for Monday, 24 August 2015 [7:50 AM PhT]






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WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON GONI (INENG) UPDATE NUMBER 020 [FINAL]

Issued at: 7:45 AM PhT (23:45 GMT) Monday 24 August 2015

The intensifying Typhoon GONI (INENG) has moved out of the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late last night...after passing over the Yaeyama Island Chain...now heading towards Western Japan. Forecast to reach the western coast of Kyushu, Japan on Tuesday morning (Aug 25)...Typhoon-force winds will be expected.

GONI will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) bringing occasional rains with thunderstorms across Western Luzon, Some portions of Central Luzon, Lubang Island, Mindoro, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, and Metro Manila today and through the next 24 hours. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

*Since the typhoon is already outside of the PAR, this is the final update on Goni (Ineng).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 24...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the southern part of the East China Sea (near 25.6N 125.2E)
About: 655 km northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 158 km northeast of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center
Past Movement: Northeast @ 21 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 37 kph
Towards: Ryukyus-Kyushu Area


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move rapidly to the northeast during the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI will be passing just to the north of Okinawa this afternoon and shall make landfall over the Southwestern or Western Coast of Kyushu, Japan on Tuesday morning (Aug 25).

TY GONI (INENG) will slightly intensify within the next 6 to 12 hours...before weakening anew at the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 205 kph this afternoon...and decreasing to 195 kph on Tuesday morning (Aug 25) before its landfall over Western Japan.

The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Rapidly accelerates northeastward as it starts to weaken and decay...prepares to make landfall along the southwestern coast of Kyushu, Japan...about 70 km west-southwest of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM AUG 25: 31.4N 129.8E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Aug 24, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 25.6 N Lat 125.2 E Lon
Distance 1: 259 km WSW of Naha International Airport, Okinawa
Distance 2: 368 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 637 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 844 km SW of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 5: 1309 km NNE of Metro Manila
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): PNG


Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Maximum Sustained Winds are based on 10-minute average. Pressure Estimates by: NRL or RSMC-Tokyo Typhoon Centre (JMA). Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA).


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