for Monday, 22 September 2014 [7:15 AM PhT]






This tropical cyclone update is brought to you by WeatherPhilippines Foundation Inc., powered by MeteoGroup Philippines

TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 017
Issued at: 7:15 AM PhT (23:15 GMT) Monday 22 September 2014
Next Update: Monday Evening, 22 September 2014

Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has moved out of the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) after passing the Northeastern and Eastern shores of Taiwan...now emerges over the East China Sea and is no longer a threat to the Philippines.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains along the Batanes Group of Islands today. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Southeastern and Eastern China. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).


Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


None...


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the southwestern part of the East China Sea (near 26.6N 122.3E)
About: 190 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan...or 680 km north of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, south and east of the center): 100 to 220 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 615 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 31 kph
Forecast Movement: North @ 17 kph
Towards: Shores of Eastern China


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to slow down as it moves toward the north within the next 24 hours. The cyclone shall begin moving slowly north-northeast to northeast through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be traversing the western part of the East China Sea today and will be approaching the shores of Eastern China by early Tuesday morning. It will then move over the southern part of the Yellow Sea on Wednesday.

TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will start to weaken within the next 24 hours as it encounters cooler sea surface temperatures (SSTs)...and could be downgraded into a Tropical Depression (TD) on Tuesday, before dissipating over the Yellow Sea, as an area of low pressure on Wednsday. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Tuesday afternoon.

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens slightly...as it passes near the east coast of Eastern China...about 105 km east of Ningbo, China [2AM SEP 23: 29.9N 122.6E @ 75kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipates into an area of Low Pressure...while over the southern part of the Yellow Sea...about 200 km east-northeast of Shanghai City, China [2AM SEP 24: 31.7N 123.4E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Sep 22, 2014
Location of Center: Near 26.6 N Lat 122.3 E Lon
Distance 1: 220 km SE of Wenzhou City, China
Distance 2: 300 km NNE of Hualien City, Taiwan
Distance 3: 300 km NW of Ishigakijima
Distance 4: 365 km SSE of Ningbo, China
Distance 5: 520 km SSE of Shanghai, China
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF


Notes: T2K translates all technical data terms into layman's form for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Maximum Sustained Winds are based on 10-minute average. Pressure Estimates by: NRL or RSMC-Tokyo Typhoon Centre (JMA). Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA). Live Naga City weather conditions (if available) taken from T2K`s new DAVIS VANTAGE VUE Digital Weather Station.


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