GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2005 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon ROKE (02W / 0502 / AURING) 13 - 19 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ROKE Cyclone Number: 02W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: AURING JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0502 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 MAR 13 0000 7.2 N 148.5 E 1008 30 JMA warning 05 MAR 13 0600 8.0 N 147.1 E 1004 25 30 05 MAR 13 1200 8.3 N 145.8 E 1000 30 30 05 MAR 13 1800 9.0 N 143.8 E 998 30 30 05 MAR 14 0000 10.2 N 142.4 E 1000 30 30 05 MAR 14 0600 10.4 N 141.2 E 1000 35 30 05 MAR 14 1200 10.4 N 140.0 E 1000 40 30 05 MAR 14 1800 10.6 N 139.2 E 1000 40 30 05 MAR 15 0000 11.7 N 137.5 E 996 40 35 05 MAR 15 0600 11.9 N 136.0 E 992 55 40 05 MAR 15 1200 12.1 N 134.5 E 992 55 40 05 MAR 15 1800 12.2 N 132.9 E 990 65 45 05 MAR 16 0000 11.9 N 131.3 E 985 65 50 05 MAR 16 0600 11.7 N 128.9 E 980 65 55 05 MAR 16 1200 11.4 N 126.9 E 980 65 55 05 MAR 16 1800 11.2 N 124.9 E 985 55 50 Over Leyte Island 05 MAR 17 0000 10.8 N 122.8 E 990 55 45 Over Panay & Negros Is. 05 MAR 17 0600 11.5 N 121.3 E 994 45 40 Over Sulu Sea 05 MAR 17 1200 12.3 N 120.2 E 996 40 40 Near Calamian Group 05 MAR 17 1800 12.9 N 118.3 E 998 25 35 Over South China Sea 05 MAR 18 0000 13.0 N 117.0 E 1004 25 JMA bulletins 05 MAR 18 0600 12.0 N 117.0 E 1008 25 05 MAR 18 1200 12.0 N 115.0 E 1008 25 05 MAR 18 1800 11.0 N 113.0 E 1008 25 05 MAR 19 0000 11.0 N 113.0 E 1008 25 05 MAR 19 0600 10.0 N 110.0 E 1008 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table prepared and sent by Huang Chunliang: ==================================================== == Typhoon 02W/ROKE/0502/AURING (Mar 13-19, 2005) == ==================================================== TCWC STORM ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 02W (ROKE) 65 JMA Typhoon 0502 (ROKE) 55 PAGASA Severe Tropical Storm AURING 55 NMCC Severe Tropical Storm 0502 (ROKE) 60 HKO Severe Tropical Storm ROKE (0502) 50 CWB Weak Typhoon 0502 (ROKE) 55 Note: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was last ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Storm HENNIE (MFR-16 / 24S) 21 - 29 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HENNIE Cyclone Number: 24S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 16 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 MAR 21 0600 12.8 S 63.9 E 1004 20 Locally 25 kts 05 MAR 21 1200 13.6 S 62.8 E 1002 25 05 MAR 21 1800 14.2 S 61.4 E 1000 30 25 05 MAR 22 0000 14.5 S 60.3 E 997 30 05 MAR 22 0600 14.7 S 59.8 E 998 30 30 Named by Mauritius 05 MAR 22 1200 15.6 S 59.2 E 995 35 05 MAR 22 1800 15.8 S 58.4 E 994 40 35 05 MAR 23 0000 16.0 S 58.3 E 994 35 05 MAR 23 0600 16.5 S 58.8 E 992 45 40 05 MAR 23 1200 17.4 S 58.9 E 990 40 05 MAR 23 1800 18.8 S 58.6 E 985 55 50 05 MAR 24 0000 19.4 S 58.6 E 980 55 05 MAR 24 0600 20.4 S 59.0 E 980 65 55 05 MAR 24 1200 21.3 S 58.8 E 980 55 05 MAR 24 1800 21.8 S 58.9 E 980 60 55 05 MAR 25 0000 22.5 S 58.9 E 984 50 05 MAR 25 0600 22.5 S 59.0 E 984 55 50 05 MAR 25 1200 22.7 S 59.3 E 984 50 05 MAR 25 1800 23.2 S 60.6 E 985 45 50 05 MAR 26 0000 23.4 S 60.8 E 986 45 05 MAR 26 0600 23.8 S 61.1 E 986 45 45 05 MAR 26 1200 24.5 S 61.4 E 986 45 05 MAR 26 1800 25.0 S 61.8 E 986 45 45 05 MAR 27 0000 25.3 S 61.4 E 988 45 05 MAR 27 0600 25.8 S 62.1 E 990 30 45 Extratropical 05 MAR 27 1200 25.9 S 62.6 E 990 45 05 MAR 27 1800 26.0 S 63.5 E 990 45 05 MAR 28 0000 26.1 S 63.8 E 990 45 05 MAR 28 0600 26.5 S 64.2 E 990 45 05 MAR 28 1200 27.0 S 65.0 E 990 45 05 MAR 28 1800 27.8 S 65.2 E 992 45 05 MAR 29 0000 28.1 S 66.1 E 994 45 05 MAR 29 0600 28.9 S 66.3 E 994 45 05 MAR 29 1200 30.2 S 66.5 E 994 45 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Cyclone WILLY (23S) 09 - 17 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WILLY Cyclone Number: 23S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 MAR 09 0100 13.0 S 119.5 E 1002 25 05 MAR 09 0400 12.6 S 119.4 E 1002 25 05 MAR 09 1000 13.0 S 118.7 E 998 30 05 MAR 09 1600 13.1 S 118.0 E 995 35 35 05 MAR 09 2200 14.0 S 117.5 E 990 40 05 MAR 10 0400 14.3 S 116.1 E 988 55 45 05 MAR 10 1000 14.8 S 115.3 E 980 55 05 MAR 10 1600 15.4 S 114.7 E 975 65 60 05 MAR 10 2200 15.9 S 113.9 E 970 65 05 MAR 11 0400 16.4 S 113.0 E 960 90 75 05 MAR 11 1000 17.2 S 112.1 E 960 90 70 05 MAR 11 1600 18.1 S 111.4 E 960 90 70 05 MAR 11 2200 18.3 S 111.1 E 960 90 80 05 MAR 12 0400 19.1 S 110.6 E 960 80 75 JTWC-06Z: 19.8S/110.2E 05 MAR 12 1000 20.2 S 109.8 E 960 75 75 05 MAR 12 1600 20.9 S 109.2 E 960 75 05 MAR 12 2200 20.9 S 109.0 E 960 75 75 05 MAR 13 0400 20.9 S 108.8 E 965 70 05 MAR 13 1000 21.2 S 108.4 E 975 55 60 05 MAR 13 1600 21.1 S 107.9 E 980 55 05 MAR 13 2200 21.3 S 107.2 E 990 35 40 05 MAR 14 0400 21.2 S 106.9 E 992 40 05 MAR 14 1000 21.2 S 106.3 E 997 30 05 MAR 15 0200 19.9 S 104.3 E 25 05 MAR 16 0300 20.0 S 102.0 E 20 05 MAR 17 0300 21.2 S 101.8 E 20 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Cyclone INGRID (22P) 05 - 19 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: INGRID Cyclone Number: 22P Basin: AUE/AUW (Named assigned by Brisbane TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 MAR 05 0200 11.8 S 144.2 E 1006 20 05 MAR 05 0500 11.9 S 145.0 E 1004 25 05 MAR 05 1100 12.7 S 146.3 E 1004 30 05 MAR 05 1800 12.4 S 147.4 E 1002 30 05 MAR 06 0000 12.7 S 148.0 E 1002 30 05 MAR 06 0200 12.7 S 148.0 E 998 40 Named TC Ingrid 05 MAR 06 0600 13.1 S 148.1 E 995 45 45 05 MAR 06 0700 13.1 S 148.1 E 985 50 05 MAR 06 1200 13.6 S 148.7 E 975 70 05 MAR 06 1800 13.8 S 149.0 E 970 75 75 05 MAR 07 0000 14.1 S 148.8 E 965 80 05 MAR 07 0600 14.3 S 148.6 E 950 120 85 05 MAR 07 0700 14.3 S 148.5 E 930 95 05 MAR 07 1200 14.3 S 148.4 E 935 90 05 MAR 07 1800 14.0 S 147.9 E 930 130 115 05 MAR 08 0000 13.9 S 147.4 E 930 115 05 MAR 08 0600 14.0 S 146.9 E 930 130 115 05 MAR 08 1200 14.0 S 146.5 E 930 115 05 MAR 08 1800 13.6 S 146.1 E 935 105 110 05 MAR 09 0000 13.5 S 145.5 E 935 110 05 MAR 09 0600 13.6 S 145.0 E 950 105 95 05 MAR 09 1200 13.5 S 144.5 E 970 75 05 MAR 09 1800 13.2 S 143.8 E 960 100 85 05 MAR 09 2000 13.2 S 143.5 E 955 90 Moving inland 05 MAR 10 0000 13.0 S 143.0 E 975 65 05 MAR 10 0600 13.4 S 141.9 E 990 65 45 05 MAR 10 1200 13.1 S 141.5 E 992 40 Entering Gulf of Carp. 05 MAR 10 1800 12.9 S 140.3 E 978 60 55 05 MAR 11 0000 12.5 S 139.5 E 978 60 05 MAR 11 0600 12.4 S 138.7 E 970 80 70 05 MAR 11 1200 12.2 S 137.8 E 955 120 90 05 MAR 11 1800 11.9 S 136.8 E 950 120 100 05 MAR 12 0000 11.6 S 135.9 E 938 110 05 MAR 12 0600 11.6 S 134.9 E 925 135 120 05 MAR 12 1200 11.4 S 133.9 E 925 120 05 MAR 12 1800 11.2 S 132.8 E 930 120 110 Crossing Croker Is. 05 MAR 13 0000 11.2 S 132.2 E 944 100 " 05 MAR 13 0600 11.3 S 131.3 E 950 100 90 Crossing Melville Is. 05 MAR 13 1200 11.4 S 130.8 E 955 80 05 MAR 13 1800 11.5 S 130.2 E 955 100 80 Crossing Bathurst Is. 05 MAR 14 0000 11.5 S 129.7 E 960 80 05 MAR 14 0600 11.8 S 129.4 E 960 100 80 05 MAR 14 1200 12.1 S 128.7 E 950 90 05 MAR 14 1800 12.1 S 128.3 E 945 115 100 05 MAR 15 0000 12.8 S 128.0 E 935 110 05 MAR 15 0600 13.2 S 127.6 E 935 130 110 05 MAR 15 1200 13.8 S 127.2 E 935 110 Moving inland 05 MAR 15 1800 14.3 S 126.7 E 955 90 90 05 MAR 16 0000 14.4 S 126.4 E 968 65 05 MAR 16 0400 14.5 S 126.5 E 980 55 05 MAR 16 1000 15.1 S 127.2 E 985 45 05 MAR 16 1600 15.4 S 127.6 E 988 40 05 MAR 19 1900 15.4 S 128.2 E 992 35 05 MAR 19 2200 15.9 S 129.0 E 30 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone RAE (12F / 21P) 27 Feb - 08 Mar Tropical Depression (13F) 27 Feb - 04 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: RAE Cyclone Number: 21P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 12F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 FEB 27 2100 11.0 S 175.0 E 1003 05 FEB 28 2100 11.5 S 178.5 E 1003 05 MAR 01 0600 12.0 S 178.0 W 1003 Class. as Trop. Dep. 05 MAR 01 2100 14.5 S 176.5 W 1003 05 MAR 02 0600 14.5 S 180.0 W 1000 05 MAR 02 2100 14.0 S 180.0 W 1000 05 MAR 03 0600 15.0 S 179.0 W 1000 05 MAR 03 1800 14.0 S 176.0 W 1000 05 MAR 04 0600 15.0 S 176.0 W 1002 05 MAR 04 1700 16.0 S 167.4 W 998 30 05 MAR 04 2100 16.8 S 167.3 W 999 30 05 MAR 05 0000 17.0 S 167.2 W 997 30 05 MAR 05 0600 18.0 S 166.3 W 997 30 05 MAR 05 1200 18.9 S 165.7 W 997 30 05 MAR 05 1800 20.5 S 164.7 W 997 30 05 MAR 05 2100 21.0 S 164.5 W 990 35 Named TC Rae 05 MAR 06 0000 21.7 S 163.9 W 990 35 40 05 MAR 06 0600 23.0 S 162.7 W 995 35 35 05 MAR 06 1200 23.9 S 161.4 W 997 30 Gales in SE semi 05 MAR 06 1800 24.2 S 158.3 W 998 30 30 JTWC: 24.5S/160.0W 05 MAR 07 0000 23.0 S 159.5 W 998 30 Gales in S semi 05 MAR 07 0600 23.0 S 159.0 W 998 30 Extratropical 05 MAR 07 1200 24.0 S 157.0 W 998 40 Gales in SE quad 05 MAR 07 1800 23.0 S 159.0 W 1002 40 " 05 MAR 08 0000 23.4 S 158.5 W 1002 40 " Note: No maximum winds were specified in the Tropical Disturbance Advisories issued by RSMC Nadi prior to 04/1700 UTC. It is likely that during this stage the MSW (10-min avg) did not exceed 20-25 kts. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 13F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 FEB 27 2100 11.5 S 160.0 E 1004 05 FEB 28 2100 11.5 S 161.0 E 1003 05 MAR 01 0600 11.0 S 165.0 E 1002 05 MAR 01 2100 11.0 S 168.0 E 1004 05 MAR 02 0600 15.0 S 174.0 E 1002 05 MAR 02 1800 16.0 S 177.0 E 1002 Class. as Trop. Dep. 05 MAR 03 0600 18.0 S 178.0 E 1001 05 MAR 03 1800 18.0 S 178.0 E 1001 05 MAR 04 0600 18.0 S 178.0 E 1003 05 MAR 04 2300 19.0 S 179.0 E 1003 Note: No maximum winds were specified in the Tropical Disturbance Advisories issued by RSMC Nadi. It is likely that the MSW (10-min avg) did not exceed 20-25 kts. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 04.01.05 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com