for Sunday, 10 August 2014 [6:45 AM PhT]
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs! ADDITIONAL DISTANCES
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Halong (Jose)
Location: Over the Southern Shores of Shikoku (near 33.3N 133.5E)
About: 35 km south of Kochi, Japan...or 160 km south-southwest of Okayama, Japan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center...Gustiness: 130 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 150 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)
Size (in diameter): 890 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 100 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 13 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast @ 39 kph
Towards: Shikoku-Central Honshu-Sea of Japan Area
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Halong (Jose) is expected to maintain its north-northeast track throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, Halong (Jose) will be over Mid-Western part of Honshu this morning - passing very close to Okayama City...and will be over the Sea of Japan this afternoon through Monday.
Halong (Jose) is forecast to continue losing strength through the next 12 hours...and will then lose Tropical Characteristics and become an Extratropical Cyclone by 24 hours onwards. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 85 kph by early Monday morning.
The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Becomes an Extratropical Cyclone while moving across the northern part of the Sea of Japan...about 415 km southeast of Vladivostok, Russia [2AM AUG 11: 40.5N 135.5E @ 85kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Aug 10, 2014
Location of Center: Near 33.3º N Lat 133.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 180 km WSW of Tanabe, Japan
Distance 2: 185 km WSW of Wakayama, Japan
Distance 3: 160 km SE of Hiroshima, Japan
Distance 4: 305 km SW of Kyoto, Japan
Distance 5: 625 km SW of Tokyo, Japan
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!