GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2001 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Atlantic Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, located in Miami, Florida, USA. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. The track information for the initial and later non-tropical stages of Hurricane Karen and Tropical Storm Lorenzo were taken from the High Seas Forecasts issued by the Marine Prediction Center (north of 31N) and the Tropical Prediction Center (south of 31N). Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane IRIS (11) 04 - 09 Oct Tropical Storm JERRY (12) 06 - 08 Oct Hurricane KAREN (13 / STS #1) 10 - 15 Oct Tropical Storm LORENZO (14) 25 - 31 Oct NOTE: Hurricane MICHELLE began as Tropical Depression #15 in late October, but was upgraded to a tropical storm at 0010 UTC on the 1st of November and will be covered in the November summary and tracks file. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: IRIS Cyclone Number: 11 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 04 1800 12.8 N 59.9 W 1010 30 01 OCT 05 0000 13.4 N 61.4 W 1010 30 01 OCT 05 0600 13.7 N 62.8 W 1010 30 01 OCT 05 1200 14.2 N 64.0 W 1010 30 01 OCT 05 1800 15.5 N 66.1 W 1004 50 01 OCT 06 0000 15.7 N 67.7 W 1001 55 01 OCT 06 0600 16.0 N 69.0 W 998 60 01 OCT 06 1200 16.5 N 70.5 W 998 55 01 OCT 06 1800 16.9 N 72.2 W 992 65 01 OCT 07 0000 17.0 N 74.0 W 993 75 01 OCT 07 0600 16.9 N 75.3 W 987 75 01 OCT 07 1200 17.3 N 77.0 W 989 75 01 OCT 07 1800 17.4 N 78.9 W 991 75 01 OCT 08 0000 17.3 N 80.5 W 988 80 01 OCT 08 0600 17.2 N 82.3 W 963 95 01 OCT 08 1200 17.1 N 84.0 W 950 120 01 OCT 08 1800 16.8 N 86.0 W 954 120 01 OCT 09 0000 16.5 N 88.0 W 954 125 Near coast of Belize 01 OCT 09 0600 16.2 N 89.9 W 1005 35 Inland 01 OCT 09 1200 16.2 N 91.9 W 1004 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JERRY Cyclone Number: 12 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 06 1200 11.0 N 50.5 W 1008 25 01 OCT 06 1800 11.0 N 51.5 W 1007 30 01 OCT 07 0000 11.0 N 53.5 W 1005 35 01 OCT 07 0600 11.3 N 55.5 W 1003 40 01 OCT 07 1200 11.5 N 57.5 W 1003 40 01 OCT 07 1800 12.2 N 59.4 W 1007 45 01 OCT 08 0000 13.1 N 60.2 W 1007 45 01 OCT 08 0600 13.7 N 62.0 W 1007 45 01 OCT 08 1200 14.2 N 64.0 W 1007 45 01 OCT 08 1800 14.5 N 66.0 W 1008 25 Weakened to trop. wave ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KAREN Cyclone Number: 13 Basin: ATL (Initially identified as Subtropical Storm #1) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 10 0000 26.0 N 65.0 W 1012 30 Developing LOW 01 OCT 10 0600 26.0 N 63.0 W 1012 30 01 OCT 10 1200 27.0 N 64.0 W 1014 35 Non-tropical gale 01 OCT 10 1800 27.0 N 64.0 W 1012 35 01 OCT 11 0000 27.0 N 64.0 W 1010 35 01 OCT 11 0600 27.0 N 63.0 W 1008 35 01 OCT 11 1200 30.0 N 62.5 W 1004 40 01 OCT 11 1800 31.0 N 63.0 W 1002 60 01 OCT 12 0000 32.0 N 64.0 W 989 60 01 OCT 12 0600 32.0 N 66.0 W 993 60 01 OCT 12 1200 33.0 N 66.0 W 996 55 01 OCT 12 1800 33.5 N 66.3 W 988 55 Subtropical Storm #1 01 OCT 13 0000 34.0 N 66.3 W 988 55 01 OCT 13 0600 34.8 N 65.3 W 988 55 Tropical Storm Karen 01 OCT 13 1200 36.4 N 64.7 W 986 60 01 OCT 13 1800 37.3 N 64.6 W 985 65 01 OCT 14 0000 37.9 N 64.0 W 985 65 01 OCT 14 0600 38.7 N 63.7 W 982 70 01 OCT 14 1200 39.1 N 63.5 W 985 65 01 OCT 14 1800 40.1 N 64.1 W 992 55 01 OCT 15 0000 40.9 N 64.4 W 996 50 01 OCT 15 0600 42.3 N 65.0 W 999 45 01 OCT 15 1200 44.3 N 64.4 W 997 40 Inland in Nova Scotia 01 OCT 15 1800 48.0 N 63.0 W 1001 30 Extratropical ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LORENZO Cyclone Number: 14 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 25 1800 27.0 N 35.0 W 1017 25 Non-tropical LOW 01 OCT 26 0000 27.0 N 35.0 W 1018 25 01 OCT 26 1800 27.0 N 35.0 W 1013 20 No data at 0600Z/1200Z 01 OCT 27 0000 26.0 N 35.0 W 1013 25 01 OCT 27 0600 27.0 N 35.0 W 1014 25 01 OCT 27 1200 27.0 N 34.8 W 1010 30 Trop. Depression #14 01 OCT 27 1800 27.6 N 36.0 W 1009 30 01 OCT 28 0000 27.8 N 37.2 W 1009 30 01 OCT 28 0600 27.5 N 38.6 W 1009 30 01 OCT 28 1200 27.6 N 39.7 W 1009 30 01 OCT 28 1800 27.5 N 41.0 W 1010 30 01 OCT 29 0000 27.2 N 41.4 W 1009 30 01 OCT 29 0600 27.5 N 41.7 W 1009 30 01 OCT 29 1200 27.8 N 43.0 W 1009 30 01 OCT 29 1800 28.0 N 43.6 W 1009 30 01 OCT 30 0000 28.4 N 44.6 W 1007 35 01 OCT 30 0600 29.4 N 45.5 W 1007 35 01 OCT 30 1200 31.2 N 45.7 W 1007 35 01 OCT 30 1800 32.9 N 45.9 W 1008 35 01 OCT 31 0000 34.8 N 44.9 W 1008 35 01 OCT 31 0600 37.4 N 43.1 W 1008 35 01 OCT 31 1200 41.0 N 42.0 W 1006 35 Extratropical 01 OCT 31 1800 45.0 N 39.0 W 1006 35 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Northeast Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for systems east of Longitude 140W; and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, for systems west of Longitude 140W. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm LORENA (13E) 02 - 04 Oct Tropical Depression (14E) 03 - 04 Oct Tropical Storm MANUEL (15E) 10 - 18 Oct Hurricane NARDA (16E) 20 - 25 Oct Hurricane OCTAVE (17E) 31 Oct - 03 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LORENA Cyclone Number: 13E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 02 0000 11.9 N 102.0 W 1006 30 01 OCT 02 0600 12.0 N 103.1 W 1005 35 01 OCT 02 1200 12.7 N 104.3 W 1004 35 01 OCT 02 1800 13.2 N 105.4 W 1002 40 01 OCT 03 0000 14.3 N 106.0 W 1002 40 01 OCT 03 0600 15.4 N 106.2 W 1000 45 01 OCT 03 1200 15.9 N 106.5 W 997 50 01 OCT 03 1800 16.4 N 106.3 W 997 50 01 OCT 04 0000 16.8 N 106.7 W 1004 35 01 OCT 04 0600 17.6 N 107.0 W 1004 35 01 OCT 04 1200 18.5 N 107.0 W 1006 30 01 OCT 04 1800 19.6 N 106.7 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 14E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 03 0600 13.8 N 121.2 W 1008 30 01 OCT 03 1200 13.9 N 122.1 W 1008 30 01 OCT 03 1800 14.3 N 122.1 W 1009 25 01 OCT 04 0000 14.6 N 122.9 W 1010 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MANUEL Cyclone Number: 15E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 10 1800 14.0 N 100.6 W 1006 30 01 OCT 11 0000 14.5 N 102.0 W 1006 30 01 OCT 11 0600 14.6 N 103.2 W 1005 35 01 OCT 11 1200 15.2 N 104.8 W 1005 35 01 OCT 11 1800 15.7 N 105.9 W 1000 45 01 OCT 12 0000 15.9 N 107.3 W 1000 45 01 OCT 12 0600 16.1 N 108.2 W 1000 45 01 OCT 12 1200 15.9 N 109.0 W 1002 40 01 OCT 12 1800 15.0 N 110.5 W 1003 30 01 OCT 13 0000 14.9 N 111.5 W 1005 30 01 OCT 13 0600 14.8 N 112.4 W 1006 30 01 OCT 13 1200 14.4 N 113.1 W 1006 30 01 OCT 13 1800 14.2 N 113.4 W 1003 35 01 OCT 14 0000 13.5 N 113.1 W 1002 40 01 OCT 14 0600 13.6 N 113.7 W 1000 40 01 OCT 14 1200 13.9 N 114.2 W 1002 40 01 OCT 14 1800 14.4 N 113.9 W 1003 35 01 OCT 15 0000 14.4 N 113.9 W 1004 35 01 OCT 15 0600 14.6 N 114.0 W 1004 35 01 OCT 15 1200 15.9 N 114.4 W 1004 35 01 OCT 15 1800 16.3 N 115.2 W 1004 35 01 OCT 16 0000 17.1 N 115.9 W 1000 45 01 OCT 16 0600 17.5 N 116.8 W 1000 45 01 OCT 16 1200 17.9 N 117.9 W 1000 45 01 OCT 16 1800 18.6 N 119.5 W 1000 45 01 OCT 17 0000 19.2 N 120.4 W 1000 45 01 OCT 17 0600 19.9 N 120.9 W 1003 40 01 OCT 17 1200 20.5 N 121.5 W 1005 35 01 OCT 17 1800 21.4 N 121.5 W 1007 30 01 OCT 18 0000 21.8 N 121.8 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NARDA Cyclone Number: 16E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 20 1200 11.0 N 125.0 W 1006 30 01 OCT 20 1800 11.6 N 126.4 W 1004 35 01 OCT 21 0000 12.2 N 127.5 W 1002 40 01 OCT 21 0600 12.4 N 128.4 W 1000 45 01 OCT 21 1200 13.4 N 129.6 W 994 55 01 OCT 21 1800 13.9 N 130.7 W 987 65 01 OCT 22 0000 14.4 N 131.4 W 980 75 01 OCT 22 0600 15.2 N 132.2 W 983 70 01 OCT 22 1200 15.5 N 133.5 W 983 70 01 OCT 22 1800 16.0 N 134.4 W 987 65 01 OCT 23 0000 16.2 N 135.3 W 990 60 01 OCT 23 0600 16.1 N 136.4 W 994 50 01 OCT 23 1200 16.3 N 138.1 W 1002 35 01 OCT 23 1800 16.3 N 139.6 W 1002 35 01 OCT 24 0000 16.4 N 141.2 W 1004 30 Transferred to CPHC 01 OCT 24 0600 16.5 N 142.4 W 1004 30 01 OCT 24 1200 16.7 N 143.5 W 1004 30 01 OCT 24 1800 16.9 N 144.4 W 1004 30 01 OCT 25 0000 16.9 N 145.5 W 1004 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OCTAVE Cyclone Number: 17E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 31 0000 12.2 N 122.9 W 1007 30 01 OCT 31 0600 12.6 N 124.0 W 1005 40 01 OCT 31 1200 13.1 N 125.2 W 1004 35 01 OCT 31 1800 13.5 N 126.1 W 1002 40 01 NOV 01 0000 14.3 N 127.0 W 997 50 01 NOV 01 0600 14.8 N 128.0 W 997 50 01 NOV 01 1200 15.2 N 128.3 W 994 60 01 NOV 01 1800 15.7 N 128.3 W 987 65 01 NOV 02 0000 16.5 N 128.6 W 980 75 01 NOV 02 0600 17.2 N 128.8 W 980 75 01 NOV 02 1200 17.8 N 129.0 W 985 65 01 NOV 02 1800 18.0 N 129.5 W 989 60 01 NOV 03 0000 18.3 N 130.2 W 997 45 01 NOV 03 0600 18.5 N 131.0 W 1004 35 01 NOV 03 1200 18.7 N 132.0 W 1005 30 01 NOV 03 1800 18.8 N 132.7 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the PAGASA track for Typhoon Haiyan/Maring and the JMA tracks for all the named cyclones. Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), and the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan (CWBT). A special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for their assistance. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers follow the main track in a separate table. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon KROSA (24W / 0120) 03 - 11 Oct Typhoon HAIYAN (25W / 0121 / MARING) 11 - 19 Oct Super Typhoon PODUL (26W / 0122) 18 - 29 Oct Tropical Depression 21 - 22 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KROSA Cyclone Number: 24W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0120 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 03 1200 13.7 N 145.3 E 25 01 OCT 03 1800 14.0 N 144.6 E 25 01 OCT 04 0000 14.9 N 144.1 E 1000 35 30 01 OCT 04 0600 15.7 N 142.6 E 996 45 35 01 OCT 04 1200 16.5 N 141.6 E 990 50 45 01 OCT 04 1800 17.7 N 140.2 E 985 60 50 01 OCT 05 0000 17.9 N 139.4 E 980 65 55 01 OCT 05 0600 18.8 N 138.2 E 970 75 65 01 OCT 05 1200 19.6 N 137.2 E 960 105 70 01 OCT 05 1800 20.7 N 136.4 E 960 105 70 01 OCT 06 0000 21.4 N 135.8 E 955 100 75 01 OCT 06 0600 22.3 N 135.0 E 955 100 75 01 OCT 06 1200 23.3 N 135.3 E 950 100 80 01 OCT 06 1800 24.0 N 135.5 E 950 100 80 01 OCT 07 0000 25.0 N 135.8 E 950 95 80 01 OCT 07 0600 25.5 N 136.7 E 950 90 80 01 OCT 07 1200 26.2 N 137.7 E 955 90 75 01 OCT 07 1800 27.0 N 138.6 E 955 90 75 01 OCT 08 0000 28.0 N 139.6 E 960 85 70 01 OCT 08 0600 28.9 N 140.7 E 960 75 70 01 OCT 08 1200 29.7 N 142.5 E 965 75 65 01 OCT 08 1800 31.2 N 145.1 E 975 75 60 01 OCT 09 0000 32.7 N 147.6 E 985 75 50 NMCC: 32.0 N, 147.5 E 01 OCT 09 0600 34.3 N 151.2 E 984 55 50 NMCC: 33.7 N, 150.5 E 01 OCT 09 1200 35.0 N 156.0 E 984 50 JMA High Seas Warnings 01 OCT 09 1800 36.0 N 163.0 E 992 50 Extratropical 01 OCT 10 0000 39.0 N 169.0 E 992 50 01 OCT 10 1200 43.0 N 179.0 E 972 60 Missed 0600Z warning 01 OCT 10 1800 44.0 N 178.0 W 968 60 01 OCT 11 0000 45.0 N 174.0 W 968 60 Note: The first JTWC warning was at 03/1800 UTC--the data for 1200 UTC was taken from the JMV file. Center position coordinates were in excellent agreement between JTWC, JMA and NMCC. The maximum 10-min avg MSW values from NMCC's warnings are tabulated below: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) NMCC ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 04 0600 35 01 OCT 04 1200 50 01 OCT 04 1800 60 01 OCT 05 0000 60 01 OCT 05 0600 70 01 OCT 05 1200 80 01 OCT 05 1800 80 01 OCT 06 0000 80 01 OCT 06 0600 80 01 OCT 06 1200 90 01 OCT 06 1800 90 01 OCT 07 0000 90 01 OCT 07 0600 80 01 OCT 07 1200 80 01 OCT 07 1800 80 01 OCT 08 0000 80 01 OCT 08 0600 80 01 OCT 08 1200 70 01 OCT 08 1800 65 01 OCT 09 0000 50 01 OCT 09 0600 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HAIYAN Cyclone Number: 25W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: MARING JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0121 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 11 0600 16.2 N 132.1 E 25 30 PAGASA: 15.6 N, 131.5 E 01 OCT 11 1200 16.6 N 130.9 E 25 30 01 OCT 11 1800 16.8 N 129.8 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 17.8 N, 130.6 E 01 OCT 12 0000 17.0 N 129.8 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 17.3 N, 130.6 E 01 OCT 12 0600 17.2 N 130.5 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 17.2 N, 129.9 E 01 OCT 12 1200 17.3 N 130.4 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 17.2 N, 129.6 E 01 OCT 12 1800 17.7 N 129.9 E 996 35 35 01 OCT 13 0000 18.8 N 129.8 E 994 45 40 01 OCT 13 0600 18.7 N 129.8 E 990 45 45 01 OCT 13 1200 18.9 N 129.9 E 990 50 45 01 OCT 13 1800 18.3 N 130.0 E 985 50 50 01 OCT 14 0000 19.1 N 129.9 E 985 65 50 01 OCT 14 0600 20.5 N 129.7 E 980 65 50 01 OCT 14 1200 21.4 N 129.5 E 975 70 55 01 OCT 14 1800 21.9 N 128.5 E 975 75 55 01 OCT 15 0000 22.4 N 127.6 E 975 80 55 01 OCT 15 0600 22.6 N 126.5 E 970 80 60 01 OCT 15 1200 23.1 N 125.7 E 970 85 60 01 OCT 15 1800 23.9 N 125.1 E 965 90 65 01 OCT 16 0000 24.5 N 124.5 E 960 90 70 01 OCT 16 0600 25.4 N 124.4 E 960 90 70 01 OCT 16 1200 26.2 N 124.9 E 960 85 70 01 OCT 16 1800 26.9 N 125.9 E 965 75 70 01 OCT 17 0000 27.7 N 126.8 E 970 70 60 NMCC: 27.6 N, 127.6 E 01 OCT 17 0600 28.1 N 128.5 E 970 70 55 01 OCT 17 1200 28.9 N 130.5 E 975 65 50 01 OCT 17 1800 29.5 N 133.0 E 980 60 50 01 OCT 18 0000 30.7 N 136.4 E 985 45 JMA Warnings 01 OCT 18 0600 32.5 N 139.6 E 990 45 01 OCT 18 1200 34.0 N 144.0 E 1000 35 Extratropical 01 OCT 18 1800 35.0 N 149.0 E 1008 35 JMA High Seas Warnings 01 OCT 19 0000 35.0 N 151.0 E 1006 35 01 OCT 19 0600 36.0 N 152.0 E 1006 35 01 OCT 19 1200 36.0 N 158.0 E 1006 35 01 OCT 19 1800 35.0 N 159.0 E 1006 35 Note: The first JTWC warning was at 11/1200 UTC--the data for 0600 UTC was taken from the JMV File. Also, the 10-min avg MSW for 11/0600 and 1200 UTC was taken from PAGASA's warnings--the JMA track begins at 1800 UTC. There were some significant differences in center position estimates during the early, formative stages of the cyclone; however, after Haiyan became well-organized the coordinates were in good agree- ment. The 10-min avg MSW values from NMCC are tabulated below, as well as those from HKO, CWBT, and PAGASA during the time Haiyan was traversing their respective AORs. Also, five center position coordinates from PAGASA which disagreed rather significantly with JTWC and JMA are given as well: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts PAGASA (GMT) NMCC HKO CWBT PAGASA Positions ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 11 0600 30 01 OCT 11 1200 30 01 OCT 11 1800 30 01 OCT 12 0000 30 01 OCT 12 0600 30 17.3 N, 129.7 E 01 OCT 12 1200 30 17.4 N, 129.2 E 01 OCT 12 1800 35 30 17.5 N, 128.8 E 01 OCT 13 0000 40 35 18.5 N, 128.6 E 01 OCT 13 0600 40 35 18.6 N, 128.6 E 01 OCT 13 1200 45 45 01 OCT 13 1800 45 45 01 OCT 14 0000 45 55 01 OCT 14 0600 60 55 01 OCT 14 1200 60 55 01 OCT 14 1800 65 65 01 OCT 15 0000 65 65 65 01 OCT 15 0600 70 70 65 01 OCT 15 1200 70 70 65 01 OCT 15 1800 80 70 65 01 OCT 16 0000 80 75 70 70 01 OCT 16 0600 80 75 70 01 OCT 16 1200 80 75 70 01 OCT 16 1800 65 01 OCT 17 0000 60 01 OCT 17 0600 55 01 OCT 17 1200 50 01 OCT 17 1800 50 01 OCT 18 0000 50 01 OCT 18 0600 45 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PODUL Cyclone Number: 26W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0122 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 18 0000 5.3 N 157.2 E 1004 30 JMA Warning 01 OCT 18 0600 5.5 N 156.1 E 1004 30 " 01 OCT 18 1200 5.8 N 155.5 E 1004 30 " 01 OCT 18 1800 5.6 N 156.2 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 6.5 N, 155.3 E 01 OCT 19 0000 5.7 N 156.1 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 6.0 N, 155.0 E 01 OCT 19 0600 5.6 N 156.0 E 1004 30 30 01 OCT 19 1200 5.7 N 156.3 E 1004 35 30 01 OCT 19 1800 6.1 N 156.2 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 5.8 N, 155.6 E 01 OCT 20 0000 6.5 N 156.1 E 998 45 35 JMA: 7.1 N, 156.8 E 01 OCT 20 0600 7.3 N 156.2 E 996 45 35 01 OCT 20 1200 8.7 N 156.8 E 996 45 35 01 OCT 20 1800 9.8 N 156.7 E 992 55 45 01 OCT 21 0000 10.9 N 156.5 E 985 65 50 01 OCT 21 0600 11.8 N 156.3 E 980 65 50 01 OCT 21 1200 12.3 N 156.6 E 975 75 55 01 OCT 21 1800 12.9 N 156.7 E 970 75 60 01 OCT 22 0000 13.6 N 156.6 E 965 75 65 01 OCT 22 0600 13.9 N 156.7 E 960 80 70 01 OCT 22 1200 14.6 N 156.9 E 960 90 70 01 OCT 22 1800 14.9 N 157.2 E 960 90 70 01 OCT 23 0000 15.1 N 157.6 E 950 100 80 01 OCT 23 0600 15.5 N 158.0 E 940 115 85 01 OCT 23 1200 16.1 N 157.8 E 935 125 90 01 OCT 23 1800 16.3 N 157.5 E 935 135 90 01 OCT 24 0000 16.7 N 157.2 E 930 135 100 01 OCT 24 0600 17.2 N 156.9 E 930 140 95 01 OCT 24 1200 17.5 N 156.4 E 930 140 95 01 OCT 24 1800 17.8 N 155.8 E 930 140 95 01 OCT 25 0000 18.4 N 155.1 E 930 130 95 01 OCT 25 0600 19.3 N 154.5 E 930 130 95 01 OCT 25 1200 20.0 N 154.0 E 925 140 100 01 OCT 25 1800 20.9 N 154.0 E 925 140 100 01 OCT 26 0000 21.7 N 154.0 E 925 140 100 01 OCT 26 0600 23.1 N 154.3 E 930 140 95 01 OCT 26 1200 24.6 N 154.9 E 935 130 90 01 OCT 26 1800 26.6 N 155.8 E 940 120 85 01 OCT 27 0000 28.8 N 156.9 E 950 100 80 01 OCT 27 0600 30.6 N 158.2 E 960 90 70 JMA: 31.4 N, 158.5 E 01 OCT 27 1200 34.0 N 160.8 E 970 80 65 JMA: 34.0 N, 160.3 E 01 OCT 27 1800 36.9 N 161.4 E 970 65 65 NMCC: 36.3 N, 162.1 E 01 OCT 28 0000 38.0 N 163.0 E 976 55 NMCC: 38.9 N, 162.8 E 01 OCT 28 0600 41.0 N 165.0 E 976 55 JMA High Seas Warnings 01 OCT 28 1200 43.0 N 168.0 E 980 50 Extratropical 01 OCT 28 1800 43.0 N 170.0 E 988 01 OCT 29 0000 43.0 N 173.0 E 992 01 OCT 29 0600 44.0 N 178.0 E 996 Note: JMA was the first agency to classify the pre-Podul system as a tropical depression and the first three entries in the track above were taken from JMA's warnings. The coordinates and 1-min avg MSW for 18/1800 UTC came from JTWC's JMV file--their first warning was issued at 19/0000 UTC. The data for the final entry at 28/0000 UTC came from JMA's final warning--Podul had become extratropical by that time. There were some differences in center position estimates during the early, formative stage of Podul and during the time it was beginning to transition into an extratropical cyclone; however, during the typhoon's intense phase the coordinates from JTWC, JMA and NMCC agreed very closely. The 10-min avg MSW values reported by NMCC are given in the table below: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) NMCC ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 20 0000 35 01 OCT 20 0600 40 01 OCT 20 1200 50 01 OCT 20 1800 55 01 OCT 21 0000 60 01 OCT 21 0600 60 01 OCT 21 1200 60 01 OCT 21 1800 60 01 OCT 22 0000 70 01 OCT 22 0600 70 01 OCT 22 1200 70 01 OCT 22 1800 80 01 OCT 23 0000 80 01 OCT 23 0600 90 01 OCT 23 1200 90 01 OCT 23 1800 100 01 OCT 24 0000 100 01 OCT 24 0600 110 01 OCT 24 1200 110 01 OCT 24 1800 110 01 OCT 25 0000 110 01 OCT 25 0600 110 01 OCT 25 1200 110 01 OCT 25 1800 120 01 OCT 26 0000 120 01 OCT 26 0600 110 01 OCT 26 1200 110 01 OCT 26 1800 100 01 OCT 27 0000 90 01 OCT 27 0600 75 01 OCT 27 1200 65 01 OCT 27 1800 50 01 OCT 28 0000 50 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 21 0000 12.0 N 112.0 E 1004 25 See Note 01 OCT 21 0600 13.0 N 111.0 E 1002 25 JTWC: 11.2 N, 111.5 E 01 OCT 21 1200 13.0 N 109.0 E 1002 25 01 OCT 21 1800 13.0 N 108.0 E 1004 25 Inland in Vietnam 01 OCT 22 0000 13.0 N 106.0 E 1004 25 01 OCT 22 0600 14.0 N 105.0 E 1006 20 Note: The tracking information for this depression was taken from JMA's High Seas Bulletins. The single position from JTWC annotated at 21/0600 UTC came from a STWO. A TCFA was issued for the system but was cancelled after it had moved inland. (I have assigned a 10-min avg MSW of 25 kts by virtue of the depression's being mentioned only in the summary portion of the bulletins.) ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for North Indian Ocean Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. Some information was also obtained from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone (03A) 09 - 10 Oct Tropical Cyclone 15 - 16 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 03A Basin: NIO Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 09 0330 18.2 N 69.4 E 1008 30 TC Formation Alert 01 OCT 09 0600 18.3 N 69.2 E 30 First warning 01 OCT 09 1200 18.6 N 68.4 E 35 01 OCT 09 1800 19.1 N 67.4 E 30 01 OCT 10 0000 19.3 N 67.0 E 30 01 OCT 10 0600 18.4 N 67.5 E 25 01 OCT 10 1200 18.0 N 67.9 E 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NIO Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 15 0330 13.8 N 81.9 E 25 JTWC TCFA 01 OCT 15 0600 13.5 N 83.0 E 25 IMD warnings 01 OCT 15 0900 13.5 N 82.0 E 30 01 OCT 15 1200 14.0 N 81.5 E 35 See Note 01 OCT 15 1800 13.4 N 81.2 E 35 JTWC: 30 kts 01 OCT 16 0330 13.4 N 82.7 E 35 Relocated/JTWC: 30 kts Note: JTWC did not issue any warnings on this system but did issue two TCFAs. In deference to IMD's warnings, which referred to a "cyclonic storm" that made landfall, I have kept the MSW at 35 kts. The JTWC position from the second TCFA at 16/0330 UTC relocates the center back to the east, farther from the coast; yet the TCFA cancellation issued at 16/1600 UTC indicates that the system was inland moving westward over India. A bulletin from IMD early on the 17th indicates that the system had weakened to a depression by 16/2100 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's operational warnings or the JMV file. A special thanks to Patrick Hoareau of Rennes, France, for sending me the track for Tropical Depression #1 (01S). Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (MFR #1 / 01S) 04 - 08 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 04 0600 9.6 S 81.9 E 25 JTWC: JMV file 01 OCT 04 1200 10.0 S 82.1 E 25 01 OCT 04 1800 10.0 S 82.4 E 25 01 OCT 05 0000 10.1 S 82.6 E 25 01 OCT 05 0600 10.4 S 83.0 E 1002 25 25 MFR wrngs/See Note 01 OCT 05 1200 10.3 S 83.0 E 1002 25 25 01 OCT 05 1800 10.3 S 83.1 E 998 25 30 Upgraded to Trop. Dep. 01 OCT 06 0000 10.7 S 83.3 E 998 30 30 01 OCT 06 0600 11.2 S 83.3 E 998 35 30 01 OCT 06 1200 11.5 S 83.0 E 998 35 30 01 OCT 06 1800 11.7 S 82.5 E 998 30 30 01 OCT 07 0000 12.0 S 82.0 E 998 30 30 01 OCT 07 0600 11.7 S 82.4 E 1000 30 25 Downgraded to Disturb. 01 OCT 07 1200 12.4 S 83.8 E 1002 30 25 01 OCT 07 1800 13.9 S 84.8 E 1004 30 20 JTWC: 13.1 S, 82.1 E 01 OCT 08 0000 13.4 S 82.4 E 25 JTWC: JMV file 01 OCT 08 0600 14.2 S 82.6 E 25 JTWC warning Note: At 05/0600 and 1200 UTC, and at 07/0600 and 1200 UTC, the MFR warnings stated that winds to 30 kts were likely occurring away from the center. Likewise, the final MFR warning at 07/1800 UTC noted that some local winds to 25 kts might still be found in the circulation. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, central pressure, and 10-min avg MSW estimates presented below were obtained from the tropical cyclone warning centre at Perth, Western Australia, for positions east of 90E and from RSMC La Reunion (MFR) for positions west of 90E in the Southwest Indian Ocean basin. The 1-min avg MSW values were taken from either JTWC's operational warnings or the JMV file. Also, the coordinates prior to the first warning from Perth were obtained from the JMV file. A special thanks to Patrick Hoareau for sending me the track for Tropical Cyclone Alex-Andre. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone ALEX-ANDRE (MFR #2 / 02S) 24 - 31 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ALEX-ANDRE Cyclone Number: 02S Basin: AUW/SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 02 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 OCT 24 1800 7.0 S 97.5 E 25 JTWC: JMV file 01 OCT 25 0000 7.0 S 96.8 E 25 01 OCT 25 0600 7.0 S 96.2 E 25 01 OCT 25 1200 7.3 S 95.8 E 25 01 OCT 25 1800 7.6 S 95.5 E 30 01 OCT 26 0000 7.9 S 95.1 E 30 30 Perth warnings 01 OCT 26 0600 8.1 S 94.5 E 35 45 01 OCT 26 1000 8.2 S 94.2 E 992 35 45 01 OCT 26 1600 8.0 S 93.5 E 992 35 45 01 OCT 26 2200 8.1 S 92.8 E 992 35 45 01 OCT 27 0400 7.7 S 92.3 E 984 35 50 01 OCT 27 1000 7.6 S 91.2 E 984 40 50 01 OCT 27 1600 7.6 S 90.8 E 984 50 50 01 OCT 27 1800 7.4 S 90.3 E 984 50 50 MFR warnings 01 OCT 28 0000 7.7 S 89.7 E 980 55 55 Renamed Andre 01 OCT 28 0600 7.8 S 89.1 E 980 55 55 01 OCT 28 1200 8.4 S 88.5 E 984 55 50 01 OCT 28 1800 8.5 S 87.3 E 984 55 50 JTWC: 8.7 S, 87.9 E 01 OCT 29 0000 8.6 S 86.2 E 984 55 50 01 OCT 29 0600 9.0 S 84.5 E 984 55 50 JTWC: 8.9 S, 85.1 E 01 OCT 29 1200 9.2 S 84.3 E 988 55 45 01 OCT 29 1800 9.2 S 83.2 E 994 45 35 01 OCT 30 0000 7.4 S 82.8 E 994 45 35 01 OCT 30 0600 6.9 S 82.8 E 995 45 35 JTWC: 7.5 S, 83.0 E 01 OCT 30 1200 7.5 S 82.7 E 45 JTWC wrng (MFR missing) 01 OCT 30 1800 6.4 S 82.6 E 997 35 30 JTWC: 6.3 S, 83.4 E 01 OCT 31 0000 6.3 S 83.5 E 998 35 30 JTWC: 6.8 S, 82.7 E 01 OCT 31 0600 8.8 S 81.3 E 998 35 30 JTWC: 7.7 S, 81.7 E 01 OCT 31 1200 9.0 S 81.1 E 999 35 30 JTWC: 8.6 S, 81.0 E 01 OCT 31 1800 9.3 S 78.8 E 1003 30 25 JTWC: 9.5 S, 80.1 E 01 NOV 01 0100 11.1 S 78.7 E 1002 30 From JTWC STWO 01 NOV 01 1800 11.1 S 78.0 E 1004 25 " ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports (ATCR) which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: For the actual Best Tracks files, click on the link for Best Tracks (in the menu on the left side of the screen) and follow instructions. In the ATCR for 2000, the Chapter 5 tab contains verification statistics of JTWC warnings for all the 2000 tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific, North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere. There are gaps in the Best Tracks presented here for certain cyclones during periods in which no warnings were being issued. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Revised 03.17.02 / Typhoon2000.com / Typhoon2000.ph