GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JUNE 2003 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (02) 11 - 12 Jun Tropical Storm BILL (03) 29 Jun - 04 Jul ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 11 0000 9.5 N 40.8 W 1009 30 03 JUN 11 0600 9.7 N 42.5 W 1008 30 03 JUN 11 1200 9.7 N 44.2 W 1008 30 03 JUN 11 1800 9.7 N 45.9 W 1010 30 03 JUN 12 0000 9.8 N 47.2 W 1010 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BILL Cyclone Number: 03 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 29 1200 23.0 N 91.0 W 1006 35 03 JUN 29 1800 24.3 N 90.9 W 1010 35 03 JUN 30 0000 25.7 N 91.2 W 1009 45 03 JUN 30 0600 26.8 N 91.5 W 1007 45 03 JUN 30 1200 28.2 N 91.5 W 1002 45 03 JUN 30 1800 29.0 N 91.1 W 997 50 03 JUL 01 0000 30.4 N 90.3 W 1000 45 Inland 03 JUL 01 0600 31.3 N 89.4 W 1003 30 03 JUL 01 1200 32.7 N 88.4 W 1004 25 03 JUL 01 1500 33.2 N 87.7 W 1004 25 Final NHC Warning 03 JUL 01 2100 33.8 N 87.1 W 1008 17 First HPC Advisory 03 JUL 02 0300 34.6 N 85.2 W 1008 9 03 JUL 02 0900 35.6 N 84.0 W 1007 9 03 JUL 02 1500 35.7 N 83.4 W 1008 13 Extratropical 03 JUL 02 2100 35.5 N 81.7 W 1008 13 03 JUL 03 0300 36.8 N 78.5 W 1007 9 03 JUL 03 0900 38.3 N 76.4 W 1007 9 03 JUL 03 1500 38.8 N 75.9 W 1009 9 On Atlantic coast 03 JUL 03 1800 39.3 N 74.8 W 1009 25 See Note 03 JUL 04 0000 39.3 N 74.8 W 1008 30 03 JUL 04 0600 39.0 N 75.0 W Note: The coordinates for the last three entries were supplied by Chris Fogarty of the Canadian Hurricane Centre. The winds and pressure at 03/1800 and 04/0000 UTC were obtained from the OPC High Seas Forecasts. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm BLANCA (02E) 17 - 22 Jun Tropical Storm CARLOS (03E) 26 - 27 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BLANCA Cyclone Number: 02E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 17 0000 16.4 N 103.0 W 1007 25 03 JUN 17 0600 16.9 N 103.4 W 1006 30 03 JUN 17 1200 16.5 N 103.3 W 1004 30 03 JUN 17 1800 16.6 N 103.5 W 1001 40 03 JUN 18 0000 16.5 N 103.7 W 1000 45 03 JUN 18 0600 16.6 N 103.8 W 1000 45 03 JUN 18 1200 16.8 N 103.9 W 1000 45 03 JUN 18 1800 16.7 N 104.4 W 997 50 03 JUN 19 0000 16.7 N 104.7 W 997 55 03 JUN 19 0600 16.5 N 104.6 W 1000 45 03 JUN 19 1200 16.4 N 104.6 W 1000 45 03 JUN 19 1800 16.1 N 104.9 W 1000 45 03 JUN 20 0000 15.9 N 105.1 W 1002 40 03 JUN 20 0600 15.7 N 105.7 W 1004 35 03 JUN 20 1200 15.6 N 106.0 W 1004 35 03 JUN 20 1800 15.5 N 106.0 W 1006 30 03 JUN 21 0000 15.3 N 106.3 W 1006 25 03 JUN 21 0600 15.3 N 106.6 W 1007 25 03 JUN 21 1200 15.5 N 106.1 W 1008 25 03 JUN 21 1800 15.5 N 106.0 W 1008 25 03 JUN 22 0000 15.6 N 105.7 W 1009 25 03 JUN 22 0600 15.8 N 105.3 W 1010 25 03 JUN 22 1200 16.0 N 104.9 W 1008 20 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CARLOS Cyclone Number: 03E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 26 0000 14.2 N 97.8 W 1007 25 03 JUN 26 0600 14.3 N 97.9 W 1006 30 03 JUN 26 1200 14.5 N 98.3 W 1006 30 03 JUN 26 1800 14.9 N 97.6 W 1000 35 03 JUN 27 0000 15.4 N 97.6 W 999 45 03 JUN 27 0600 16.2 N 97.8 W 997 55 03 JUN 27 1200 16.5 N 98.5 W 1000 35 Inland 03 JUN 27 1800 16.7 N 99.6 W 1005 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon SOUDELOR (07W / 0306 / EGAY) 11 - 23 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: SOUDELOR Cyclone Number: 07W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: EGAY JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0306 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 11 1800 9.4 N 137.3 E 25 03 JUN 12 0000 9.5 N 135.9 E 1008 25 25 03 JUN 12 0600 9.6 N 134.2 E 1006 30 25 03 JUN 12 1200 10.0 N 133.6 E 1008 30 25 03 JUN 12 1800 10.4 N 133.5 E 1006 30 25 03 JUN 13 0000 10.8 N 131.9 E 1004 35 30 03 JUN 13 0600 11.2 N 130.8 E 1002 45 30 03 JUN 13 1200 11.6 N 129.8 E 998 45 35 03 JUN 13 1800 11.6 N 127.9 E 998 50 35 03 JUN 14 0000 11.4 N 127.0 E 998 50 40 03 JUN 14 0600 12.2 N 127.1 E 998 45 40 03 JUN 14 1200 12.4 N 126.5 E 996 45 40 03 JUN 14 1800 13.2 N 126.4 E 996 45 40 03 JUN 15 0000 14.2 N 126.6 E 996 45 40 JMA: 14.1 N, 125.6 E 03 JUN 15 0600 14.7 N 126.1 E 990 45 45 03 JUN 15 1200 15.0 N 125.7 E 985 55 50 JMA: 16.0 N, 123.9 E 03 JUN 15 1800 15.5 N 124.9 E 985 60 55 JMA: 16.1 N, 124.3 E 03 JUN 16 0000 16.5 N 124.8 E 985 60 55 03 JUN 16 0600 17.5 N 124.2 E 980 60 55 03 JUN 16 1200 18.0 N 123.5 E 980 60 55 03 JUN 16 1800 19.0 N 122.9 E 980 65 55 03 JUN 17 0000 19.9 N 123.2 E 980 75 55 03 JUN 17 0600 20.8 N 123.3 E 975 75 60 03 JUN 17 1200 22.0 N 123.5 E 970 75 65 03 JUN 17 1800 23.6 N 123.8 E 970 90 65 03 JUN 18 0000 24.9 N 123.8 E 960 100 75 03 JUN 18 0600 26.3 N 124.2 E 960 115 75 03 JUN 18 1200 27.7 N 125.3 E 955 115 80 03 JUN 18 1800 30.1 N 127.0 E 965 85 70 03 JUN 19 0000 32.5 N 128.5 E 975 70 60 03 JUN 19 0600 34.8 N 130.0 E 980 65 55 03 JUN 19 1200 37.5 N 132.6 E 985 55 50 03 JUN 19 1800 39.7 N 134.9 E 988 45 50 XT-JMA: 38.0 N, 135.0 E 03 JUN 20 0000 40.0 N 137.0 E 992 45 03 JUN 20 0600 42.0 N 139.0 E 996 40 03 JUN 20 1800 42.0 N 145.0 E 996 35 1200Z data missing 03 JUN 21 0000 42.0 N 146.0 E 994 40 03 JUN 21 0600 41.0 N 149.0 E 994 35 03 JUN 21 1200 40.0 N 150.0 E 996 35 03 JUN 21 1800 39.0 N 151.0 E 996 35 03 JUN 22 0000 40.0 N 153.0 E 996 40 03 JUN 22 0600 38.0 N 153.0 E 998 35 03 JUN 22 1200 37.0 N 154.0 E 998 35 03 JUN 22 1800 37.0 N 155.0 E 998 35 03 JUN 23 0000 37.0 N 157.0 E 998 25 Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC, PAGASA, HKO and CWBT are tabulated below. Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in knots (GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWBT ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 12 0600 25 03 JUN 12 1200 25 03 JUN 12 1800 30 25 03 JUN 13 0000 30 30 03 JUN 13 0600 35 30 03 JUN 13 1200 35 35 35 03 JUN 13 1800 35 40 35 03 JUN 14 0000 35 45 40 03 JUN 14 0600 35 45 40 03 JUN 14 1200 35 45 40 03 JUN 14 1800 35 45 40 03 JUN 15 0000 40 45 40 03 JUN 15 0600 45 45 45 03 JUN 15 1200 45 50 45 03 JUN 15 1800 55 55 50 55 03 JUN 16 0000 60 60 55 55 03 JUN 16 0600 60 60 60 55 03 JUN 16 1200 60 60 60 55 03 JUN 16 1800 60 60 60 60 03 JUN 17 0000 65 65 60 60 03 JUN 17 0600 70 65 60 65 03 JUN 17 1200 70 65 65 65 03 JUN 17 1800 70 65 65 70 03 JUN 18 0000 80 65 75 70 03 JUN 18 0600 90 75 75 03 JUN 18 1200 90 80 03 JUN 18 1800 80 75 03 JUN 19 0000 70 65 03 JUN 19 0600 55 55 03 JUN 19 1200 50 Note 1: CWBT upgraded the disturbance to depression status at 12/0600 UTC, then declared it extratropical at 19/1200 UTC. That agency does not make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. However, if there is any CWBT bulletin which indicates that a depression "has a tendency to intensify into a tropical storm", the corresponding MSW entry in the table is 30 kts; otherwise, the MSW is set to 25 kts. Note 2: The final warning issued by HKO was at 18/0900 UTC as the typhoon left that agency's AOR. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone EPI 05 - 07 Jun Non-tropical Hybrid LOW 24 - 26 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: EPI Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE (Storm named by Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 05 0630 7.9 S 152.9 E 985 35 PNG Warnings 03 JUN 05 1100 7.5 S 154.3 E 985 35 03 JUN 05 1800 7.5 S 155.0 E 1000 30 03 JUN 06 1430 8.0 S 154.6 E 25 Based on SAB Bulletins 03 JUN 06 2030 8.3 S 154.5 E 25 03 JUN 07 0230 8.1 S 155.3 E 20 Note: The warnings from Port Moresby reported the windspeed in terms of maximum gusts. I converted these into a 10-min avg MSW by the gust reduction factor of 1.4. For the last three data points, I entered the MSW based on the SAB classifications of T1.5/1.5, T1.5/1.5, and TOO WEAK, respectively. JTWC issued no warnings on this system. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE (System was a hybrid LOW, not tropical) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 24 1600 18.0 S 149.0 E 1006 35 03 JUN 24 2300 19.0 S 151.0 E 1007 35 03 JUN 25 0100 19.0 S 153.0 E 1007 40 03 JUN 25 0600 21.0 S 154.6 E 1006 45 03 JUN 25 1200 21.5 S 156.0 E 1003 45 03 JUN 25 1800 25.0 S 158.0 E 1004 45 03 JUN 26 0000 27.5 S 157.2 E 45 03 JUN 26 0600 29.0 S 158.5 E 40 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone GINA (17F / 29P) 04 - 09 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: GINA Cyclone Number: 29P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 17F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 JUN 04 0830 10.5 S 171.0 E 1005 25 03 JUN 04 1800 10.5 S 170.5 E 1003 30 25 03 JUN 05 0000 11.2 S 169.2 E 1003 25 03 JUN 05 0600 11.4 S 169.1 E 999 45 30 03 JUN 05 0800 11.4 S 169.1 E 992 35 03 JUN 05 1200 11.7 S 168.5 E 987 45 03 JUN 05 1800 12.0 S 168.1 E 985 55 50 JTWC: 13.0 S, 167.7 E 03 JUN 05 2000 13.0 S 167.5 E 985 50 Relocated 03 JUN 06 0000 13.3 S 167.2 E 980 55 03 JUN 06 0600 14.3 S 166.3 E 980 55 55 03 JUN 06 1200 15.2 S 165.0 E 980 55 03 JUN 06 1800 15.5 S 163.8 E 975 65 60 03 JUN 07 0000 15.8 S 163.0 E 970 80 65 03 JUN 07 0600 16.4 S 162.5 E 970 70 03 JUN 07 1200 16.8 S 162.1 E 950 90 80 03 JUN 07 1800 17.4 S 161.9 E 950 80 03 JUN 08 0000 17.5 S 161.8 E 960 90 75 03 JUN 08 0600 17.7 S 162.6 E 970 65 03 JUN 08 1200 17.8 S 162.7 E 975 65 60 JTWC: 18.3 S, 163.3 E 03 JUN 08 1800 18.2 S 164.8 E 987 40 45 03 JUN 08 2200 16.6 S 162.0 E 987 45 Relocated 03 JUN 09 0000 16.8 S 162.0 E 990 40 03 JUN 09 0600 16.4 S 162.0 E 999 30 03 JUN 09 0830 16.4 S 162.0 E 999 30 Stationary Note: Warnings for gale-force winds up to 40 kts associated with the remnants of Gina were issued through 10/0700 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 08.17.03 Revised: 10.17.03 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com