for Tuesday, 02 August 2016 [10:17 PM PhT]






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WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM NIDA (CARINA) UPDATE NUMBER 014 [FINAL]
Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 02 August 2016

 

Current Status

NIDA (CARINA) has weakened into a Tropical Storm as it moves across the rugged terrain of Guandong Province, China. This cyclone will continue to dump moderate to heavy rains across Western Guandong and Guangxi Provinces tonight and tomorrow (Aug 03).

Nida will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) that will bring on and off, light to moderate to at times heavy rains over the western sections of Luzon especially along the western coastal areas through Wednesday (Aug 03).

Where is NIDA  (Carina)?

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Aug 02...0900 GMT.  The center was located over the mid-part of Guandong-Guangxi border (near 23.5N 111.6E), about 284 km west-northwest of Hong Kong, China or 246 km northwest of Macau, China.

 

How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph

 

Where is it heading?

West-northwest to West @ 19 kph, towards Guangxi Province, China

 

What areas will be mostly affected?

Guangxi Province, China – tonight through Wednesday (Aug 03).

 

Storm Surge Info

None.

 

1-Day Forecast Outlook

TS NIDA (CARINA) is expected to continue to move west-northwest during the first 12 hours then bend towards the west and west-southwest on the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, NIDA (CARINA) will traverse Guangxi tonight through Wednesday (Aug 03).


TS NIDA (CARINA) is expected to weaken rapidly and dissipates into an area of low pressure Wednesday afternoon (Aug 03).

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipates into an area of low pressure over Western Guandong…about 407 km northwest of Zhanjiang City, China [2PM AUG 03: 24.0N 107.7E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

 

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

 

Other Storm Info

- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 25 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]

- Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 650 km (Small)

- Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

 

Additional Distances


Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Aug 02, 2016
Location of Center: Near 23.5
° N Lat 111.6° E Lon
Distance 1: 520 km W of
Shantou, China
Distance 2: 278 km NW of
Zhanjiang, China
Distance 3: 900 km WNW of
Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 4: 1125 km WNW of
Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 1396 km NW of
Metro Manila

 

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph


WP StormTrack (for Public): PNG


Notes: T2K/WPF translates all technical data terms into layman's form for public understanding. Do not use this for life/death decision, kindly refer to your country's official warnings/bulletins. This site is intended for additional information purposes only. Local times are based on Philippine / Hong Kong / Shanghai Standard Times. Maximum Sustained Winds are based on 10-minute average. Pressure Estimates by: NRL or RSMC-Tokyo Typhoon Centre (JMA). Max Wave Height by: NPMOC (USA).


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