GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JULY 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (02E) 02 - 03 Jul Tropical Depression (01C) 05 Jul Tropical Storm BLAS (03E) 12 - 15 Jul Hurricane CELIA (04E) 19 - 25 Jul Hurricane DARBY (05E) 26 Jul - 01 Aug Tropical Depression (06E) 29 Jul - 03 Aug ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 02 1200 16.5 N 119.3 W 1008 25 04 JUL 02 1800 16.7 N 120.1 W 1008 25 04 JUL 03 0000 17.1 N 121.1 W 1007 25 04 JUL 03 0600 17.3 N 122.1 W 1008 25 04 JUL 03 1200 17.7 N 122.7 W 1008 25 04 JUL 03 1800 17.8 N 124.1 W 1008 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01C Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 05 0000 7.0 N 164.6 W 1007 25 04 JUL 05 0600 6.9 N 166.7 W 1007 25 04 JUL 05 1200 6.5 N 167.8 W 1007 25 04 JUL 05 1800 6.8 N 167.2 W 1007 25 04 JUL 05 2300 8.2 N 168.2 W 1010 20 Dissipated ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BLAS Cyclone Number: 03E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 12 1200 14.5 N 105.3 W 1006 30 04 JUL 12 1800 15.4 N 106.7 W 1006 30 04 JUL 13 0000 16.4 N 107.9 W 1002 35 04 JUL 13 0600 17.1 N 109.1 W 994 50 04 JUL 13 1200 17.9 N 110.3 W 994 50 04 JUL 13 1800 19.6 N 112.2 W 994 50 04 JUL 14 0000 20.7 N 113.7 W 996 45 04 JUL 14 0600 21.5 N 115.1 W 999 40 04 JUL 14 1200 22.1 N 116.6 W 1002 35 04 JUL 14 1800 22.4 N 117.9 W 1005 30 04 JUL 15 0000 22.9 N 119.2 W 1006 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CELIA Cyclone Number: 04E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 19 0000 14.4 N 113.2 W 1008 30 04 JUL 19 0600 14.5 N 114.0 W 1008 30 04 JUL 19 1200 14.5 N 115.2 W 1008 30 04 JUL 19 1800 14.9 N 115.9 W 1002 40 04 JUL 20 0000 15.0 N 116.2 W 996 50 04 JUL 20 0600 15.2 N 116.9 W 997 50 04 JUL 20 1200 15.3 N 117.4 W 997 50 04 JUL 20 1800 15.4 N 118.0 W 1000 45 04 JUL 21 0000 16.0 N 118.7 W 1000 45 04 JUL 21 0600 16.1 N 119.3 W 1000 45 04 JUL 21 1200 16.1 N 119.8 W 997 50 04 JUL 21 1800 16.2 N 120.6 W 991 60 04 JUL 22 0000 16.3 N 121.0 W 987 65 04 JUL 22 0600 16.4 N 121.6 W 985 70 04 JUL 22 1200 16.3 N 122.1 W 985 65 04 JUL 22 1800 16.3 N 123.0 W 1000 50 04 JUL 23 0000 16.3 N 123.9 W 1000 40 04 JUL 23 0600 16.4 N 124.7 W 1002 35 04 JUL 23 1200 16.1 N 125.3 W 1002 35 04 JUL 23 1800 16.1 N 126.1 W 1002 35 04 JUL 24 0000 16.2 N 126.7 W 1002 35 04 JUL 24 0600 16.4 N 127.5 W 1002 30 04 JUL 24 1200 17.0 N 128.4 W 1004 30 04 JUL 24 1800 17.2 N 129.6 W 1004 30 04 JUL 25 0000 17.6 N 130.7 W 1004 30 04 JUL 25 0600 17.9 N 131.9 W 1004 30 04 JUL 25 1200 18.3 N 133.0 W 1006 30 04 JUL 25 1800 18.7 N 134.1 W 1008 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DARBY Cyclone Number: 05E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 26 1800 12.3 N 114.3 W 1007 30 04 JUL 27 0000 12.4 N 115.6 W 1003 35 04 JUL 27 0600 12.7 N 116.7 W 1001 45 04 JUL 27 1200 13.2 N 118.1 W 994 55 04 JUL 27 1800 13.6 N 119.2 W 993 60 04 JUL 28 0000 14.2 N 120.6 W 990 60 04 JUL 28 0600 14.6 N 121.7 W 983 70 04 JUL 28 1200 15.2 N 122.8 W 980 75 04 JUL 28 1800 15.9 N 124.0 W 970 90 04 JUL 29 0000 16.3 N 125.2 W 970 90 04 JUL 29 0600 16.8 N 126.2 W 957 105 04 JUL 29 1200 17.4 N 127.4 W 960 100 04 JUL 29 1800 17.7 N 128.3 W 964 90 04 JUL 30 0000 18.2 N 129.3 W 979 75 04 JUL 30 0600 18.5 N 130.2 W 983 65 04 JUL 30 1200 18.5 N 131.6 W 991 55 04 JUL 30 1800 18.6 N 133.1 W 994 50 04 JUL 31 0000 18.7 N 134.6 W 997 40 04 JUL 31 0600 18.9 N 136.0 W 1002 35 04 JUL 31 1200 18.9 N 137.3 W 1005 30 04 JUL 31 1800 18.9 N 138.8 W 1007 25 04 AUG 01 0000 19.0 N 140.4 W 1007 25 04 AUG 01 0600 19.3 N 142.0 W 1007 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 06E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 29 0600 16.9 N 113.5 W 1007 25 04 JUL 29 1200 16.8 N 114.3 W 1007 25 04 JUL 29 1800 16.3 N 116.2 W 1007 25 04 JUL 30 0000 16.3 N 117.2 W 1007 25 Dissipating 04 JUL 30 0600 15.7 N 118.5 W 25 See Note 04 JUL 30 1200 15.7 N 119.4 W 25 04 JUL 30 1800 15.3 N 120.4 W 25 04 JUL 31 0000 15.1 N 121.0 W 20 04 JUL 31 0600 15.2 N 121.8 W 20 04 JUL 31 1200 13.9 N 122.0 W 20 04 JUL 31 1800 14.0 N 123.6 W 15 04 AUG 01 0000 13.2 N 124.8 W 15 04 AUG 01 0600 12.7 N 125.4 W 20 04 AUG 01 1200 12.6 N 125.9 W 20 04 AUG 01 1800 12.4 W 127.7 W 25 04 AUG 02 0000 12.3 N 127.4 W 1008 30 Regenerated 04 AUG 02 0600 12.3 N 128.6 W 1006 30 04 AUG 02 1200 12.3 N 129.6 W 1006 30 04 AUG 02 1800 12.6 N 130.7 W 1006 30 04 AUG 03 0000 12.7 N 131.6 W 1006 30 04 AUG 03 0600 12.9 N 132.5 W 1006 30 04 AUG 03 1200 13.3 N 133.4 W 1009 30 04 AUG 03 1800 14.0 N 134.5 W 1009 25 Note: The above track from 30/0600 UTC through 1800 UTC on 1 August is based upon satellite fix bulletins from SAB. I arbitrarily assigned the following MSW values based upon CI intensity numbers: 1.5 = 25 kts 1.0 = 20 kts TOO WEAK = 15 kts ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm KOMPASU (12W / 0409 / JULIAN) 13 - 16 Jul Typhoon NAMTHEUN (13W / 0410) 24 Jul - 01 Aug Tropical Storm (NMC 0411 / NRL Invest 94W) 26 - 27 Jul ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KOMPASU Cyclone Number: 12W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: JULIAN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0409 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 13 0000 21.0 N 130.0 E 1008 30 JMA bulletin 04 JUL 13 0600 21.0 N 129.5 E 1004 25 30 04 JUL 13 1200 20.8 N 128.0 E 1004 30 30 04 JUL 13 1800 20.7 N 126.1 E 1002 30 30 04 JUL 14 0000 21.4 N 125.0 E 998 30 35 04 JUL 14 0600 21.5 N 123.5 E 996 35 40 04 JUL 14 1200 20.7 N 121.5 E 994 40 45 04 JUL 14 1800 20.1 N 119.8 E 994 45 45 04 JUL 15 0000 19.8 N 118.8 E 992 45 45 04 JUL 15 0600 20.1 N 118.0 E 992 45 45 04 JUL 15 1200 20.6 N 117.1 E 990 45 45 04 JUL 15 1800 20.8 N 116.0 E 990 45 45 04 JUL 16 0000 21.2 N 115.0 E 996 40 40 04 JUL 16 0600 21.9 N 114.3 E 992 35 40 04 JUL 16 1200 23.0 N 114.2 E 1002 35 30 Inland in China 04 JUL 16 1800 24.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25 JMA bulletin Note: Huang Chunliang is away in Shanghai during July and August for a job-related training course, and is unable to provide the MSW comparisons which he has been compiling. If he should send these to me at a later date, I'll include them as an addendum to a future summary. However, I do have available the PAGASA data for the portion of Tropical Storm Kompasu/Julian's track which fell in that agency's AOR. The peak 10-min avg MSW estimated by PAGASA was 40 kts just prior to the cyclone's exiting their region of responsibility. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NAMTHEUN Cyclone Number: 13W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0410 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 24 1200 20.7 N 151.0 E 1006 30 JMA bulletin 04 JUL 24 1800 20.8 N 150.9 E 1004 30 " 04 JUL 25 0000 21.4 N 150.6 E 1000 25 30 JMA: 22.2N/150.6E 04 JUL 25 0600 22.8 N 150.0 E 1000 30 30 04 JUL 25 1200 23.5 N 149.4 E 996 50 40 04 JUL 25 1800 24.2 N 148.8 E 990 50 45 04 JUL 26 0000 24.7 N 148.3 E 980 65 55 04 JUL 26 0600 25.4 N 147.8 E 950 90 80 04 JUL 26 1200 26.1 N 147.1 E 945 105 85 04 JUL 26 1800 26.9 N 146.6 E 945 115 85 04 JUL 27 0000 27.7 N 146.0 E 945 115 85 04 JUL 27 0600 28.5 N 145.4 E 945 110 85 04 JUL 27 1200 29.7 N 144.5 E 945 105 85 04 JUL 27 1800 30.4 N 143.7 E 950 90 80 04 JUL 28 0000 30.8 N 142.6 E 950 90 80 04 JUL 28 0600 31.2 N 141.6 E 955 90 80 04 JUL 28 1200 31.4 N 140.7 E 960 80 75 04 JUL 28 1800 31.5 N 140.3 E 960 80 75 04 JUL 29 0000 31.5 N 139.8 E 960 80 75 04 JUL 29 0600 31.5 N 139.3 E 960 80 75 04 JUL 29 1200 31.5 N 138.8 E 960 80 75 04 JUL 29 1800 31.5 N 138.3 E 960 75 75 04 JUL 30 0000 31.6 N 137.8 E 960 75 75 04 JUL 30 0600 31.9 N 136.7 E 960 75 75 04 JUL 30 1200 31.9 N 136.1 E 965 65 70 04 JUL 30 1800 32.2 N 135.3 E 965 60 70 04 JUL 31 0000 32.4 N 134.7 E 970 60 65 04 JUL 31 0600 33.1 N 133.4 E 975 55 65 04 JUL 31 1200 33.8 N 132.5 E 992 50 45 Over Shikoku 04 JUL 31 1800 35.0 N 131.5 E 996 40 35 In Sea of Japan 04 AUG 01 0000 34.8 N 131.1 E 996 35 35 04 AUG 01 0600 35.5 N 131.4 E 996 30 35 04 AUG 01 1200 37.0 N 131.0 E 1000 30 JMA bulletin Note: Huang Chunliang is away in Shanghai during July and August for a job-related training course, and is unable to provide the MSW comparisons which he has been compiling. If he should send these to me at a later date, I'll include them as an addendum to a future summary. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP NMCC Tropical Storm Number: 0411 Monterrey NRL Invest Number: 94W Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 26 0600 19.2 N 118.2 E 1000 30 04 JUL 26 1200 19.4 N 117.9 E 1000 30 SAB-1425Z: 20.4N/117.9E 04 JUL 26 1800 19.6 N 117.7 E 1000 30 SAB-2025Z: 21.9N/117.4E 04 JUL 27 0000 22.7 N 116.6 E 990 45 04 JUL 27 0300 22.9 N 116.2 E 995 40 SAB-0225Z: T2.5/2.5 04 JUL 27 0600 23.3 N 115.7 E 1000 25 Inland in China 04 JUL 27 0825 23.9 N 115.5 E SAB bulletin Note: NMCC was the only warning agency to upgrade this system to tropical storm status, although the satellite fix bulletin from SAB at 0225 UTC on 27 July supported tropical storm intensity. Some coastal stations in China reported wind gusts in the 50 to 60-kt range which also tend to suggest this system was of tropical storm intensity. JMA issued one bulletin on this LOW as a 30-kt (10-min avg) tropical depression. (The above NMCC track was sent by Huang Chunliang--a special thanks to Chunliang for sending the information.) ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 08.18.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com