GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2003 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone KALUNDE (MFR-14 / 23S) 04 - 16 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KALUNDE Cyclone Number: 23S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 14 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 04 0000 10.8 S 79.9 E 1003 20 Locally 25 kts to S 03 MAR 04 0600 11.2 S 78.8 E 1002 20 " 03 MAR 04 1200 11.5 S 78.5 E 1000 25 03 MAR 04 1800 11.5 S 78.2 E 998 30 30 03 MAR 05 0000 11.2 S 78.0 E 997 30 03 MAR 05 0600 11.1 S 77.4 E 995 35 35 03 MAR 05 1200 11.2 S 76.8 E 990 40 03 MAR 05 1800 11.3 S 76.4 E 990 40 40 03 MAR 06 0000 11.3 S 76.0 E 991 40 03 MAR 06 0600 11.3 S 76.3 E 991 45 40 03 MAR 06 1200 11.4 S 75.6 E 982 50 03 MAR 06 1800 11.6 S 74.7 E 982 50 50 03 MAR 07 0000 11.9 S 74.5 E 980 55 03 MAR 07 0600 12.5 S 73.5 E 960 80 70 03 MAR 07 1200 13.2 S 72.7 E 945 80 03 MAR 07 1800 13.4 S 71.8 E 935 115 95 JTWC: 13.5 S, 72.1 E 03 MAR 08 0000 13.8 S 71.2 E 927 140 100 03 MAR 08 0600 13.9 S 70.2 E 905 115 03 MAR 08 1200 14.3 S 69.6 E 905 140 115 03 MAR 08 1800 14.8 S 69.1 E 910 110 03 MAR 09 0000 15.2 S 68.8 E 915 120 110 03 MAR 09 0600 15.7 S 68.2 E 915 110 03 MAR 09 1200 16.0 S 67.8 E 915 115 110 03 MAR 09 1800 16.4 S 67.5 E 915 110 03 MAR 10 0000 16.6 S 67.3 E 915 100 110 03 MAR 10 0600 17.1 S 66.7 E 925 105 03 MAR 10 1200 17.5 S 66.2 E 940 95 90 03 MAR 10 1800 17.7 S 66.0 E 940 90 03 MAR 11 0000 17.9 S 65.6 E 940 100 90 03 MAR 11 0600 18.2 S 65.3 E 950 80 03 MAR 11 1200 18.4 S 64.9 E 950 100 80 03 MAR 11 1800 18.6 S 64.6 E 950 80 03 MAR 12 0000 18.9 S 64.1 E 950 105 80 03 MAR 12 0600 19.1 S 64.1 E 955 80 03 MAR 12 1200 19.6 S 63.6 E 955 105 80 03 MAR 12 1800 20.0 S 64.0 E 960 80 03 MAR 13 0000 20.4 S 64.0 E 955 75 80 03 MAR 13 0600 21.0 S 64.4 E 955 80 03 MAR 13 1200 21.7 S 64.0 E 960 75 75 JTWC: 21.7 S, 64.7 E 03 MAR 13 1800 22.6 S 64.4 E 965 70 03 MAR 14 0000 24.0 S 64.7 E 975 65 60 JTWC: 22.9 S, 65.3 E 03 MAR 14 0600 24.1 S 64.6 E 978 55 03 MAR 14 1200 24.9 S 65.1 E 980 50 55 03 MAR 14 1800 25.9 S 65.2 E 984 50 03 MAR 15 0000 26.4 S 65.6 E 986 40 45 03 MAR 15 0600 27.6 S 66.3 E 995 35 03 MAR 15 1200 28.8 S 66.3 E 995 30 35 03 MAR 15 1800 29.3 S 66.2 E 997 35 Extratropical 03 MAR 16 0000 30.5 S 66.3 E 998 40 03 MAR 16 0600 33.9 S 67.1 E 998 45 03 MAR 16 1200 35.5 S 67.5 E 998 45 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone HARRIET (21S) 02 - 11 Mar Tropical Cyclone CRAIG (24S) 07 - 12 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HARRIET Cyclone Number: 21S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by the Perth, Western Australia, TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 02 0600 14.1 S 106.7 E 35 JTWC Warning 03 MAR 02 1800 14.9 S 108.3 E 35 " 03 MAR 02 2200 14.7 S 109.1 E 998 30 03 MAR 03 0400 14.7 S 109.9 E 1000 35 30 03 MAR 03 1000 14.7 S 110.5 E 1000 30 03 MAR 03 1600 14.7 S 111.4 E 1000 35 40 See Note 03 MAR 03 2200 14.7 S 111.8 E 995 40 03 MAR 04 0400 14.8 S 112.5 E 992 35 45 Named TC Harriet 03 MAR 04 1000 14.8 S 113.8 E 992 45 03 MAR 04 1600 14.9 S 114.2 E 992 35 45 JTWC-18Z: 15.1S, 113.7E 03 MAR 04 2200 15.3 S 114.7 E 992 35 35 03 MAR 05 0400 16.0 S 114.9 E 992 35 35 03 MAR 05 1000 16.5 S 115.6 E 992 30 35 03 MAR 05 1600 17.3 S 116.1 E 992 30 35 03 MAR 05 2200 17.5 S 116.0 E 988 35 45 JTWC-00Z: 18.1S, 116.0E 03 MAR 06 0400 18.4 S 115.8 E 988 35 45 JTWC-06Z: 19.0S, 114.8E 03 MAR 06 1000 18.8 S 115.0 E 988 35 45 JTWC-12Z: 19.4S, 114.4E 03 MAR 06 1600 19.1 S 114.6 E 988 35 45 JTWC-18Z: 19.3S, 115.0E 03 MAR 06 2200 19.0 S 114.5 E 988 35 45 03 MAR 07 0400 18.9 S 114.2 E 988 35 45 03 MAR 07 1000 19.1 S 113.9 E 988 35 45 03 MAR 07 1600 19.1 S 113.6 E 985 30 45 03 MAR 07 2200 19.2 S 113.5 E 980 30 50 JTWC-00Z: 19.7S, 113.1E 03 MAR 08 0400 19.7 S 113.0 E 980 50 03 MAR 08 1000 20.0 S 112.5 E 980 30 55 03 MAR 08 1600 20.7 S 111.7 E 980 55 03 MAR 08 2200 21.3 S 110.7 E 982 25 55 JTWC-00Z: 21.0S, 111.3E 03 MAR 09 0400 22.3 S 109.8 E 982 55 03 MAR 09 0700 22.5 S 109.3 E 990 40 03 MAR 09 1000 23.2 S 108.5 E 997 40 Extratropical 03 MAR 09 1600 24.8 S 107.8 E 998 40 03 MAR 09 2200 26.5 S 107.6 E 1000 40 03 MAR 10 0400 27.7 S 107.3 E 1000 50 03 MAR 10 1000 29.4 S 108.5 E 1000 50 03 MAR 10 1600 31.6 S 110.3 E 1000 50 03 MAR 10 2200 34.0 S 112.3 E 1000 45 03 MAR 11 0100 36.0 S 114.0 E 1001 45 Note: Some gales were occurring well north of the center before the Perth TCWC named the system Harriet. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CRAIG Cyclone Number: 24S Basin: AUW/AUE (Name assigned by the Darwin, Northern Territory, TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 07 2230 12.0 S 129.5 E 1002 25 03 MAR 08 0000 11.7 S 129.5 E 1002 25 03 MAR 08 0600 11.6 S 128.8 E 998 30 03 MAR 08 1200 11.1 S 128.6 E 998 25 30 03 MAR 08 1800 11.0 S 129.0 E 997 25 30 03 MAR 09 0000 11.0 S 129.0 E 995 30 03 MAR 09 0500 11.0 S 129.0 E 992 35 Named TC Craig 03 MAR 09 0600 11.0 S 129.0 E 992 30 40 JWTC: 10.7 S, 129.8 E 03 MAR 09 1200 10.8 S 129.4 E 990 40 03 MAR 09 1800 10.6 S 130.3 E 988 30 45 JTWC: 10.5 S, 130.8 E 03 MAR 10 0000 10.8 S 130.5 E 985 50 03 MAR 10 0600 11.2 S 130.9 E 985 35 50 03 MAR 10 1200 11.3 S 131.1 E 985 50 03 MAR 10 1800 11.5 S 131.4 E 985 35 55 03 MAR 11 0000 11.7 S 132.2 E 980 55 03 MAR 11 0600 11.9 S 133.0 E 980 35 55 03 MAR 11 1200 12.3 S 134.4 E 990 40 On NT coast 03 MAR 11 1800 12.1 S 136.0 E 988 35 40 JTWC: 12.5 S, 134.8 E 03 MAR 12 0000 13.0 S 138.0 E 988 40 03 MAR 12 0600 14.5 S 140.5 E 985 35 50 JTWC: 13.9 S, 139.5 E 03 MAR 12 1100 16.5 S 141.7 E 990 40 Inland 03 MAR 12 1300 17.3 S 141.5 E 997 30 03 MAR 12 1800 16.3 S 142.0 E 30 Final JTWC Warning ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone ERICA (22P / 13F) 02 - 16 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ERICA Cyclone Number: 22P Basin: AUE/SPA (Name assigned by the Brisbane, Queensland, TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 02 2000 20.0 S 149.5 E 1000 40 See Note 03 MAR 03 0200 20.0 S 148.0 E 1002 30 Gale warning cancelled 03 MAR 04 0000 20.5 S 152.5 E 1000 40 See Note 03 MAR 04 0600 20.5 S 154.0 E 995 30 45 Named TC Erica 03 MAR 04 1200 20.6 S 154.4 E 995 35 45 JTWC: 21.6 S, 154.1 E 03 MAR 04 1800 20.5 S 154.6 E 985 55 03 MAR 05 0000 20.4 S 154.7 E 985 30 55 JTWC: 20.2 S, 154.1 E 03 MAR 05 0600 19.4 S 155.0 E 985 55 03 MAR 05 1200 19.2 S 155.0 E 985 35 55 03 MAR 05 1800 18.1 S 155.0 E 990 45 03 MAR 06 0000 17.5 S 154.5 E 990 30 45 03 MAR 06 0600 16.8 S 154.0 E 990 45 03 MAR 06 1200 16.1 S 153.7 E 990 40 03 MAR 06 1800 15.5 S 153.0 E 995 40 03 MAR 06 2200 15.2 S 154.1 E 997 30 03 MAR 08 0600 12.5 S 155.0 E 1000 30 Gale warnings restarted 03 MAR 08 1200 12.5 S 155.0 E 1000 30 03 MAR 08 1800 12.2 S 155.2 E 1000 30 03 MAR 09 0000 13.0 S 157.0 E 1000 30 03 MAR 09 0600 13.0 S 157.0 E 998 30 03 MAR 09 1200 12.5 S 155.0 E 998 30 Relocated 03 MAR 09 1800 12.5 S 155.5 E 998 30 03 MAR 10 0000 12.0 S 157.5 E 998 30 03 MAR 10 0600 12.1 S 157.9 E 997 30 30 03 MAR 10 1200 12.3 S 158.5 E 995 40 03 MAR 10 1800 12.7 S 158.9 E 990 35 40 JTWC: 12.5 S, 158.0 E 03 MAR 11 0000 12.7 S 158.3 E 985 50 Relocated 03 MAR 11 0600 13.6 S 158.8 E 980 45 55 03 MAR 11 1200 14.4 S 159.4 E 975 60 03 MAR 11 1800 15.2 S 159.8 E 970 55 65 03 MAR 12 0000 16.4 S 159.7 E 965 70 03 MAR 12 0600 16.9 S 160.0 E 960 65 80 03 MAR 12 1200 17.9 S 160.4 E 955 80 Fiji Warnings 03 MAR 12 1600 18.5 S 160.4 E 925 100 03 MAR 12 1800 18.8 S 160.6 E 925 100 100 JTWC: 18.9 S, 161.1 E 03 MAR 13 0000 19.3 S 161.2 E 920 110 03 MAR 13 0600 20.1 S 161.8 E 915 140 115 03 MAR 13 1200 20.6 S 162.7 E 915 115 03 MAR 13 1800 21.1 S 164.4 E 920 100 110 03 MAR 14 0000 22.1 S 166.4 E 930 95 Over New Caledonia 03 MAR 14 0600 23.1 S 168.6 E 945 80 85 " 03 MAR 14 1200 24.6 S 170.4 E 960 75 03 MAR 14 1800 26.1 S 172.6 E 965 70 70 Wellington Warnings 03 MAR 15 0000 28.0 S 176.5 E 972 65 03 MAR 15 0600 28.0 S 179.5 E 975 45 60 JTWC: 29.0 S, 178.7 E 03 MAR 15 1200 30.0 S 179.0 W 980 35 Extratropical 03 MAR 15 1800 31.0 S 174.0 W 988 40 03 MAR 16 0000 31.0 S 173.0 W 994 35 03 MAR 16 0600 32.0 S 170.0 W 996 35 03 MAR 16 1200 32.0 S 168.0 W 998 35 03 MAR 16 1800 33.0 S 167.0 W 1000 35 Note: Before the system was named Erica, a couple of gale warnings were issued for the possibility of gales well-removed from the center. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (11F) 06 - 08 Mar Tropical Cyclone ESETA (12F / 25P) 07 - 14 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 11F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 06 0600 16.6 S 175.8 E 998 See Note 03 MAR 06 2300 17.3 S 174.0 E 998 03 MAR 07 2100 18.9 S 169.4 E 1002 03 MAR 08 2100 21.0 S 168.0 E 1002 Note: No maximum wind estimates were given in the Tropical Disturbance Summaries issued by Nadi. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ESETA Cyclone Number: 25P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 12F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAR 07 2100 13.4 S 178.0 E 1000 20 03 MAR 08 2100 14.0 S 173.8 E 998 20 03 MAR 09 0900 14.0 S 173.0 E 1000 20 03 MAR 09 2100 15.5 S 172.5 E 998 20 Detached gales to north 03 MAR 10 0600 16.2 S 172.2 E 997 30 25 " 03 MAR 10 1200 15.9 S 172.5 E 997 30 30 " 03 MAR 10 1730 16.9 S 172.0 E 995 35 Named TC Eseta 03 MAR 10 1800 17.0 S 172.0 E 995 35 03 MAR 11 0000 18.2 S 172.1 E 985 45 50 03 MAR 11 0600 18.7 S 172.4 E 975 60 03 MAR 11 1200 19.4 S 172.9 E 975 55 60 03 MAR 11 1800 20.2 S 174.2 E 975 60 03 MAR 12 0000 21.4 S 175.0 E 970 65 65 03 MAR 12 0600 21.7 S 176.1 E 970 65 03 MAR 12 1200 21.8 S 177.8 E 970 70 65 03 MAR 12 1800 21.9 S 179.9 E 930 95 03 MAR 13 0000 22.0 S 177.9 W 930 100 95 03 MAR 13 0600 22.1 S 175.3 W 935 90 03 MAR 13 1200 22.7 S 172.5 W 935 110 90 03 MAR 13 1800 23.6 S 169.0 W 945 85 03 MAR 14 0000 25.3 S 165.3 W 965 60 70 JTWC: 24.1 S, 166.8 W 03 MAR 14 0600 28.5 S 160.5 W 970 65 Wellington Warnings 03 MAR 14 1100 31.0 S 160.0 W 980 50 Extratropical 03 MAR 14 1700 35.0 S 157.0 W 985 50 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: OR PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 04.01.03 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com