GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JUNE 2010 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE INFORMATION AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ******************** EXTRA FEATURE ******************** QUARTERLY REVIEW OF GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY APRIL - JUNE, 2010 Ever since I began issuing the monthly tropical cyclone tracks files and the former tropical cyclone summaries in late 1997, I have issued annual reviews of all tropical systems which I had tracked, one for each hemisphere's respective tropical cyclone year. I plan to start including similar reviews for each three-month period as an addendum to the cyclone tracks file. For a full explanation of all the parameters included, see the most recent yearly reviews: (A number in parentheses indicates a note following the table for that basin's section. Also, note that the systems referenced here include only those for which tracks were included in the monthly cyclone tracks file.) ********** NORTHERN HEMISPHERE ********** ATLANTIC BASIN NUM NAME DATES CENT PRS MSW BASIN (mb) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 01 Alex 25 Jun-02 Jul 947 90 ATL +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ NORTHEAST PACIFIC BASIN NUM NAME DATES CENT PRS MSW BASIN (mb) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 01E Agatha 29-30 May 1000 40 NEP 02E ----- 16-17 Jun 1007 25 NEP 03E Blas 17-23 Jun 992 55 NEP 04E Celia 19 Jun-01 Jul 926 140 NEP 05E Darby 23-29 Jun 960 105 NEP +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ NORTH INDIAN OCEAN BASIN JTWC NAME IMD DATES CENT MSW MSW BASIN NUM TROP CYC PRS 1-MIN 3-MIN ID (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 01B Laila BOB 01 17-21 May 986 65 55 NIO (1) 02A Bandu ARB 01 19-22 May 994 55 40 NIO 03A Phet ARB 02 31 May-06 Jun 970 125 80 NIO NOTES: (1) Roger Edson expressed a very firm feeling that Laila was considerably more intense than any of the agencies were estimating. Based on an integrated MI and Dvorak technique, Roger estimates that Laila's intensity around 18/1200 UTC was around 90 to 105 kts (1-min avg). +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ ********** SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE ********** SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN JTWC NAME DATES CENT MSW MSW BASIN NUM PRS 1-MIN 10-MIN (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ --- Joel 25-29 May 996 55 60 SWI (1) NOTES: (1) System was classified as a "subtropical depression". The 1-min avg MSW for Joel were obtained from satellite intensity estimates as JTWC issued no warnings. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA / SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN JTWC NAME DATES CENT MSW MSW BASIN NUM PRS 1-MIN 10-MIN (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 23S Robyn 02-11 Apr 976 60 65 AUW/SWI 24S Sean 21-28 Apr 987 55 55 AUW +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN JTWC NAME DATES CENT MSW MSW BASIN NUM PRS 1-MIN 10-MIN (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ --- ----- (Invest 94P) 06-13 May 983 -- 50 SPA (1) NOTES: (1) This system was a hybrid LOW which possibly was a subtropical storm. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane ALEX (01) 25 Jun - 02 Jul ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ALEX Cyclone Number: 01 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JUN 25 1800 16.9 N 82.9 W 1004 30 10 JUN 26 0000 16.6 N 83.9 W 1004 30 10 JUN 26 0600 16.6 N 84.5 W 1007 30 10 JUN 26 1200 17.1 N 85.7 W 1004 35 Upgraded at 0900Z 10 JUN 26 1800 17.2 N 87.3 W 1003 40 10 JUN 27 0000 17.5 N 88.1 W 996 55 10 JUN 27 0600 18.0 N 89.0 W 1000 35 Inland 10 JUN 27 1200 18.6 N 90.1 W 1000 30 10 JUN 27 1800 18.9 N 90.7 W 999 30 10 JUN 28 0000 19.2 N 91.1 W 991 40 Over water 10 JUN 28 0600 19.5 N 91.4 W 990 45 10 JUN 28 1200 20.1 N 91.6 W 989 50 10 JUN 28 1800 20.3 N 91.7 W 990 50 10 JUN 29 0000 20.7 N 91.6 W 990 50 10 JUN 29 0600 21.4 N 91.8 W 985 55 10 JUN 29 1200 22.5 N 92.7 W 983 60 10 JUN 29 1800 23.0 N 93.6 W 981 60 10 JUN 30 0000 23.0 N 94.4 W 980 60 10 JUN 30 0600 23.1 N 94.8 W 972 70 Upgraded at 0300Z 10 JUN 30 1200 23.5 N 95.2 W 959 70 10 JUN 30 1800 24.4 N 96.2 W 962 75 10 JUL 01 0000 24.4 N 97.3 W 949 85 10 JUL 01 0600 24.1 N 98.4 W 960 75 Inland/See Note #1 10 JUL 01 1200 23.4 N 99.7 W 977 60 10 JUL 01 1800 23.1 N 100.7 W 985 45 See Note #2 10 JUL 02 0000 23.2 N 101.9 W 997 30 See Note #3 10 JUL 02 0300 23.3 N 102.4 W 1000 25 Center dissipating Note #1: The minimum CP and peak MSW for Alex were estimated to be 947 mb and 90 kts, respectively, shortly before landfall in northeastern Mexico at 01/0200 UTC. Based on the current Best Track file, this represents the second lowest pressure in a June hurricane, the lowest being 946 mb in Hurricane Audrey, 1957. Alex was the strongest June hurricane since Alma of 1966. Note #2: CP and MSW values estimated from 01/2100 UTC values of 990 mb and 35 kts, respectively, as no intermediate bulletin was issued at 01/1800 UTC. Note #3: CP and MSW values estimated from 01/2100 UTC values of 990 mb and 35 kts, and 02/0300 values of 1000 mb and 25 kts. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (02E) 16 - 17 Jun Tropical Storm BLAS (03E) 17 - 23 Jun Hurricane CELIA (04E) 19 Jun - 01 Jul Hurricane DARBY (05E) 23 - 29 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JUN 16 1200 14.6 N 95.3 W 1007 25 10 JUN 16 1800 14.9 N 95.7 W 1007 25 10 JUN 17 0000 15.1 N 96.3 W 1007 25 10 JUN 17 0600 15.4 N 97.1 W 1007 25 10 JUN 17 1200 15.7 N 98.1 W 1008 25 10 JUN 17 1500 15.8 N 98.6 W 1008 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BLAS Cyclone Number: 03E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JUN 17 1200 15.2 N 105.3 W 1006 30 10 JUN 17 1800 15.1 N 105.7 W 999 40 10 JUN 18 0000 15.4 N 106.2 W 999 40 10 JUN 18 0600 15.7 N 106.5 W 1000 35 10 JUN 18 1200 15.9 N 107.1 W 999 40 10 JUN 18 1800 16.0 N 107.6 W 999 40 10 JUN 19 0000 16.2 N 108.2 W 997 45 10 JUN 19 0600 16.3 N 108.8 W 997 45 10 JUN 19 1200 16.2 N 109.3 W 992 55 10 JUN 19 1800 16.6 N 110.1 W 992 55 10 JUN 20 0000 16.9 N 110.9 W 995 50 10 JUN 20 0600 17.3 N 111.8 W 997 40 10 JUN 20 1200 17.5 N 112.9 W 1001 40 10 JUN 20 1800 17.8 N 114.3 W 1006 30 10 JUN 21 0000 17.9 N 115.5 W 1007 30 10 JUN 21 0600 18.0 N 116.6 W 1007 30 10 JUN 21 1200 18.0 N 117.8 W 1007 30 10 JUN 21 1800 17.5 N 119.3 W 1008 25 10 JUN 21 2100 17.5 N 119.9 W 1008 25 Remnant LOW 10 JUN 22 0600 16.8 N 122.0 W 1010 25 From High Seas Forecast 10 JUN 22 1800 16.5 N 125.0 W 1010 25 10 JUN 23 0600 16.0 N 127.0 W 1011 25 10 JUN 23 1200 16.0 N 128.0 W 1011 25 10 JUN 23 1800 15.0 N 130.0 W 1013 20 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CELIA Cyclone Number: 04E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JUN 19 0600 12.9 N 96.6 W 1008 25 10 JUN 19 1200 12.6 N 96.9 W 1005 30 10 JUN 19 1800 12.4 N 97.6 W 1002 40 Upgraded at 1500Z 10 JUN 20 0000 12.2 N 98.3 W 994 55 10 JUN 20 0600 12.1 N 99.0 W 994 55 10 JUN 20 1200 11.9 N 99.7 W 994 55 10 JUN 20 1800 11.6 N 100.0 W 990 65 10 JUN 21 0000 11.6 N 100.6 W 986 70 10 JUN 21 0600 11.8 N 101.7 W 986 70 10 JUN 21 1200 11.8 N 102.0 W 986 70 10 JUN 21 1800 11.6 N 102.9 W 977 80 10 JUN 22 0000 11.7 N 103.6 W 970 90 10 JUN 22 0600 11.7 N 104.3 W 970 90 10 JUN 22 1200 11.5 N 105.0 W 970 90 10 JUN 22 1800 11.7 N 105.9 W 972 85 10 JUN 23 0000 11.8 N 106.8 W 977 80 10 JUN 23 0600 11.8 N 107.5 W 980 75 10 JUN 23 1200 12.1 N 108.6 W 974 85 10 JUN 23 1800 12.2 N 109.8 W 963 100 10 JUN 24 0000 12.3 N 110.9 W 971 90 10 JUN 24 0600 12.4 N 112.2 W 967 95 10 JUN 24 1200 12.3 N 113.3 W 962 100 10 JUN 24 1800 12.6 N 114.2 W 948 115 10 JUN 25 0000 12.9 N 115.4 W 926 140 10 JUN 25 0600 13.2 N 116.5 W 926 140 10 JUN 25 1200 13.6 N 117.6 W 935 130 10 JUN 25 1800 14.0 N 118.5 W 948 115 10 JUN 26 0000 14.6 N 119.3 W 957 105 10 JUN 26 0600 15.1 N 120.3 W 974 85 10 JUN 26 1200 15.5 N 121.1 W 974 80 10 JUN 26 1800 15.6 N 121.9 W 987 70 10 JUN 27 0000 15.7 N 122.4 W 994 55 10 JUN 27 0600 15.9 N 123.2 W 1000 45 10 JUN 27 1200 15.9 N 123.6 W 1000 45 10 JUN 27 1800 15.7 N 123.9 W 1004 35 10 JUN 28 0000 15.6 N 124.0 W 1004 35 10 JUN 28 0600 15.3 N 124.2 W 1005 35 10 JUN 28 1200 15.3 N 124.3 W 1005 35 10 JUN 28 1800 15.1 N 123.9 W 1006 30 10 JUN 29 0000 15.2 N 123.6 W 1006 30 10 JUN 29 0600 15.5 N 123.5 W 1007 25 Remnant LOW 10 JUN 29 1200 15.5 N 123.5 W 1008 25 10 JUN 29 1800 16.0 N 124.0 W 1009 25 10 JUN 30 0000 16.0 N 124.0 W 1009 25 10 JUN 30 0600 16.0 N 124.0 W 1010 25 10 JUN 30 1200 16.0 N 124.0 W 1010 25 10 JUN 30 1800 16.0 N 124.0 W 1010 25 10 JUL 01 0000 16.0 N 124.0 W 1010 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DARBY Cyclone Number: 05E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 JUN 23 0000 10.8 N 93.0 W 1006 30 10 JUN 23 0600 11.4 N 93.6 W 1005 35 10 JUN 23 1200 11.7 N 94.4 W 1000 45 10 JUN 23 1800 11.9 N 95.6 W 995 55 10 JUN 24 0000 12.2 N 96.6 W 995 55 10 JUN 24 0600 12.5 N 97.5 W 994 60 10 JUN 24 1200 12.7 N 98.3 W 990 65 10 JUN 24 1800 12.8 N 99.0 W 980 70 10 JUN 25 0000 13.1 N 99.7 W 978 80 10 JUN 25 0600 13.2 N 100.4 W 967 90 10 JUN 25 1200 13.5 N 100.9 W 962 100 10 JUN 25 1800 13.5 N 101.3 W 960 105 10 JUN 26 0000 13.8 N 101.9 W 964 100 10 JUN 26 0600 13.5 N 102.4 W 966 95 10 JUN 26 1200 13.4 N 102.8 W 967 95 10 JUN 26 1800 13.5 N 102.7 W 980 75 10 JUN 27 0000 13.5 N 102.9 W 992 60 10 JUN 27 0600 13.5 N 103.2 W 997 50 10 JUN 27 1200 13.7 N 103.1 W 999 45 10 JUN 27 1800 13.6 N 102.4 W 1002 40 10 JUN 28 0000 13.8 N 102.3 W 1002 40 10 JUN 28 0600 14.2 N 101.6 W 1004 35 10 JUN 28 1200 14.2 N 100.1 W 1006 30 10 JUN 28 1800 14.3 N 98.9 W 1004 25 10 JUN 29 0000 14.0 N 98.0 W 1005 25 Remnant LOW 10 JUN 29 0600 15.0 N 98.0 W 1006 25 10 JUN 29 1200 15.0 N 96.0 W 1006 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ********** SPECIAL NOTE ********** I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing- ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones during the most active part of the NWP season from June through December. Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific tropical cyclones. Also, Steve Young sends me tracks with data for the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical cyclones in all basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data or else taken from NRL files. A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their assistance. ************************************************************************* SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't, I wanted to include them. (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information --------------------------------------- Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be retrieved from the following FTP site: Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance messages may be found at the following URL: Links are also included to websites with further information about the U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air- craft Operations Center. (2) Archived Advisories ----------------------- All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories, strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an example), the archived products can be found at: Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at the following URL: JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website: On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left corner of the screen. I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but if I learn of any, I will add them to this list. (3) Satellite Imagery --------------------- Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites, courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The links are: On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is located in the lower left portion of the screen. Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the equator, can be found at: (1) For the Eastern North Pacific: (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea: (4) Cyclone Tracking Information -------------------------------- There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The link to the site is: Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage which is very user-friendly: ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com Kevin Boyle michaelpace@btinternet.com Michael Bath mbath@ozemail.com.au SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Steve Young shy9@earthlink.net ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 07.07.10 for Typhoon2000.com, Typhoon2000.ph, Maybagyo.com