GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MAY 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm AGATHA (01E) 22 - 25 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: AGATHA Cyclone Number: 01E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 22 0000 14.6 N 107.6 W 1006 25 04 MAY 22 0600 15.1 N 108.2 W 1006 30 04 MAY 22 1200 15.8 N 109.3 W 1005 35 04 MAY 22 1800 16.6 N 109.6 W 1003 40 04 MAY 23 0000 17.2 N 109.9 W 1000 45 04 MAY 23 0600 17.6 N 110.1 W 1000 45 04 MAY 23 1200 17.9 N 110.3 W 1002 40 04 MAY 23 1800 18.2 N 110.3 W 1002 40 04 MAY 24 0000 18.4 N 110.8 W 1003 30 04 MAY 24 0600 18.9 N 111.4 W 1003 30 04 MAY 24 1200 19.0 N 111.0 W 1004 30 04 MAY 24 1800 18.8 N 111.0 W 1008 25 04 MAY 25 0000 18.8 N 110.7 W 1008 20 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Super Typhoon NIDA (04W / 0402 / DINDO) 13 - 22 May Tropical Storm (05W) 14 - 20 May Typhoon OMAIS (06W / 0403 / ENTENG) 16 - 23 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NIDA Cyclone Number: 04W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: DINDO JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0402 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 13 0600 8.0 N 132.0 E 1002 25 JMA bulletin 04 MAY 13 1200 7.3 N 131.1 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 7.8N/132.3E 04 MAY 13 1800 8.3 N 132.1 E 1000 25 30 04 MAY 14 0000 8.2 N 131.7 E 1000 50 30 PAGASA: 8.0N/131.0E 04 MAY 14 0600 8.5 N 131.3 E 990 60 40 04 MAY 14 1200 8.9 N 131.0 E 990 65 40 04 MAY 14 1800 9.3 N 130.4 E 985 70 50 04 MAY 15 0000 9.6 N 129.9 E 980 80 55 04 MAY 15 0600 9.6 N 129.2 E 975 90 60 04 MAY 15 1200 10.1 N 128.4 E 970 90 65 04 MAY 15 1800 10.6 N 127.8 E 955 100 75 04 MAY 16 0000 11.3 N 127.3 E 950 115 80 04 MAY 16 0600 11.8 N 126.4 E 945 130 80 04 MAY 16 1200 12.5 N 125.7 E 935 140 90 04 MAY 16 1800 13.4 N 124.7 E 935 140 90 04 MAY 17 0000 14.0 N 124.5 E 940 130 90 Near Catanduanes I. 04 MAY 17 0600 14.7 N 123.8 E 945 135 80 04 MAY 17 1200 15.2 N 123.7 E 940 135 85 04 MAY 17 1800 16.1 N 123.6 E 940 130 85 04 MAY 18 0000 17.0 N 123.5 E 930 130 90 04 MAY 18 0600 17.6 N 123.6 E 930 130 90 04 MAY 18 1200 18.5 N 123.8 E 940 125 85 04 MAY 18 1800 19.3 N 124.6 E 940 115 85 04 MAY 19 0000 20.2 N 125.2 E 950 105 80 04 MAY 19 0600 21.2 N 126.4 E 950 100 80 04 MAY 19 1200 22.6 N 128.0 E 950 90 80 04 MAY 19 1800 23.6 N 129.9 E 950 85 80 04 MAY 20 0000 25.1 N 131.6 E 955 80 75 04 MAY 20 0600 26.7 N 134.4 E 960 80 70 04 MAY 20 1200 28.9 N 136.4 E 960 80 70 JMA: 28.5N/137.1E 04 MAY 20 1800 30.4 N 140.4 E 970 60 65 JMA: 31.2N/140.3E 04 MAY 21 0000 34.2 N 143.4 E 980 55 50 JMA: 34.7N/142.3E 04 MAY 21 0600 37.8 N 146.5 E 984 45 50 JMA: 37.0N/146.0E 04 MAY 21 1200 38.0 N 147.0 E 984 50 JMA bulletins/X-TROP 04 MAY 21 1800 39.0 N 149.0 E 988 50 04 MAY 22 0000 41.0 N 149.0 E 996 35 04 MAY 22 0600 39.0 N 151.0 E 1004 35 04 MAY 22 1200 39.0 N 151.0 E 1008 35 Note: The following table of peak MSW estimates from all the warning centers was prepared by Huang Chunliang. All values represent a 10-min avg MSW except for JTWC's, which is a 1-min avg MSW. ========================================================= == Super Typhoon 04W/NIDA/0402/DINDO (May 13-21, 2004) == ========================================================= TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) --------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Super Typhoon 04W (NIDA) 140 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0402 (NIDA) 90 PAGASA Typhoon DINDO 90 NMCC Typhoon 0402 (NIDA) 110 HKO Typhoon NIDA (0402) 110 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0402 (NIDA) 90 Note: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points at the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 05W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 14 0600 10.0 N 113.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletins 04 MAY 14 1200 10.0 N 112.0 E 1006 25 04 MAY 14 1800 10.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25 04 MAY 15 0000 10.0 N 111.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 15 0600 9.6 N 110.7 E 1004 30 04 MAY 15 1200 9.4 N 110.2 E 1004 25 30 04 MAY 15 1800 9.4 N 109.7 E 1004 30 30 04 MAY 16 0000 10.1 N 110.1 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 9.5N/108.9E 04 MAY 16 0600 9.9 N 108.7 E 1004 35 30 04 MAY 16 1200 9.5 N 108.0 E 1004 35 30 04 MAY 16 1800 9.5 N 108.0 E 1004 30 30 04 MAY 17 0000 9.9 N 109.2 E 1004 30 30 04 MAY 17 0600 10.2 N 109.7 E 1002 25 30 04 MAY 17 1200 10.0 N 109.0 E 1004 25 JMA bulletins 04 MAY 17 1800 10.0 N 109.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 18 0000 10.0 N 109.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 18 0600 10.3 N 110.6 E 1004 30 04 MAY 18 1200 11.2 N 112.5 E 1004 30 04 MAY 18 1800 11.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 19 0000 11.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 19 0600 12.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 19 1200 13.0 N 113.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 19 1800 12.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 20 0000 14.0 N 114.0 E 1006 25 04 MAY 20 0600 15.0 N 114.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 20 1200 16.0 N 115.0 E 1004 25 04 MAY 20 1800 16.0 N 116.0 E 1004 25 Note: The following table of peak MSW estimates from all the warning centers was prepared by Huang Chunliang. All values represent a 10-min avg MSW, except for JTWC's, which is a 1-min avg MSW. ========================================== == Tropical Storm 05W (May 14-21, 2004) == ========================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) ----------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 05W 35 JMA Tropical Depression 30 NMCC Tropical Depression --* HKO Tropical Depression --* CWB Tropical Depression --# TMD Tropical Depression 30 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points at the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. In this regard, CWB and JMA were the TCWCs that took the lead in upgrading 05W to TD status on the 14th while TMD classified it as a TD for the last time on the 21st. (Note: TMD = Thai Meteorological Department) Note 2 (*): The system was mentioned as a TD in some of the real-time bulletins issued by both NMCC and HKO; yet, the storm remained outside the AOR of HKO thoughout its life, and neither did it require any NMCC warnings. Therefore, no specific MSW was implied for the depression by either of these TCWCs. Note 3 (#): CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OMAIS Cyclone Number: 06W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: ENTENG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0403 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 16 0000 6.1 N 143.3 E 25 04 MAY 16 0600 6.0 N 142.5 E 25 04 MAY 16 1200 6.7 N 141.7 E 1004 35 30 04 MAY 16 1800 6.6 N 140.8 E 1004 40 30 04 MAY 17 0000 7.1 N 140.3 E 1004 40 30 04 MAY 17 0600 7.4 N 139.7 E 1000 40 30 04 MAY 17 1200 7.7 N 139.4 E 1000 40 30 04 MAY 17 1800 8.2 N 139.0 E 1000 60 30 04 MAY 18 0000 8.7 N 138.4 E 996 60 35 04 MAY 18 0600 9.1 N 137.1 E 996 60 35 04 MAY 18 1200 9.5 N 136.3 E 996 60 35 04 MAY 18 1800 10.0 N 135.5 E 996 65 35 04 MAY 19 0000 10.2 N 134.8 E 996 65 35 04 MAY 19 0600 10.9 N 134.0 E 996 65 35 04 MAY 19 1200 11.4 N 133.1 E 985 65 50 04 MAY 19 1800 11.8 N 132.8 E 985 65 50 04 MAY 20 0000 11.9 N 132.5 E 990 60 45 04 MAY 20 0600 13.5 N 133.6 E 990 55 45 PAGASA: 13.5N/132.7E 04 MAY 20 1200 14.7 N 134.1 E 990 55 45 JMA: 14.0N/133.8E 04 MAY 20 1800 15.9 N 134.1 E 990 40 45 JMA: 14.7N/133.4E 04 MAY 21 0000 16.4 N 134.4 E 996 35 40 04 MAY 21 0600 16.9 N 134.8 E 998 35 30 04 MAY 21 1200 17.5 N 134.8 E 1004 35 25 04 MAY 21 1800 19.0 N 135.4 E 1004 35 25 04 MAY 22 0000 20.2 N 136.1 E 1004 35 25 JMA: 19.0N/135.0E 04 MAY 22 0600 20.6 N 135.9 E 1006 25 25 JMA: 18.0N/134.0E 04 MAY 22 1200 19.0 N 134.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletins 04 MAY 22 1800 19.0 N 134.0 E 1006 25 04 MAY 23 0000 22.0 N 134.0 E 1008 25 Note: The following table of peak MSW estimates from all the warning centers was prepared by Huang Chunliang. All values represent a 10-min avg MSW except for JTWC's, which is a 1-min avg MSW. ===================================================== == Typhoon 06W/OMAIS/0403/ENTENG (May 16-23, 2004) == ===================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) ---------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 06W (OMAIS) 65 JMA Severe Tropical Storm 0403 (OMAIS) 50 PAGASA Tropical Storm ENTENG 35* NMCC Tropical Storm 0403 (OMAIS) 40 HKO Tropical Storm OMAIS (0403) --# CWB Weak Typhoon 0403 (OMAIS) 40 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points at the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. Note 2 (*): The MSW represents merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may not have been the real peak. Note 3 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, though they classified it as a TS, i.e., a < 50-kt storm, which kept outside of HKO's AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone (01A / ARB0401) 05 - 10 May Tropical Cyclone (02B / BOB0401) 17 - 19 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01A Basin: NIO IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: ARB0401 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 05 0000 11.5 N 73.4 E 30 04 MAY 05 0600 11.7 N 72.8 E 35 04 MAY 05 1200 11.4 N 72.5 E 35 04 MAY 05 1800 10.8 N 73.5 E 35 04 MAY 06 0000 11.2 N 73.1 E 35 04 MAY 06 0600 11.3 N 73.1 E 40 04 MAY 06 1200 11.3 N 72.9 E 40 04 MAY 06 1800 11.5 N 73.0 E 40 04 MAY 07 0000 12.3 N 72.8 E 45 04 MAY 07 0600 12.8 N 72.2 E 45 04 MAY 07 1200 12.9 N 71.4 E 45 04 MAY 07 1800 12.2 N 72.7 E 45 04 MAY 08 0000 12.3 N 72.5 E 45 04 MAY 08 0600 13.2 N 73.5 E 45 04 MAY 08 1200 13.8 N 73.1 E 45 04 MAY 08 1800 14.0 N 72.9 E 45 04 MAY 09 0600 14.8 N 72.2 E 35 0600Z warning missing 04 MAY 09 1200 16.1 N 70.6 E 35 04 MAY 09 1800 17.4 N 69.6 E 35 04 MAY 10 0000 18.4 N 69.0 E 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02B Basin: NIO IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: BOB0401 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 17 1200 18.7 N 88.7 E 35 04 MAY 18 0000 17.9 N 87.9 E 35 04 MAY 18 1200 18.9 N 90.1 E 40 04 MAY 19 0000 19.8 N 92.0 E 60 04 MAY 19 1200 20.9 N 94.7 E 60 Inland 04 MAY 19 1800 21.9 N 96.3 E 30 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm JUBA (MFR-15 / 23S) 05 - 15 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JUBA Cyclone Number: 23S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 15 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 05 1200 7.0 S 77.0 E 1003 35 25 JTWC: 8.7S/76.0E 04 MAY 05 1800 8.5 S 76.5 E 1001 35 25 JTWC: 8.7S/75.6E 04 MAY 06 0000 8.4 S 76.2 E 1000 35 25 JTWC: 8.8S/75.4E 04 MAY 06 0600 7.8 S 74.7 E 1000 35 25 Locally 30 kts 04 MAY 06 1200 7.9 S 75.0 E 1000 30 25 " 04 MAY 06 1800 7.9 S 74.7 E 1000 25 " 04 MAY 07 0600 8.0 S 78.3 E 1000 25 " 04 MAY 12 0600 11.0 S 68.9 E 1002 25 Redeveloped 04 MAY 12 1200 11.4 S 68.7 E 999 30 04 MAY 12 1800 11.6 S 68.4 E 990 35 45 04 MAY 13 0000 12.1 S 68.0 E 990 45 04 MAY 13 0600 12.7 S 67.6 E 985 60 50 04 MAY 13 1200 13.6 S 67.5 E 980 55 04 MAY 13 1800 14.1 S 67.3 E 980 65 55 04 MAY 14 0000 14.5 S 67.4 E 982 50 04 MAY 14 0600 15.1 S 67.2 E 985 55 50 JTWC: 15.5S/67.9E 04 MAY 14 1200 14.6 S 66.3 E 989 45 04 MAY 14 1800 14.2 S 65.8 E 996 30 30 04 MAY 15 0000 14.7 S 64.9 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts 04 MAY 15 0600 15.2 S 64.4 E 1002 20 Note: The first two bulletins on this system, issued by MFR at 04/1200 UTC and 05/0600 UTC, did not contain any coordinates but rather indicated a broad zone of disturbed weather lying north of 15S and east of 68E. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Depression 02 - 03 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 MAY 02 0000 22.0 S 154.0 W 1003 Strongly sheared 04 MAY 02 0600 20.5 S 154.0 W 1000 Peripheral gales 04 MAY 02 1200 20.5 S 154.0 W 1000 " 04 MAY 02 1800 23.0 S 154.0 W 998 " 04 MAY 03 0000 24.0 S 153.0 W 998 " Note: This system most likely was not a true tropical depression. Nadi assigned no "F" number, and after the first bulletin at 02/0000 UTC, the reference was to a "depression" instead of a "tropical depression" in the gale warnings. The warnings indicated winds of up to 40 kts associated with the LOW. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 07.01.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com