for Thursday, 22 October 2015 [8:33 AM PhT]
DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 21...0900 GMT.
Classification/Name: TD KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Balintang Channel...(near 19.3N 122.8E)
About: 136 km east of Calayan Island, Cagayan...or 109 km northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 25 to 100 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 565 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: East-Northeast @ 12 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 10 kph
Towards: Balintang Channel-North Philippine Sea
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK
TD KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to move east-northeast to northeastward slowly throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the eastern portions of the Balintang and Bashi Channel tonight through Thursday afternoon (Oct 22).
TD KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to continue dissipating and decaying into an area of low pressure by Thursday afternoon (Oct 22)
The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay and weaken as it turns east-northeast to northeastward across the border of the Bashi Channel and North Philippine Sea...about 213 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM OCT 22: 20.8N 124.0E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Oct 21, 2015
Location of Center: Near 19.3º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 153 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 148 km SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 228 km ENE of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 197 km SE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 5: 539 km NNE of Metro Manila
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): PNG