.3 S 147.3 E 999 25 10 JAN 22 0000 14.4 S 147.1 E 999 25 10 JAN 22 0600 14.4 S 147.1 E 999 25 Final tech bulletin ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OLGA Cyclone Number: 09P Basin: AUE (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC - Australian Tropical LOW 07U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 22 1800 16.4 S 150.8 E 993 40 Named TC Olga 10 JAN 23 0000 16.3 S 150.3 E 993 35 40 10 JAN 23 0600 16.5 S 149.2 E 990 45 10 JAN 23 1200 16.2 S 148.0 E 983 50 55 10 JAN 23 1800 15.7 S 147.0 E 983 55 10 JAN 24 0000 15.7 S 146.2 E 980 50 55 10 JAN 24 0600 16.4 S 145.6 E 997 30 Inland/Ex-TC 10 JAN 24 1200 16.8 S 146.2 E 997 35 30 Final JTWC &high seas 10 JAN 24 1800 17.4 S 145.6 E 996 30 Final tech bulletin 10 JAN 25 0000 18.4 S 144.0 E 1000 25 10 JAN 25 0600 18.2 S 143.0 E 1001 20 10 JAN 25 1200 18.3 S 139.7 E 1001 20 10 JAN 25 1800 18.2 S 139.1 E 999 20 10 JAN 26 0000 18.0 S 140.0 E 1001 20 Tech bulletins resume 10 JAN 26 0600 17.5 S 138.8 E 997 25 High seas wrngs resume 10 JAN 26 1200 16.8 S 137.7 E 998 25 10 JAN 26 1800 16.1 S 137.4 E 997 35 25 JTWC resumes warnings 10 JAN 27 0000 16.1 S 137.4 E 998 25 10 JAN 27 0600 16.3 S 137.0 E 994 35 30 10 JAN 27 1200 16.1 S 136.2 E 993 30 10 JAN 27 1800 15.9 S 136.3 E 992 35 30 10 JAN 28 0000 15.9 S 136.2 E 993 25 10 JAN 28 0600 16.2 S 135.7 E 994 30 30 JTWC: 17.3S/135.9E 10 JAN 28 1200 16.1 S 135.8 E 993 30 10 JAN 28 1800 16.0 S 135.8 E 993 30 10 JAN 29 0000 15.9 S 136.5 E 990 25 10 JAN 29 0600 16.0 S 137.4 E 990 30 10 JAN 29 1200 16.2 S 138.9 E 987 35 35 Re-upgraded to TC 10 JAN 29 1800 17.6 S 140.3 E 987 35 10 JAN 30 0000 18.4 S 141.3 E 987 35 30 Inland/Final TC wrngs ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2009-2010 South Pacific Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (05F) 25 - 28 Jan Tropical Cyclone NISHA (06F / 10P) 27 - 30 Jan Severe Tropical Cyclone OLI (07F / 12P) 29 Jan - 08 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 05F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 25 0600 11.0 S 179.0 W 1003 20 Tropical disturbance 10 JAN 25 2100 13.0 S 178.0 W 1002 25 Tropical depression 10 JAN 26 0600 14.5 S 177.0 W 1000 25 10 JAN 26 2100 19.0 S 174.5 W 1000 25 Major relocation 10 JAN 27 0600 18.0 S 175.0 W 999 25 10 JAN 28 0600 19.0 S 174.0 W 1001 20 Tropical disturbance Note: The MSW values for this system are estimates, as no explicit values were given in the Fiji Tropical Disturbance Summaries. No gale warnings were issued for this system. I have included a track for TD-05F mainly because of its possible contribution to the development of TD-06F, which became TC Nisha. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NISHA Cyclone Number: 10P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 27 0600 14.1 S 172.2 W 998 25 10 JAN 27 1200 15.1 S 170.3 W 997 35 30 Named TC Nisha 1500UTC 10 JAN 27 1800 16.0 S 168.7 W 995 35 10 JAN 28 0000 17.2 S 167.7 W 995 45 35 10 JAN 28 0600 18.1 S 166.1 W 990 40 10 JAN 28 1200 19.6 S 164.6 W 990 50 40 JTWC: 19.2S/164.9W 10 JAN 28 1800 20.1 S 164.6 W 990 40 10 JAN 29 0000 20.1 S 164.0 W 990 45 40 10 JAN 29 0600 20.3 S 163.3 W 990 40 10 JAN 29 1200 20.3 S 160.9 W 997 35 30 JTWC: 19.8S/162.1W 10 JAN 29 1800 18.8 S 162.4 W 1000 25 10 JAN 30 0000 18.5 S 162.2 W 35 JTWC warning Note: A residual low centered near 16S/161W with pressures less than 1000 mb was noted through 01 February. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OLI Cyclone Number: 12P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JAN 29 1200 12.0 S 176.8 E 1002 25 10 JAN 29 1800 12.0 S 179.5 E 1002 25 10 JAN 30 0600 11.4 S 178.8 W 1000 25 10 JAN 30 1800 11.5 S 175.5 W 1000 25 10 JAN 31 0000 11.0 S 175.5 W 999 25 10 JAN 31 0600 11.0 S 172.0 W 997 25 10 JAN 31 1800 11.5 S 168.4 W 996 30 10 FEB 01 0000 11.4 S 167.0 W 995 45 30 10 FEB 01 0600 12.4 S 164.9 W 995 30 10 FEB 01 1200 12.7 S 163.5 W 990 50 40 Named TC Oli 0900UTC 10 FEB 01 1800 14.2 S 162.3 W 985 50 10 FEB 02 0000 15.1 S 161.0 W 985 45 50 JTWC: 14.3S/161.5W 10 FEB 02 0600 14.3 S 161.0 W 987 45 10 FEB 02 1200 14.7 S 159.8 W 990 45 40 10 FEB 02 1800 14.9 S 158.5 W 990 40 10 FEB 03 0000 15.3 S 157.7 W 987 55 45 10 FEB 03 0600 15.8 S 156.3 W 985 50 10 FEB 03 1200 16.3 S 155.5 W 975 65 60 JTWC: 15.7S/155.2W 10 FEB 03 1800 16.6 S 154.2 W 975 60 10 FEB 04 0000 17.3 S 153.5 W 970 80 65 10 FEB 04 0600 17.9 S 152.8 W 950 80 10 FEB 04 1200 18.7 S 152.4 W 925 115 100 10 FEB 04 1800 19.5 S 151.9 W 925 100 10 FEB 05 0000 20.5 S 151.2 W 925 115 100 10 FEB 05 0600 21.6 S 150.6 W 925 100 10 FEB 05 1200 22.8 S 149.7 W 925 105 100 10 FEB 05 1800 24.1 S 148.9 W 955 80 10 FEB 06 0000 25.0 S 148.5 W 965 90 65 NZ warnings - See Note 10 FEB 06 0600 26.0 S 147.8 W 975 60 10 FEB 06 1200 28.2 S 146.2 W 980 55 55 JTWC: 28.9S/145.2W 10 FEB 06 1800 30.0 S 144.0 W 991 40 Extratropical 10 FEB 07 0000 31.0 S 142.0 W 993 40 10 FEB 07 0600 32.0 S 140.0 W 990 50 10 FEB 07 1200 34.0 S 137.0 W 992 50 10 FEB 07 1800 35.0 S 133.0 W 997 40 10 FEB 08 0000 36.0 S 130.0 W 999 40 10 FEB 08 0600 38.0 S 125.0 W 1001 40 10 FEB 08 1200 40.0 S 122.0 W 997 40 10 FEB 08 1800 41.0 S 120.0 W 998 40 Note: JTWC's position at 06/0000 UTC was 25.6S/148.0w. A special thanks to Matthew Saxby for sending the Wellington warnings after 06/1800 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com Kevin Boyle michaelpace@btinternet.com Michael Bath mbath@ozemail.com.au SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Steve Young shy9@earthlink.net ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 07.07.10 for Typhoon2000.com, Typhoon2000.ph, Maybagyo.com