for Tuesday, 23 September 2014 [7:35 AM PhT]
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the western part of the East China Sea (near 28.6N 122.1E)
About: 150 km northeast of Wenzhou City, China...or 155 km south-southeast of Ningbo City, China
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 100 to 220 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 615 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: North to NNE @ 18 kph
Towards: Shores of Eastern China
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to continue moving to the north to north-northwest within the next 24 hours...veering to the northeast to east-northeast through the remainder of the forecast period. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be traversing the eastern coasts of the provinces of Zhejiang and southern Jiangsu of China tonight through tomorrow and will be turning to the northeast by early Tuesday afternoon. It will then move over the southern part of the Yellow Sea on Wednesday.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will start to weaken within the next 24 hours as it encounters cooler sea surface temperatures (SSTs)...and could be downgraded into a Tropical Depression (TD) on Tuesday, before dissipating over the Yellow Sea, as an area of low pressure on Wednesday. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Tuesday evening.
The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly...as it passes near the east coast of Eastern China...about 80 km north-northeast of Shanghai City, China [2PM SEP 23: 31.9N 121.6E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of Low Pressure...while over the southern part of the Yellow Sea...about 25 km northwest of Jeju, South Korea [2PM SEP 24: 33.6N 126.4E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon Sep 22, 2014
Location of Center: Near 28.6º N Lat 122.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 370 km SSE of Shanghai City, China
Distance 2: 390 km NE of Fuzhou City, China
Distance 3: 400 km NNE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 500 km NW of Ishigaki Island
Distance 5: 670 km SW of Jeju Island
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF